How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

 If winner is:HomeAway Saturday, 2/14 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Canada vs Quebec -16.9+7.2 -1.0+0.4 British Columbia vs Saskatchewan -1.0+1.9 -0.1+0.1 Alberta vs Qualifier +1.4-1.1 Nova Scotia vs Newfoundland La +1.1-0.8 Manitoba vs Ontario +0.2-1.4 New Brunswick vs PEI +0.7-0.4 Saskatchewan vs Canada -0.3+0.4 If winner is:HomeAway Sunday, 2/15 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Quebec vs Qualifier +11.5-15.2 +0.6-0.8 New Brunswick vs Newfoundland La +1.0-0.6 Manitoba vs Saskatchewan +0.2-1.2 Newfoundland La vs PEI -0.3+0.2

## What If

Chances based on how well the Quebec finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TW W - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Count 10 9 - 0 In 96 4 43,032 9 8 - 1 In 75 24 1 348,037 8 7 - 2 100.0 % 17 54 27 2 0 1,167,007 7 6 - 3 96.9 1 18 51 27 3 0 0 2,141,405 6 5 - 4 68.4 0 2 21 45 27 4 0 0 2,412,120 5 4 - 5 4.1 0 0 4 23 41 25 6 0 0 0 1,750,192 4 3 - 6 0.0 0 0 4 23 40 26 6 0 0 823,839 3 2 - 7 Out 0 0 4 21 42 28 5 243,015 2 1 - 8 Out 0 4 36 60 41,082 1 0 - 9 Out 4 96 4,887 Total: 59.7 % 6 13 21 20 13 10 7 5 3 2 1 0 8,974,616
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

## Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

## Big Games

 If winner is:HomeAway Saturday, 2/14 100.0* Lottery seed Canada vs Quebec +1.0-0.4 British Columbia vs Saskatchewan +0.1-0.1 If winner is:HomeAway Sunday, 2/15 100.0* Lottery seed Quebec vs Qualifier -0.6+0.8

## What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TW W - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 10 9 - 0 96 4 9 8 - 1 75 24 1 8 7 - 2 17 54 27 2 0 7 6 - 3 1 18 51 27 3 0 0 6 5 - 4 0 2 21 45 27 4 0 0 5 4 - 5 0 0 4 23 41 25 6 0 0 0 4 3 - 6 0 0 4 23 40 26 6 0 0 3 2 - 7 0 0 4 21 42 28 5 2 1 - 8 0 4 36 60 1 0 - 9 4 96 Total: 6 13 21 20 13 10 7 5 3 2 1 0