How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 2/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Canada vs Quebec+3.9-1.7
+1.0-0.4
Saskatchewan vs Canada-1.6+2.3
-0.6+0.9
British Columbia vs Saskatchewan-0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.1
Manitoba vs Ontario+0.0-0.3
+0.0-0.2
Alberta vs Qualifier+0.1-0.1
New Brunswick vs PEI+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1
Nova Scotia vs Newfoundland La+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Sunday, 2/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manitoba vs Saskatchewan+0.0-0.2
+0.0-0.1
New Brunswick vs Newfoundland La+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Canada finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
88-0In2170904,234
77-199.0%13250151034,364
66-275.104274422300220,228
55-34.3004244125600801,080
44-40.00042341256001,793,480
33-5Out00625412442,546,963
22-6Out00739532,230,328
11-7Out4961,105,646
00-8Out100238,293
Total:2.7%001234710121517298,974,616
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 2/14100.0*Lottery seed
Saskatchewan vs Canada+0.6-0.9
Canada vs Quebec-1.0+0.4
Manitoba vs Ontario-0.0+0.2
New Brunswick vs PEI+0.1-0.1
Nova Scotia vs Newfoundland La+0.1-0.1
British Columbia vs Saskatchewan-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Sunday, 2/15100.0*Lottery seed
Manitoba vs Saskatchewan-0.0+0.1
New Brunswick vs Newfoundland La+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112
88-0217090
77-1132501510
66-204274422300
55-3004234125600
44-4004234125600
33-50062541244
22-60073953
11-7496
00-8100
Total:00123571012151729