How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

 If winner is:HomeAway Saturday, 2/14 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed British Columbia vs Saskatchewan +8.3-16.2 +0.5-1.0 Canada vs Quebec +1.6-0.7 +0.1-0.0 New Brunswick vs PEI +1.1-0.5 +0.1-0.0 Manitoba vs Ontario +0.2-1.1 -0.0+0.1 Nova Scotia vs Newfoundland La +0.7-0.5 Alberta vs Qualifier +0.4-0.3 Saskatchewan vs Canada -0.2+0.2 If winner is:HomeAway Sunday, 2/15 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed New Brunswick vs Newfoundland La +1.0-0.7 Manitoba vs Saskatchewan +0.2-1.1 -0.0+0.1 Newfoundland La vs PEI -0.1+0.1

## What If

Chances based on how well the British Columbia finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TW W - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Count 7 6 - 0 In 74 26 702,924 6 5 - 1 In 20 73 7 0 2,246,245 5 4 - 2 99.7 % 2 50 41 7 0 0 2,962,508 4 3 - 3 51.3 0 1 11 40 38 10 1 0 0 2,071,964 3 2 - 4 0.0 0 1 14 39 35 11 1 0 808,495 2 1 - 5 Out 0 2 15 40 35 9 166,366 1 0 - 6 Out 0 3 29 69 16,114 Total: 77.6 % 11 37 18 12 9 4 4 3 1 1 1 0 8,974,616
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

## Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

## Big Games

 If winner is:HomeAway Saturday, 2/14 100.0* Lottery seed British Columbia vs Saskatchewan -0.5+1.0 Canada vs Quebec -0.1+0.0 Manitoba vs Ontario +0.0-0.1 New Brunswick vs PEI -0.1+0.0 If winner is:HomeAway Sunday, 2/15 100.0* Lottery seed Manitoba vs Saskatchewan +0.0-0.1

## What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TW W - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 7 6 - 0 74 26 6 5 - 1 20 73 7 0 5 4 - 2 2 50 41 7 0 0 4 3 - 3 0 1 11 40 38 10 1 0 0 3 2 - 4 0 1 14 39 35 11 1 0 2 1 - 5 0 2 15 40 35 9 1 0 - 6 0 3 29 69 Total: 11 37 18 12 9 4 4 3 1 1 1 0