How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

 If winner is:HomeAway Saturday, 2/14 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Alberta vs Qualifier +6.9-5.2 +1.0-0.7 Canada vs Quebec +1.0-0.4 British Columbia vs Saskatchewan -0.5+0.9 +0.0-0.1 Manitoba vs Ontario +0.1-0.6 +0.0-0.2 Nova Scotia vs Newfoundland La +0.3-0.2 -0.1+0.0 New Brunswick vs PEI +0.3-0.2 -0.1+0.1 Saskatchewan vs Canada -0.1+0.2 If winner is:HomeAway Sunday, 2/15 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Manitoba vs Saskatchewan +0.1-0.5 +0.0-0.2 New Brunswick vs Newfoundland La +0.3-0.2 -0.1+0.0 Quebec vs Qualifier -0.1+0.1 Newfoundland La vs PEI +0.1-0.0

## What If

Chances based on how well the Alberta finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TW W - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Count 8 7 - 0 In 19 68 12 0 22,362 7 6 - 1 97.1 % 1 25 49 22 3 0 0 205,102 6 5 - 2 63.9 0 2 19 43 30 6 0 0 859,977 5 4 - 3 3.5 0 0 3 22 42 26 5 0 0 1,975,171 4 3 - 4 Out 0 3 22 42 26 6 0 0 2,671,857 3 2 - 5 Out 0 0 7 28 40 21 3 2,136,007 2 1 - 6 Out 0 1 10 42 48 930,786 1 0 - 7 Out 4 96 173,354 Total: 9.4 % 0 1 3 5 8 11 13 15 15 12 10 8 8,974,616
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

## Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

## Big Games

 If winner is:HomeAway Saturday, 2/14 100.0* Lottery seed Alberta vs Qualifier -1.0+0.7 Manitoba vs Ontario -0.0+0.2 New Brunswick vs PEI +0.1-0.1 Nova Scotia vs Newfoundland La +0.1-0.0 British Columbia vs Saskatchewan -0.0+0.1 If winner is:HomeAway Sunday, 2/15 100.0* Lottery seed Manitoba vs Saskatchewan -0.0+0.2 New Brunswick vs Newfoundland La +0.1-0.0

## What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TW W - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 8 7 - 0 19 68 12 0 7 6 - 1 1 25 49 22 3 0 0 6 5 - 2 0 2 19 43 30 6 0 0 5 4 - 3 0 0 3 22 42 26 5 0 0 4 3 - 4 0 3 22 42 26 6 0 0 3 2 - 5 0 0 7 28 40 21 3 2 1 - 6 0 1 10 42 48 1 0 - 7 4 96 Total: 0 1 3 5 8 11 13 15 15 12 10 8