How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 2/14 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Botafogo 0 Gremio 0 +3.0 -0.2 Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1 -0.6 Bahia 0 Goias 0 -0.1 +0.0 Fortaleza 0 Vasco da Gama 0 -0.1 Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 0 -0.1 +0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Goias vs Botafogo +3.6+2.7-5.3 -0.7-0.1+0.7 Vasco da Gama vs Internacional +1.2+0.2-1.3 Atletico-MG vs Bahia -1.2+0.2+1.1 Sport Recife vs Bragantino +0.8*-0.0-0.8 Palmeiras vs Fortaleza -0.4*+0.0+0.4 Santos vs Coritiba -0.0*-0.0+0.1 +0.1+0.1-0.2 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 2/22 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Ceara vs Botafogo +3.5+2.7-5.3 -0.4-0.2+0.5 Botafogo vs Sao Paulo -5.3+2.7+3.5 +0.5-0.2-0.4 Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama -1.2+0.1+1.1 Athletico-PR vs Sport Recife -1.2+0.2+1.1 Sport Recife vs Atletico-MG +1.1+0.2-1.2 Vasco da Gama vs Goias +1.1+0.1-1.2 +0.1-0.0-0.1 Bahia vs Santos +1.1+0.1-1.2 Fortaleza vs Bahia -0.9+0.2+0.8 Bragantino vs Gremio +0.5-0.2-0.4 Goias vs Bragantino -0.4-0.2+0.5 -0.1+0.0+0.1 Fluminense vs Fortaleza -0.4*+0.0+0.4 Coritiba vs Ceara +0.1-0.1-0.0 -0.2+0.1+0.1 Atletico-GO vs Coritiba -0.1-0.0+0.1 +0.2+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 40 3 - 0 - 0 No No 0 2 14 36 35 12 47.5 % 490,751 38 2 - 1 - 0 No No 0 6 32 58 3 93.6 938,853 37 2 - 0 - 1 No No 0 1 12 74 13 0 99.3 1,466,818 36 1 - 2 - 0 No No 72 26 2 Yes 599,263 35 1 - 1 - 1 No No 42 46 12 Yes 1,872,285 34 1 - 0 - 2 No No 20 54 26 Yes 1,470,598 0 - 3 - 0 No No 24 53 24 Yes 127,786 33 0 - 2 - 1 No No 9 45 47 Yes 599,566 32 0 - 1 - 2 No No 1 25 74 Yes 937,229 31 0 - 0 - 3 No No 16 84 Yes 491,571 Total: No No 0 0 1 3 7 37 30 23 96.4 % 8,994,720
Points
Chance Will Win Championship