Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
2/10PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
InternacionalLSport Recife 1-26619-9-72561.6%-13.8100.0%-0.0622981001.5-0.18No1.605Sport Club Internacional
Flamengo6519-8-81933.7+14.599.6+0.43444166001.9+0.30No5.597Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Atletico-MGTFluminense 0-06118-7-10162.9+0.089.3+3.031743278203.3+0.04No3.564BahiaClube Atletico Mineiro
Sao PauloTCeara 1-159116-11-7171.8-0.772.7-3.42102438168303.9-0.15No2.560Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
FluminenseTAtletico-MG 0-05716-9-109No-0.018.6-4.30414392714105.4-0.12No7.531Fluminense Football Club
Palmeiras53214-11-8140.0+0.014.1+2.900491929296100005.9+0.12No6.523Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Gremio5613-17-514No5.6+1.41517314061006.3+0.09No4.523Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
CorinthiansTAthletico-PR 3-349113-10-112No0.0-0.100273521151172009.1-0.17No10.476Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Santos47112-11-110No0.0001422201716127109.9+0.12No8.460CoritibaSantos Futebol Clube
Bragantino4812-12-119NoNo02132121191581010.2+0.09No13.456Clube Atletico Bragantino
Athletico-PRTCorinthians 3-34713-8-140NoNo01816181918164010.8-0.22No12.448Clube Athletico Paranaense
CearaTSao Paulo 1-14612-10-132NoNo051217192318410011.2-0.070.0%11.440Ceara Sporting Club
Atletico-GO4611-13-11-6NoNo02711152135810011.9-0.030.09.440Atletico Clube Goianiense
Sport RecifeWInternacional 2-14112-5-18-16NoNo000128413791014.4+0.771.1-12.915.399Sport Club do Recife
FortalezaWVasco da Gama 3-04110-11-14-1NoNo0001263439154014.7+0.473.9-14.514.399Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Bahia3710-7-18-17NoNo0041236407016.3-0.1847.8+1.818.365at Atletico-MGEsporte Clube Bahia
Vasco da GamaLFortaleza 0-3379-10-16-18NoNo0038343817016.6-0.8755.2+25.116.365Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Goias338-9-18-23NoNo0171669817.8-0.0192.2+0.517.332BotafogoGoias Esporte Clube
Coritiba2816-10-18-18NoNo01888419.099.9+0.019.300at SantosCoritiba Football Club
Botafogo244-12-19-28NoNo49620.0Yes20.258at GoiasBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/6
Internacional 1 Sport Recife 2
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional-17.3
-0.1
-0.3
Flamengo+11.7
Atletico-MG+3.2
Sao Paulo+2.4
Sport Recife-12.9
+0.8
Fortaleza+2.8
-0.2
Bahia+4.9
-0.2
Vasco da Gama+3.7
-0.2
Goias+1.4
Bragantino 1 Flamengo 1
8:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+7.7
Flamengo-8.7
-0.2
Atletico-MG+0.6
Sao Paulo+0.4
Bragantino*No
-0.1
Fluminense 0 Atletico-MG 0
9:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+1.0
Flamengo+0.7
+0.3
Atletico-MG-1.8
+2.6
-0.1
Sao Paulo+2.2
FluminenseNo
-6.8
-0.2
Palmeiras+1.2
Gremio+0.6
Sao Paulo 1 Ceara 1
9:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+1.2
Flamengo+0.4
Atletico-MG+0.9
Sao Paulo-1.6
-5.4
-0.2
Fluminense+2.3
Palmeiras+1.5
Gremio+0.5
Ceara-0.1
Botafogo 2 Gremio 5
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG-0.3
Sao Paulo-0.6
Fluminense-0.4
Palmeiras-0.2
Gremio+1.6
+0.4
Corinthians 3 Athletico-PR 3
9:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-0.2
Athletico-PR-0.2
Atletico-GO 1 Santos 1
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-0.2
Atletico-GO-0.2
Fortaleza 3 Vasco da Gama 0
7:15 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife-0.2
Fortaleza-15.4
+0.7
Bahia-3.0
Vasco da Gama+19.2
-0.7
Goias-0.7
Bahia 3 Goias 3
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife-3.3
Fortaleza-2.4
Bahia+5.6
-0.2
Vasco da Gama-4.1
Goias+4.3
-0.1
Week of 2/13
Vasco da Gama vs InternacionalIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional42.048.475.4
99.9100.0Yes
1.81.71.3
Flamengo48.745.122.6
1.81.82.1
Atletico-MG6.03.71.2
3.23.23.4
Palmeiras0.00.0No
Atletico-GO0.0*NoNo
Fortaleza8.53.62.2
14.814.714.6
Bahia67.450.938.5
16.616.416.2
Vasco da Gama25.353.168.0
15.916.616.9
Goias96.291.590.8
17.917.817.7
Flamengo vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional50.568.874.6
1.61.41.3
Flamengo47.524.517.8
Yes99.798.9
1.62.12.4
PalmeirasNo0.00.0
5.95.96.0
CorinthiansNo0.00.0
9.69.28.2
Atletico-MG vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG5.20.30.0
97.085.275.2
2.93.63.9
Sao Paulo70.873.676.3
4.13.93.7
Fluminense15.720.923.0
5.45.35.3
Palmeiras12.314.817.9
6.05.95.9
Atletico-GONo*No0.0
Bahia60.446.518.6
16.616.315.7
Vasco da Gama46.656.374.8
16.516.616.8
Goias90.391.797.2
17.717.717.9
Coritiba99.9*99.9Yes
Gremio vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo0.10.44.2
55.971.689.3
4.54.03.3
Fluminense23.221.312.5
5.45.35.3
Palmeiras17.015.510.7
6.05.95.9
Gremio14.31.40.1
5.76.46.7
Corinthians0.00.0No
Sao Paulo vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo3.90.40.1
90.970.351.3
3.34.14.6
Fluminense13.221.823.1
5.45.35.4
PalmeirasNoNo0.0
3.510.030.7
6.56.15.2
CorinthiansNo0.00.0
Palmeiras vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
6:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG87.290.991.8
3.33.33.2
Sao Paulo69.475.076.6
4.03.93.8
Palmeiras0.0NoNo
22.28.44.9
5.56.26.6
Fortaleza6.53.00.1
15.014.714.0
Coritiba vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo76.875.269.9
3.83.94.0
PalmeirasNoNo0.0
4.57.821.0
6.66.35.5
Coritiba99.6100.0Yes
18.819.019.0
Ceara vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG92.591.985.6
3.23.23.4
Sao Paulo79.076.965.7
3.83.94.1
Fluminense5.69.133.6
5.95.64.8
Palmeiras16.315.711.7
5.85.96.1
Ceara10.111.411.9
Santos vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CorinthiansNo0.00.0
9.99.28.2
Santos8.810.110.8
Goias vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia51.844.744.2
16.416.316.2
Goias85.697.098.3
17.517.918.0
Sport Recife vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino11.110.69.3
Sport Recife0.00.82.2
13.814.614.8
Santos vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos9.210.310.8
CoritibaYes100.099.7
19.019.018.8
Athletico-PR vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
6:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR9.711.111.9
Atletico-GO12.712.110.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.