How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 7/19 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Knights 2 Longhorns 17 +11.1 +0.5 Longhorns 5 Knights 6 -11.0 -0.5 If winner is:HomeTieAway Longhorns vs Patriots +16.1-9.1-15.6 +0.6-0.0-0.6 Longhorns vs Knights +15.4-0.9-15.3 +0.7+0.2-0.7 Red Sox vs Patriots +3.5-1.1-3.5 +0.1-0.0-0.1 Patriots vs Hawks -3.1-1.7+3.2 -0.1-0.0+0.1 Lugnuts vs D'Backs +2.4+1.8-2.5 +0.1+0.1-0.2 D'Backs vs Ermis -2.5+1.9+2.4 -0.2+0.1+0.1 D'Backs vs White Sox -2.4+1.8+2.3 -0.1+0.1+0.1 Dodgers vs White Sox +0.0+0.1-0.0 If winner is:HomeTieAway Week of 7/25 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Yankees vs Patriots +3.5-1.5-3.5 +0.1-0.0-0.1 Indians vs Patriots +3.5-1.4-3.4 +0.1-0.0-0.1 Patriots vs Indians -3.4-1.3+3.5 -0.1-0.0+0.1 Patriots vs Knights -2.3-1.5+2.4 -0.0-0.1+0.0 D'Backs vs Hawks -2.2+1.0+2.2 -0.1+0.1+0.1 Hawks vs D'Backs +2.1+1.2-2.2 +0.1+0.1-0.1 Lugnuts vs Knights +1.3-0.5-1.2 +0.1-0.0-0.1 Blues vs Knights +1.2-0.6-1.2 +0.1-0.0-0.1 Knights vs Yankees -1.2*-0.4+1.2 -0.1-0.0+0.1 Red Sox vs Hawks +0.3-0.7-0.3 Hawks vs Phillies -0.3*-0.4+0.3 Blues vs White Sox +0.0+0.1-0.0 White Sox vs Phillies -0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Longhorns finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TW W - L - T playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Count 13 2 - 0 - 0 62.8 % 1 62 33 4 0 666,355 12 .5 1 - 0 - 1 24.0 24 54 20 2 59,551 12 1 - 1 - 0 3.3 3 38 44 15 0 1,333,703 0 - 0 - 2 4.7 5 31 43 21 0 1,316 11 .5 0 - 1 - 1 0.7 1 18 47 33 1 59,649 11 0 - 2 - 0 0.0 0 1 18 70 12 667,293 Total: 17.1 % 0 17 28 28 25 3 2,787,867
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs