Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
BirminghamWIndy 2-12528-1-4399.4%+1.8292615183611000000002.7+0.765.563Birmingham Legion FC
Louisville2718-3-31298.8+0.2182019264913000000003.3-0.2011.572Louisville City FC
Tampa BayWLoudoun 3-12719-0-5996.3+3.52319191015371310000003.4+0.5210.572Tampa Bay Rowdies
Pittsburgh278-3-4591.5+0.012131711215131620000004.4-0.2313.552Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC
HartfordWMiami 2-02337-2-31191.4+8.115131710195122621000004.3+0.847.554Hartford Athletic
TulsaLMemphis 0-11926-1-6-378.0-7.11339829520356421007.0-1.0017.476FC Tulsa
MemphisWTulsa 1-01634-4-4-263.2+22.602265205244810753108.2+1.5019.452Memphis 901 FC
MiamiLHartford 0-2237-2-6157.9-12.4124413424521115310007.5-0.9914.494The Miami FC
Charleston1835-3-4140.5+0.512338317424169532108.5-0.0220.481Charleston Battery
IndyLBirmingham 1-21614-4-6-327.9-12.000011821541015151296110.7-0.8715.412Indy Eleven
OKCTKansas City II 0-0184-6-5-321.5-5.2000115213410151715117111.1-0.3721.421OKC Energy FC
Charlotte1625-1-7-221.0+0.20011421032021141074219.8+0.0612.432Charlotte Independence
Atlanta II1413-5-6-15.7+0.50000010414812172124713.1+0.1524.383Atlanta United 2
Kansas City IITOKC 0-0143-5-7-85.5-0.90000010414812172124713.2-0.0727.362Sporting Kansas City II
New York II1313-4-7-121.5+0.00000001036912182220813.2+0.1222.368New York Red Bulls II
LoudounLTampa Bay 1-3622-0-11-150.0-0.000000000001136157515.6-0.2026.286Loudoun United FC

While I send an update each morning after games, the site fails to update randomly. Ken has gone incommunicado, but the site seems to fix itself within a day or two -- Rob

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/24
Memphis 1 Tulsa 0
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Birmingham-0.2
+0.0
Louisville-0.1
+0.0
Tulsa-5.5
-0.6
Memphis+9.5
+0.8
Indy-1.7
-0.0
OKC-1.3
-0.1
Atlanta II-0.3
Kansas City II-0.4
Indy 1 Birmingham 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Birmingham+1.4
+0.5
Louisville+0.1
-0.1
Tulsa+1.1
-0.0
Memphis+2.1
+0.1
Indy-7.5
-0.6
OKC+1.7
+0.1
Atlanta II+0.4
+0.0
Kansas City II+0.6
+0.0
New York II+0.0
Hartford 2 Miami 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay+0.1
-0.0
Pittsburgh+0.1
-0.0
Hartford+5.1
+0.6
Miami-5.7
-0.5
Charleston+0.2
Charlotte+0.2
New York II+0.1
OKC 0 Kansas City II 0
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Birmingham+0.2
Louisville+0.1
Tulsa+0.8
Memphis+1.5
+0.1
Indy+1.6
+0.1
OKC-4.3
-0.4
Atlanta II+0.4
Kansas City II-0.3
-0.0
Tampa Bay 3 Loudoun 1
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay+2.0
+0.3
Pittsburgh-0.3
-0.1
Hartford-0.2
-0.1
Miami-0.4
-0.1
Charleston-0.4
Charlotte-0.5
-0.0
Atlanta II+0.0
Kansas City II+0.0
New York II-0.1
Loudoun-0.1
Loudoun vs CharlestonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh92.692.090.4
4.44.44.5
Hartford92.491.990.4
4.24.34.4
Miami61.559.654.6
7.47.47.6
Charleston32.036.648.2
9.18.77.9
Charlotte22.921.819.3
9.89.89.9
Loudoun15.315.615.7
Atlanta II vs TulsaHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tulsa71.777.085.5
7.67.26.3
Memphis63.863.962.2
8.28.28.3
Indy29.128.626.2
OKC22.422.120.2
Atlanta II9.14.52.9
12.613.313.6
Kansas City II vs LouisvilleHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville97.898.699.4
3.73.52.9
Kansas City II9.24.83.6
12.513.213.5
Week of 7/31
Miami vs CharlestonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miami67.953.943.4
6.97.88.3
Charleston31.741.455.5
9.08.57.6
Charlotte20.222.6*21.0
Tulsa vs IndyHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tulsa84.775.067.0
6.57.37.9
Memphis63.564.161.7
8.38.28.2
Indy21.628.141.0
11.110.79.7
Hartford vs MiamiHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hartford94.890.085.7
3.84.65.0
Miami51.758.170.5
7.97.56.6
Charleston41.841.037.2
8.48.48.5
Charlotte21.821.419.0
9.89.89.9
Charleston vs PittsburghHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh87.591.796.0
4.94.53.8
Miami55.159.360.3
7.57.47.5
Charleston49.837.431.6
7.88.79.1
Charlotte19.821.721.9
9.99.89.8
Kansas City II vs MemphisHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tulsa78.878.676.7
7.07.07.1
Memphis55.461.672.8
8.88.47.5
Indy29.528.925.6
10.610.610.7
OKC22.922.419.4
11.111.011.1
Kansas City II8.94.32.5
12.613.313.7
Louisville vs OKCHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville99.498.497.3
3.03.63.8
Tulsa78.878.075.5
Memphis64.363.359.8
8.28.28.3
Indy28.628.025.8
10.610.710.8
OKC17.821.732.5
11.411.110.1
Charlotte vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay94.096.198.3
3.93.52.9
Miami55.658.859.4
Charleston38.841.141.5
8.58.48.4
Charlotte29.019.115.3
9.210.010.3
Loudoun vs CharlotteHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh92.391.890.6
Hartford92.291.890.5
Miami60.159.055.5
7.47.57.6
Charleston42.241.238.6
8.48.48.5
Charlotte14.918.227.6
10.410.19.3
Loudoun15.315.615.7
Pittsburgh vs HartfordHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh94.890.187.1
3.94.75.2
Hartford88.991.595.5
4.84.33.5
Birmingham vs Atlanta IIHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Birmingham99.799.298.7
2.53.03.2
Memphis63.563.362.0
Atlanta II4.3*5.710.5
13.413.112.4
Birmingham vs Atlanta IIHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Birmingham99.799.298.7
2.53.03.2
Memphis63.563.362.0
Atlanta II4.3*5.710.5
13.413.112.4
New York II vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay94.295.798.0
3.93.63.0
New York II2.71.20.8
12.613.313.5
Sacramento vs New York IIHomeDrawAway
11:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New York II0.91.22.8
13.513.212.5
Loudoun vs Col SpringsHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Loudoun15.315.615.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.