Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
Tampa Bay1826-0-2894.7%+0.0341518710462311000003.2+0.015.564Tampa Bay Rowdies
Phoenix1625-1-21292.8-0.023251114573422111003.610.535Phoenix Rising FC
Louisville1625-1-2791.8-0.1172410166945322100004.0-0.028.535Louisville City FC
El Paso1534-3-0591.5-0.525151781157342110003.8-0.011.541El Paso Locomotive FC
Birmingham1615-1-3188.8+0.01220111771157332110004.614.515at MiamiBirmingham Legion FC
RGV1715-2-2488.0-0.617121891469453211004.5-0.013.529Rio Grande Valley FC
Hartford1344-1-1985.4-0.3169188146104642110004.8-0.046.532Hartford Athletic
Orange County1334-1-2484.6-0.4131611167115644321104.9-0.0518.512at Los Angeles IIOrange County SC
New Mexico1424-2-2576.7-1.39713715712785432105.9-0.054.506New Mexico United
Charlotte1234-0-3073.8-0.175137157136964321006.22.497CharlestonCharlotte Independence
Tulsa1224-0-4-366.6+0.338511713712677642107.1+0.0327.477FC Tulsa
Pittsburgh1414-2-3164.3+0.044961371471286431107.1+0.017.486Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC
Col SpringsWAustin 3-21133-2-2262.0+21.84586127138118654317.3+1.8312.482Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
Indy1314-1-4-161.5+0.026410613713788743107.617.471Indy Eleven
San Diego1113-2-4-449.3-0.1144851161079988638.6-0.0213.442San Diego Loyal FC
AustinLCol Springs 2-31123-2-3049.1-19.22354961281210886428.3-1.5611.462Austin Bold FC
Tacoma742-1-3-447.3+0.2244851061079998748.719.444Salt Lake IITacoma Defiance
Oakland461-1-2-347.2+0.224485106979998748.716.441Oakland Roots FC
Charleston852-2-1-145.7+0.122549512713119864218.5+0.0120.479at CharlotteCharleston Battery
Atlanta II1213-3-3342.5+0.0132649612810111185319.122.456Atlanta United 2
Memphis832-2-3-340.0-0.3132649511710111196429.4-0.0324.439Memphis 901 FC
Los Angeles II1113-2-4432.2-0.01225375971011121211610.0-0.0330.442Orange CountyLA Galaxy II
San Antonio1112-5-2129.5-0.01122548611111111119610.09.442San Antonio FC
Sacramento732-1-4-328.5-0.0021436486910111313910.4-0.0328.424Sacramento Republic FC
Miami1023-1-4-228.0+0.311225386131312121074210.0+0.0315.448BirminghamThe Miami FC
Las Vegas722-1-5-1118.1-0.00112143658101215181511.5-0.0326.404Las Vegas Lights FC
New York II812-2-5-106.1+0.000001122479121618161212.821.398New York Red Bulls II
OKC711-4-4-45.6+0.100000113247101519201813.4+0.0229.383Kansas City IIOKC Energy FC
Salt Lake II521-2-5-53.3-0.200000111235711204813.6-0.0625.375at TacomaReal Monarchs SLC
Kansas City II71-4-5-73.0-0.00000010212471218242814.031.363at OKCSporting Kansas City II
Loudoun331-0-6-51.9-0.00000001123461016233414.3-0.0223.366Loudoun United FC

While I send an update each morning after games, the site fails to update randomly. Ken has gone incommunicado, but the site seems to fix itself within a day or two -- Rob

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/19
Austin 2 Col Springs 3
9:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
El Paso-0.3
RGV-0.5
New Mexico-0.7
Col Springs+12.2
+1.0
Austin-10.7
-0.9
San Antonio-0.1
Tampa Bay 1 Pittsburgh 2
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay-1.5
-0.5
Hartford-1.8
Charlotte-1.8
Pittsburgh+11.4
+1.0
Charleston-2.6
Miami-2.3
New York II-0.8
Loudoun-0.5
Kansas City II 1 Indy 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville-0.4
Birmingham-0.6
Tulsa-1.4
Indy+9.6
+0.9
Atlanta II-1.7
Memphis-1.6
OKC-0.4
Kansas City II-3.4
-0.6
Memphis 0 OKC 1
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville+1.0
Birmingham+0.8
Tulsa+1.2
Indy+1.9
Atlanta II+1.9
Memphis-9.3
-0.9
OKC+2.0
+0.6
Kansas City II+0.6
San Diego 2 Phoenix 1
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phoenix-1.6
-0.4
Orange County-1.1
San Diego+8.7
+0.8
Tacoma-1.4
Oakland-1.2
Los Angeles II-1.2
Sacramento-1.1
Las Vegas-1.1
Las Vegas 1 Orange County 3
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orange County+8.5
+0.9
San Diego-0.2
Tacoma*-0.1
Sacramento*-0.1
Las Vegas-8.0
-0.8
Tulsa 2 Louisville 3
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville+6.9
+0.9
Tulsa-7.1
-0.8
Atlanta II*+0.1
Hartford 2 Loudoun 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hartford+4.5
+0.5
Charlotte-0.4
Pittsburgh-0.7
Charleston-0.8
Miami-0.7
New York II-0.3
Loudoun-1.5
-0.3
San Antonio 1 RGV 1
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
El Paso+0.3
RGV-0.1
-0.1
New Mexico+0.7
Col Springs+0.9
Austin+0.7
San Antonio-2.6
-0.2
RGV vs TulsaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RGV91.486.083.1
4.04.85.2
Tulsa62.166.475.9
7.67.16.2
Miami vs BirminghamHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Birmingham85.788.293.0
5.14.73.9
Miami34.925.321.8
9.310.210.6
Charlotte vs CharlestonHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte80.570.964.2
5.66.57.0
Charleston39.345.957.5
9.08.57.5
Las Vegas vs San DiegoHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego42.348.460.3
9.28.77.6
Las Vegas24.015.411.7
10.911.812.2
Tacoma vs Salt Lake IIHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tacoma53.642.738.4
8.19.19.6
Salt Lake II2.43.15.7
13.913.613.0
Col Springs vs New MexicoHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Mexico71.077.085.3
6.56.05.0
Col Springs69.958.852.3
6.67.68.1
Los Angeles II vs Orange CountyHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orange County79.884.290.5
5.55.04.2
Los Angeles II40.629.324.5
9.210.310.7
Pittsburgh vs New York IIHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh70.660.054.5
6.57.57.9
New York II4.16.010.8
13.112.812.0
OKC vs Kansas City IIHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
OKC7.64.23.1
12.913.614.0
Kansas City II2.02.75.3
14.414.113.4
Week of 6/26
Oakland vs AustinIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Austin43.548.058.9
8.98.47.4
Oakland54.243.639.3
8.09.19.5
Col Springs vs Orange CountyHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orange County81.284.290.1
5.45.04.2
Col Springs68.858.754.2
6.67.68.0
San Diego vs OaklandHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego57.645.238.5
7.88.99.5
Oakland40.747.158.6
9.38.87.7
Tacoma vs Los Angeles IIHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tacoma55.243.437.0
8.09.19.6
Los Angeles II25.931.843.7
10.610.19.0
Birmingham vs Atlanta IIHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Birmingham92.787.182.8
4.04.95.4
Atlanta II36.742.454.4
9.79.18.1
Miami vs CharlotteHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte67.673.882.6
6.76.25.4
Miami35.625.019.9
9.310.310.7
Atlanta II vs OKCHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta II49.337.932.7
8.59.510.0
OKC3.75.49.9
13.713.412.6
Louisville vs IndyHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville94.890.487.1
3.54.34.8
Indy56.361.672.2
8.17.66.5
Tampa Bay vs CharlestonHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay96.793.791.1
2.83.53.9
Charleston40.845.856.6
8.98.57.5
Memphis vs Kansas City IIHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Memphis46.335.531.0
8.89.810.3
Kansas City II1.92.95.7
14.314.113.4
Charleston vs LoudounHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston51.541.036.5
8.08.99.4
Loudoun1.21.93.8
14.514.213.6
OKC vs TulsaHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tulsa59.965.174.9
7.77.36.3
OKC8.54.63.1
12.813.513.8
Loudoun vs PittsburghHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh57.362.172.2
7.77.36.4
Salt Lake II vs San AntonioHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Antonio23.527.737.8
10.610.19.2
Salt Lake II5.12.61.8
13.213.814.0
Sacramento vs PhoenixHomeDrawAway
11:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phoenix89.792.495.9
4.13.73.0
Sacramento36.526.322.3
9.610.611.1
New York II vs MiamiHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miami22.326.536.5
10.610.19.1
New York II8.94.93.4
12.213.013.4
Salt Lake II vs New MexicoHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Mexico70.675.083.1
6.66.15.2
Hartford vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay93.094.897.3
3.73.22.6
Hartford89.683.780.4
4.25.05.5
RGV vs El PasoHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
El Paso89.191.695.3
4.33.83.1
RGV91.886.383.0
3.94.85.3
Kansas City II vs LouisvilleHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville88.690.994.8
4.64.23.5
Kansas City II5.02.51.8
13.514.114.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Rob Hoffmann for adding this league.