Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
6/20PGW-D-LGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
ChattanoogaWNorth Carolina 3-21655-1-1497.3%+3.53926179421100002.3+0.552.567Chattanooga Red Wolves SC
Omaha1835-3-1797.0-0.13230199531100002.5-0.101.554Union Omaha
Greenville1645-1-2394.2-0.323252213743210003.0-0.143.544MadisonGreenville Triumph SC
Madison1243-3-2155.5-0.8259131413121097516.2-0.077.477at GreenvilleForward Madison FC
South Georgia1515-0-6-251.6+0.21371214141312108516.56.458at Toronto IISouth Georgia Tormenta FC
Richmond1233-3-3350.0+0.21371213131211108616.6+0.014.454Richmond Kickers
New England II1043-1-4-343.9+0.213610121212121110927.0+0.015.444New England Revolution II
North Texas1143-2-3039.4-0.713591112121312121027.2-0.038.460North Texas SC
Tucson942-3-3-526.9-0.5013589111214151648.19.427FC Tucson
Fort Lauderdale144-2-6-123.3-0.5012479111415171638.311.418Fort Lauderdale CF
Toronto II1032-4-3-120.4-0.3012468101214172168.6+0.0210.421South GeorgiaToronto FC II
North CarolinaLChattanooga 2-3150-1-6-60.5-0.80000001124128011.6-0.2412.317North Carolina FC

While I send an update each morning after games, the site fails to update randomly. Ken has gone incommunicado, but the site seems to fix itself within a day or two -- Rob

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/19
Madison 0 New England II 2
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Madison-10.5
-0.7
South Georgia-0.1
Richmond-0.2
New England II+11.5
+0.8
North Texas-0.2
Tucson-0.1
Fort Lauderdale-0.2
South Georgia 3 Greenville 1
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chattanooga-0.4
Omaha-0.2
+0.0
Greenville-1.6
-0.3
Madison-1.1
South Georgia+10.3
+0.7
Richmond-1.4
-0.1
New England II-1.0
-0.1
North Texas-1.4
-0.1
Tucson-1.1
-0.1
Fort Lauderdale-1.5
-0.1
Toronto II-0.5
-0.1
Toronto II 2 Fort Lauderdale 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chattanooga+0.2
Madison+0.5
South Georgia+0.7
Richmond+0.7
New England II+0.6
North Texas+0.7
Tucson+0.5
Fort Lauderdale-9.8
-0.6
Toronto II+5.7
+0.6
North Texas 0 Tucson 0
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chattanooga+0.3
Madison+0.7
South Georgia+0.9
Richmond+1.0
New England II+0.7
North Texas-5.0
-0.3
Tucson-0.2
Fort Lauderdale+1.0
Toronto II+0.4
Richmond 1 Omaha 1
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chattanooga+0.1
Omaha-0.1
Greenville+0.0
Madison+0.4
South Georgia+0.4
+0.0
Richmond-2.9
-0.2
New England II+0.3
+0.0
North Texas+0.5
+0.0
Tucson+0.4
+0.0
Fort Lauderdale+0.5
+0.0
Toronto II+0.2
Chattanooga 3 North Carolina 2
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chattanooga+1.9
+0.3
Omaha-0.0
Greenville-0.0
Madison-0.2
South Georgia-0.2
Richmond-0.2
New England II-0.2
North Texas-0.2
Tucson-0.2
Fort Lauderdale-0.2
North Carolina-0.4
-0.1
Toronto II vs South GeorgiaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Madison55.756.354.8
South Georgia40.948.462.8
7.26.75.8
Richmond50.250.849.2
New England II44.244.743.2
North Texas39.740.338.7
Toronto II29.518.413.8
7.98.79.1
North Carolina vs RichmondHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Madison56.756.054.1
6.26.26.3
South Georgia53.052.250.2
6.46.56.6
Richmond40.946.559.7
7.26.86.0
New England II45.144.442.6
6.97.07.1
North Texas40.640.038.1
7.27.27.3
Tucson27.927.325.8
Fort Lauderdale24.323.722.1
8.28.28.3
Toronto II21.220.819.4
North Carolina1.00.40.2
11.411.711.8
Greenville vs MadisonHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville96.793.090.2
2.63.23.5
Madison49.555.568.1
6.66.25.4
South Georgia52.251.850.3
6.56.56.6
Richmond50.550.248.6
New England II44.444.142.6
North Texas40.039.638.2
7.27.27.3
Fort Lauderdale23.723.422.2
Week of 6/26
New England II vs North TexasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England II53.239.632.7
6.47.37.7
North Texas31.838.652.5
7.77.36.4
Madison vs New England IIHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Madison64.150.543.2
5.76.57.0
New England II37.044.057.7
7.47.06.1
South Georgia vs Toronto IIHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Madison54.956.455.8
South Georgia60.646.238.6
6.06.87.3
Richmond49.450.950.3
New England II43.344.844.2
North Texas38.940.439.7
Toronto II15.120.131.5
9.08.67.8
Fort Lauderdale vs Toronto IIHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fort Lauderdale30.719.014.3
7.78.69.0
Toronto II15.019.530.5
9.08.67.8
Omaha vs TucsonHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Omaha98.496.394.4
2.22.72.9
Madison55.955.654.2
6.26.26.3
South Georgia52.151.750.1
6.56.56.6
Richmond50.450.148.6
6.66.66.7
New England II44.444.042.6
7.07.07.1
North Texas39.939.638.2
7.27.27.3
Tucson22.3*26.938.8
8.48.17.3
Chattanooga vs GreenvilleHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chattanooga98.596.795.4
2.02.52.8
Greenville92.594.397.3
3.33.02.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Rob Hoffmann for adding this league.