"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Memphis 1 Tulsa 0 -5.5
-0.6
Indy 1 Birmingham 2 +1.1
-0.0
OKC 0 Kansas City II 0 +0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta II vs Tulsa-6.3-1.0+7.5
-0.5-0.1+0.7
Kansas City II vs Louisville-0.6+0.2+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tulsa vs Indy+6.7-3.0-11.0
+0.5-0.3-0.8
Louisville vs OKC+0.8-0.0-2.5
Kansas City II vs Memphis+0.8+0.6-1.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Birmingham vs Atlanta II+0.3+0.0-1.0
Birmingham vs Atlanta II+0.3+0.0-1.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Tulsa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
7619-0-0In100027,546
7418-1-0In10042
7318-0-1In99173
7217-2-0In100289
7117-1-1In9910962
7016-3-0In99101,807*
6916-2-1In98105,177
6816-1-2In972110,988*
6715-3-1In954122,262*
6615-2-2In9262048,591*
6514-4-1In871040088,681*
6414-3-2In8014600165,059*
6314-2-3In72181000297,144*
6213-4-2In61241500493,751*
6113-3-3In4929201100816,802*
6013-2-4In37332722001,288,340*
5912-4-3In25353244001,936,586*
5812-3-4In16343686002,870,539*
5711-5-3In931361411004,064,641*
5611-4-4In4253221161005,572,724*
5511-3-5100.0%21926282230007,446,296*
5410-5-4100.011317342871009,578,102*
5310-4-5100.0081036311310011,959,816*
5210-3-6100.0055343024200014,524,706*
519-5-5100.0022282637510017,027,380*
509-4-699.90112119497200019,417,128*
499-3-799.700014115910500021,500,539*
488-5-699.1009662121110023,019,825*
478-4-797.80052591120200023,977,499*
467-6-695.200215110313100024,202,408*
457-5-790.40010417426310023,676,627*
447-4-883.00003044987200022,478,106*
436-6-772.20020251913610020,683,768*
426-5-858.800111478191220018,417,998*
416-4-943.700603862222500015,902,324*
405-6-829.1003027422311220013,276,930*
395-5-917.001016217362250010,707,559*
385-4-108.50081113432122008,355,241*
374-6-93.5003062638215006,289,460*
364-5-101.2010216373211104,561,990*
354-4-110.300018293820303,185,797*
343-6-100.100003193930802,138,974*
333-5-110.000011133391511,374,768*
323-4-120.000052443261847,748*
312-6-11Out0021642373499,363*
302-5-12Out01936486277,956*
292-4-13Out004285711147,504*
282-3-14Out0219631673,744*
271-5-13Out0112632434,459*
261-4-14Out007613214,945*
251-3-15Out0456405,929*
240-5-14Out250482,247*
230-4-15Out14257742*
220-3-16Out3169186*
210-2-17Out316948
200-1-18Out29717
190-0-19Out0188227,543
Total:78.0%133982952035642100343,347,666

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs