How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls 2 Nashville 0 -5.8
-0.7
-0.7
+0.2
-0.5
Columbus 2 Chicago 0 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
Atlanta 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.5
+0.1
NYCFC 2 New England 3 +0.4
-0.1
Orlando 5 San Jose 0 -0.4
-0.1
-0.0
Cincinnati 0 Colorado 2 +0.3
-0.1
DC United 1 Miami 0 -0.2
Toronto 2 Orlando 3 *-0.1
-0.1
LA Galaxy 1 Seattle 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Nashville vs Toronto+6.6-5.3-11.1
+0.5-0.4-0.8
+0.2-0.2-0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.6
+0.5-0.4-0.9
New England vs NY Red Bulls+0.4+0.0-1.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Montreal vs DC United-0.2+0.6-0.2
NYCFC vs Atlanta-0.2+0.5-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Columbus-0.1+0.4-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Cincinnati+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs RSL-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Nashville vs Montreal+7.3-5.0-11.5
+0.5-0.4-0.8
+0.2-0.2-0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.6
+0.5-0.4-0.8
Austin vs Columbus+0.6+0.1-0.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Philadelphia+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs NY Red Bulls-0.2+0.6-0.1
NYCFC vs DC United-0.2+0.5-0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Toronto vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.3+0.2
Miami vs Orlando-0.3+0.2+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs New England+0.2+0.0-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Vancouver-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011121314SpoonCount
78-89In100.0%100No111,432*
7721-3-2In97.21000No812*
7621-2-3In97.31000No1,675*
7520-4-2In97.11000No3,640*
7420-3-3In95.11000No7,664*
7319-5-2In93.0991No15,211*
7219-4-3In90.2991No29,030*
7119-3-4In86.2982No54,968*
7018-5-3In81.69640No100,064*
6918-4-4In75.69460No176,904*
6818-3-5In68.392800No303,449*
6717-5-4In60.1881200No504,366*
6617-4-5In50.7831710No821,389*
6516-6-4In40.8762210No1,296,071*
6416-5-5In31.06929300No1,996,082*
6316-4-6In21.95935500No2,997,886*
6215-6-5In14.149419100No4,389,684*
6115-5-6In8.1394614100No6,263,473*
6015-4-7In4.12847213000No8,732,441*
5914-6-6In1.81945296000No11,869,812*
5814-5-7100.0%0.6123936121000No15,761,249*
5713-7-6100.00.263040194000No20,432,274*
5613-6-7100.00.032040288100No25,857,173*
5513-5-8100.00.01123435153000No31,970,641*
5412-7-7100.00.0062438247100No38,593,837*
5312-6-899.80.002153433142000No45,515,770*
5212-5-999.2No0172536237100No52,422,040*
5111-7-897.2No003153332143000No59,000,236*
5011-6-992.2No001724362471000No64,839,011*
4911-5-1082.1No0003143233153000No69,589,346*
4810-7-966.2No00162336258100No72,979,801*
4710-6-1046.7No0002133234163000No74,710,916*
4610-5-1127.9No00162237278100No74,685,390*
459-7-1013.8No000212323616300No72,879,951*
449-6-115.6No00052238277100No69,393,876*
438-8-101.8No000212333615200No64,488,057*
428-7-110.5No0005244025500No58,450,320*
418-6-120.1No000214373511100.0%51,637,665*
407-8-110.0No0017284120300.044,494,829*
397-7-120.0No0003184030700.037,339,594*
387-6-130.0No0011035391410.130,529,198*
376-8-120.0No000526432330.324,287,484*
366-7-130.0No000217423261.118,796,423*
356-6-14OutNo001103741113.114,144,392*
345-8-13OutNo0053047187.010,333,637*
335-7-14OutNo00322492713.47,329,688*
325-6-15OutNo0115483622.45,041,845*
314-8-14OutNo009444733.23,354,649*
304-7-15OutNo005385745.12,165,137*
294-6-16OutNo003316756.91,348,488*
283-8-15OutNo01247567.4809,906*
273-7-16OutNo01188276.6466,883*
263-6-17OutNo00128783.7261,200*
253-5-18OutNo089189.1138,755*
242-7-17OutNo069492.970,758*
232-6-18OutNo039795.634,346*
222-5-19OutNo29897.515,754*
211-7-18OutNo019998.36,876*
201-6-19OutNo19999.22,865*
191-5-20OutNo010099.61,022*
181-4-21OutNo010099.8413*
11-17OutNo100Yes111,068*
Total:46.8%0.4%23579101112121196310.7%1,203,968,816

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeOrlandoNew EnglandPhiladelphiaColumbusNYCFCNY Red BullsAtlantaMontrealDC UnitedTorontoMiamiCincinnatiChicago
69-8912.4%Yes
6818-3-512.51000
6717-5-412.5100000
6617-4-512.510000000000
6516-6-412.51000000000000
6416-5-512.5100000000000000
6316-4-612.51000000000000000
6215-6-512.5990000000000000
6115-5-612.5990000000000000
6015-4-712.3970011000000000
14-7-512.4970010000000000
5914-6-612.2931111111100000
15-3-812.2931111111100000
5814-5-711.9861122211110000
13-8-511.9871122211110000
5713-7-611.3772243332210000
14-4-811.3772243322210000
5613-6-710.4624465544320000
14-3-910.5634455444320000
12-9-510.6644455443320000
5513-5-89.3465587655531000
12-8-69.3475577665530000
14-2-109.5495577655531000
5412-7-77.8306699876631000
13-4-97.8316699876631100
11-10-58.0326699776631000
5312-6-86.01677109877641100
11-9-66.21777109877641100
13-3-106.21867109877641100
5212-5-94.386699776641100
11-8-74.386699776641100
13-2-114.696699876641100
5111-7-82.734577655531100
12-4-102.834577655531100
10-10-62.935577665531100
5011-6-91.513344433321000
10-9-71.613354433321000
12-3-111.613355443321000
4911-5-100.701122222210000
10-8-80.701122222210000
4810-7-90.301111111100000
11-4-110.301111111100000
4710-6-100.100000000000000
4610-5-110.000000000000000
459-7-100.000000000000000
449-6-110.00000000000000
439-5-120.00000000000000
428-7-110.0000000000
418-6-12No00
11-40No
Total:2.2%10.41.51.52.32.21.91.71.61.50.90.20.20.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/18100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls 2 Nashville 0 +0.9
Columbus 2 Chicago 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Nashville vs Toronto-1.0+0.8+1.7
New England vs NY Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Montreal vs DC United+0.0-0.1+0.0
NYCFC vs Atlanta+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Montreal-1.1+0.8+1.7
Chicago vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.0+0.1
Austin vs Columbus-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs NY Red Bulls+0.0-0.1+0.0
NYCFC vs DC United+0.0-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Vancouver-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627
79-89100
7821-4-1991
7721-3-29730
7621-2-39720
7520-4-29730
7420-3-39550
7319-5-29361
7219-4-39081
7119-3-4861120
7018-5-38215400
6918-4-47619500
6818-3-568238000
6717-5-4602812000
6617-4-55132160100
6516-6-44136211100
6416-5-531382723000
6316-4-622383245000
6215-6-51435357901000
6115-5-683135111401000
6015-4-74243116201300000
5914-6-62182520273600000
5814-5-7111172231612010000
5713-7-6069213010191400000
5613-6-7034162415262801000
5513-5-8011101618296150300000
5412-7-700058172711231701000
5312-6-80002312191529413020000
5212-5-900116101528922170100
5111-7-80000331220142841403000
5011-6-90000116101427923171000
4911-5-1000000231119132941530000
4810-7-9000011691427924810000
4710-6-1000000231017143018510000
4610-5-110000105714262714410000
459-7-1000000221016292412410000
449-6-110000005720282312410000
438-8-100000022920272312410000
428-7-11000000392027231241000
418-6-120000003102127231241000
407-8-11000001311222822103000
397-7-120000014122428208200
387-6-1300001515262818610
376-8-1200000271829271430
366-7-130000021023312381
356-6-1400014152931163
345-8-13000182235267
335-7-14000315333513
325-6-1500018274222
314-8-140004194333
304-7-15002124145
294-6-1600173557
283-8-1500042967
273-7-160022277
263-6-17011684
253-5-18001189
242-7-170793
232-6-180496
222-5-19397
211-7-180298
201-6-19199
191-5-200100
181-4-210100
11-17100
Total:011233435363748765554433211