MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

Orlando +7.6, Philadelphia -7.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
ThursdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change1234567891011121314Avg.Change%ChangeRPISaturday
SeattleWAustin FC 1-0329-5-11597.9%+2.410.6%+0.927.4%+6.641221496421100002.5+0.470.0%-0.01Seattle Sounders
New England309-3-31095.4-0.010.0-0.017.6-1.6392013964321100002.8-0.010.03New England Revolution
Sporting KC2718-3-3992.2+0.28.5-0.112.6-1.02020171310753211003.6-0.050.0-0.02Sporting Kansas City
Colorado2427-3-3886.9+0.37.3-0.18.6-0.81416151411975421104.3-0.040.0-0.08at RSLColorado Rapids
LA Galaxy2518-1-5186.9+0.37.2-0.17.4-0.81216161412975421104.3-0.040.0-0.011at DallasLos Angeles Galaxy
OrlandoWPhiladelphia 2-12517-4-3984.9+7.67.4+1.36.7+1.817171412108754321004.3+0.770.0-0.114Orlando City SC
Nashville2315-8-1774.3-0.05.5-0.03.1-0.491212121110986532105.4-0.010.1-0.04CincinnatiNashville FC
Montreal2216-4-4370.8-0.15.1-0.02.6-0.381011111110987543215.7-0.010.2-0.016Montreal Impact
PhiladelphiaLOrlando 1-2236-5-4468.6-7.14.7-1.12.0-1.979111111111097643215.9-0.680.2+0.110Philadelphia Union
NYCFC2026-2-5668.0-0.14.8-0.02.4-0.371011111010987653215.9-0.010.3-0.012New York City FC
LAFC2116-3-5367.0+0.54.0-0.12.0-0.24791112121110865316.20.3-0.05VancouverLos Angeles FC
Portland1926-1-6-364.1+0.53.8-0.11.9-0.24791112121110975326.40.4-0.019at MinnesotaPortland Timbers
Columbus2115-6-3363.5-0.14.1-0.01.7-0.25891010101098754216.4-0.010.4-0.06at AtlantaColumbus Crew
Minnesota1825-3-5-356.3+0.53.0-0.01.2-0.23579101111111097537.0+0.010.7-0.017PortlandMinnesota United FC
NY Red Bulls1825-3-5254.9-0.13.3-0.01.1-0.2468991010109876427.0-0.010.8-0.07New York Red Bulls
RSL1724-5-4548.5+0.52.3-0.00.7-0.12457910111111108747.6+0.021.3-0.013ColoradoReal Salt Lake
DC United1715-2-7240.6-0.02.1-0.00.4-0.12356789101110108648.2-0.011.6-0.123DC United
Houston1613-7-4-332.2+0.41.2-0.00.2-0.011346810111213121198.8+0.033.1-0.115at San JoseHouston Dynamo
Cincinnati1323-4-6-924.5-0.11.1-0.00.1-0.0122345781011121312109.75.4-0.218at NashvilleFC Cincinnati
Atlanta1412-8-4-320.4-0.10.8-0.00.1-0.0012345689111314141210.1-0.016.4-0.220ColumbusAtlanta United
Austin FCLSeattle 0-11313-4-7-519.1-6.30.6-0.40.1-0.10112357911131516189.9-0.537.6+2.19Austin FC
San Jose1313-4-7-819.0+0.30.6-0.00.1-0.00112357911131517189.9+0.047.5-0.221HoustonSan Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver1313-4-7-918.9+0.30.6-0.00.1-0.00112357811131517179.9+0.047.4-0.126at LAFCVancouver Whitecaps
Chicago1213-3-8-914.4-0.00.5-0.00.0-0.0011233568101315171610.79.6-0.327TorontoChicago Fire FC
Miami CF832-2-8-1311.6-0.00.4-0.00.0-0.000112345791114182411.214.9-0.325Inter Miami CF
Dallas1112-5-7-911.1+0.20.3-0.00.0-0.00011234681115202810.7+0.0513.7-0.224LA GalaxyFC Dallas
Toronto1012-4-8-138.2-0.00.2-0.00.0-0.000011234681114192911.617.8-0.422at ChicagoToronto FC

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/17
Portland 2 LAFC 1
9:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC-7.5
-1.1
-1.6
+0.2
Portland+10.2
+0.9
+0.9
-0.7
Columbus 2 NYCFC 1
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC-8.2
-1.0
-1.1
+0.4
Columbus+10.2
+1.1
+0.9
-0.6
NYCFC 1 Montreal 0
3:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Montreal-7.2
-1.0
-1.9
NYCFC+10.1
+1.1
+1.1
-0.5
Portland 1 Dallas 0
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland+10.0
+0.8
+0.5
-1.5
Dallas-6.5
-0.3
+3.2
Minnesota 1 Seattle 0
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle-1.7
-0.7
-6.5
New England+0.9
Sporting KC-0.4
+0.9
Colorado-0.7
+0.4
LA Galaxy-0.5
+0.8
LAFC-0.8
+0.3
Portland-1.0
Minnesota+9.8
+0.8
+0.6
-1.1
RSL-1.1
Houston-1.0
Austin FC-0.8
Philadelphia 2 DC United 1
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia+9.8
+1.2
+1.4
-0.3
DC United-8.7
-0.9
-0.5
+0.7
LAFC 2 RSL 1
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+9.6
+1.1
+1.3
-0.4
RSL-8.4
-0.8
-0.9
+0.6
Nashville 5 Chicago 1
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Nashville+9.3
+1.2
+1.5
-0.3
Chicago-6.3
-0.4
+2.8
Montreal 5 Cincinnati 4
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Montreal+9.3
+1.2
+1.6
-0.3
Cincinnati-7.8
-0.6
-0.2
+1.8
Orlando 2 Philadelphia 1
6:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando+7.7
+1.3
+2.6
Philadelphia-7.2
-1.1
-1.7
Atlanta 0 New England 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle-0.9
New England+5.9
+1.2
+3.7
Atlanta-7.3
-0.5
-0.2
+2.1
Colorado 2 Dallas 0
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado+7.0
+1.1
+3.0
Dallas-5.2
-0.2
+3.8
Toronto-0.7
Austin FC 0 Seattle 1
8:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+2.4
+0.9
+7.0
New England-1.6
Sporting KC+0.2
-0.9
Colorado+0.3
-0.7
LA Galaxy+0.2
-0.7
Portland+0.5
-0.2
RSL+0.5
Austin FC-6.4
-0.4
+2.2
Vancouver 2 LA Galaxy 1
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+1.0
Sporting KC+0.6
LA Galaxy-3.5
-0.9
-4.0
Vancouver+6.1
+0.3
-5.0
Miami CF+0.7
Toronto+0.9
Miami CF 0 New England 5
6:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle-1.2
New England+4.1
+1.0
+5.3
Sporting KC-0.9
Miami CF-4.8
-0.3
+3.9
Toronto-0.6
Vancouver 0 Houston 0
9:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Houston-2.4
-0.2
+0.1
Vancouver-2.2
+0.6
Cincinnati 1 Atlanta 1
6:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Cincinnati-2.3
-0.2
+0.4
Atlanta-2.2
+0.4
Chicago 2 DC United 2
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United-2.4
-0.2
-0.2
Chicago-1.9
+0.7
Toronto 1 NY Red Bulls 1
6:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls-2.2
-0.3
-0.4
Toronto-1.5
+1.3
Colorado 1 San Jose 1
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado-1.1
-0.2
-1.1
San Jose-2.3
-0.2
+0.6
Columbus 0 Nashville 0
6:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Nashville-1.3
-0.3
-0.8
Columbus-2.0
-0.3
-0.6
RSL 2 LA Galaxy 2
9:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy-0.7
-0.2
-1.4
Minnesota+0.5
RSL-2.5
-0.3
-0.3
Toronto 1 Orlando 1
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando-1.4
-0.3
-1.0
Vancouver-0.2
Toronto-1.6
+1.3
Sporting KC 1 San Jose 1
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+0.4
New England+0.3
Sporting KC-0.4
-0.2
-1.9
San Jose-2.3
+0.7
Week of 7/24
DC United vs NY Red BullsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls46.052.765.4
2.53.14.4
0.60.92.1
1.20.80.3
DC United51.338.131.6
2.91.91.4
0.80.30.2
0.71.82.6
Minnesota vs PortlandHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland54.961.673.6
2.93.54.9
1.11.63.3
0.70.50.1
Minnesota66.453.446.7
4.12.82.2
2.31.00.7
0.30.81.2
LAFC vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC76.464.757.9
5.23.83.1
3.61.71.2
0.1*0.30.5
Minnesota46.853.466.4
2.22.84.1
0.71.02.3
1.20.80.3
Atlanta vs ColumbusHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus55.061.773.4
3.23.95.3
1.01.43.0
0.60.40.1
Atlanta28.318.314.0
1.20.70.5
3.67.09.2
LAFC vs VancouverHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC76.264.558.3
5.23.83.2
3.51.71.2
0.1*0.30.5
Vancouver12.616.426.1
0.30.50.9
10.58.24.2
San Jose vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Houston23.829.341.3
0.81.11.8
0.10.20.4
4.73.21.4
San Jose26.116.512.6
0.90.50.3
4.28.310.8
RSL vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado81.585.992.3
6.37.18.5
6.27.913.4
RSL58.345.439.4
3.32.21.7
1.50.60.4
0.61.42.0
NYCFC vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando70.475.985.1
5.05.97.4
2.94.07.4
0.20.10.0
NYCFC77.366.160.0
6.04.53.7
4.42.21.5
0.1*0.30.5
Nashville vs CincinnatiHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Nashville82.873.166.7
6.85.34.5
5.42.82.0
0.00.10.3
Cincinnati17.722.233.0
0.70.91.6
0.10.10.3
7.86.03.0
Vancouver vs Austin FCHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Austin FC18.622.933.7
0.60.81.4
0.10.10.3
7.95.82.8
Vancouver26.016.412.8
0.90.50.4
4.18.110.7
New England vs MontrealHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
New England98.095.293.1
10.99.99.2
26.417.113.6
Montreal63.468.979.6
4.04.86.3
1.42.34.8
0.4*0.20.1
Miami CF vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia68.674.283.7
4.85.57.0
2.33.16.0
0.20.10.0
Miami CF16.810.07.5
0.70.30.2
9.916.419.8
Chicago vs TorontoHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago20.512.59.6
0.80.40.3
5.310.414.2
Toronto5.06.812.4
0.10.20.4
24.219.411.5
Dallas vs LA GalaxyHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy81.885.792.0
6.37.08.4
5.36.912.0
Dallas16.09.27.0
0.50.20.2
8.715.018.5
Seattle vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle97.895.293.4
10.69.68.9
28.618.814.4
Sporting KC88.891.495.7
7.78.49.7
8.611.919.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.