MLS Playoff Chances

Sporting KC +11.5, Portland -10.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change1234567891011121314Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
SeattleWPortland 2-1103-1-0888.5%+8.98.8%+1.720.4%+8.1301813108654321103.6+1.010.1%-0.22.527at San JoseSeattle Sounders
NYCFC72-1-1683.6+0.17.9+0.011.5-0.82516121087554322114.1+0.020.2-0.016.513New York City FC
San Jose93-0-1579.2-0.16.9-0.110.7-0.7171512119876543214.7-0.060.2-0.05.497SeattleSan Jose Earthquakes
Orlando61-3-0370.4+0.25.8+0.05.1-0.41312111098776543315.6+0.020.6-0.07.506Orlando City SC
Columbus511-2-0270.1+0.25.7+0.05.4-0.41312111098776544325.6+0.020.7-0.010.498at TorontoColumbus Crew
LA Galaxy93-0-1068.1-0.15.0-0.15.6-0.41011111010998765425.8-0.040.5-0.01.460Los Angeles Galaxy
RSL612-0-1262.3+0.44.4-0.04.5-0.189999998876536.3+0.010.8-0.09.475Real Salt Lake
New England72-1-1062.2+0.34.5+0.03.2-0.3999999887665426.4+0.021.0-0.120.460at PhiladelphiaNew England Revolution
AtlantaTMiami 1-151-2-1161.5+1.44.5+0.13.1-0.2899999887765426.4+0.121.1-0.217.473Atlanta United
Vancouver72-1-1261.4-0.44.3-0.14.0-0.379999999877536.4-0.050.8-0.019.488at MinnesotaVancouver Whitecaps
AustinLSporting KC 1-262-0-2060.7-8.74.1-1.33.9-2.978999999887536.5-0.810.9+0.314.460Austin FC
NY Red Bulls62-0-2260.0+0.24.3+0.02.9-0.3899999887765436.6+0.021.2-0.123.479New York Red Bulls
Sporting KCWAustin 2-172-1-1057.2+11.53.7+1.03.2+1.367899999987646.7+0.941.1-1.33.460at HoustonSporting Kansas City
Colorado72-1-1056.7-0.53.7-0.13.2-0.367899999988646.8-0.061.1-0.015.460Colorado Rapids
Nashville61-3-0254.8+0.33.7+0.02.2-0.2678888888776547.0+0.031.6-0.14.483Nashville FC
MiamiTAtlanta 1-151-2-1052.0-3.83.4-0.41.8-0.8577888888877647.3-0.352.0+0.28.460MontrealInter Miami CF
Montreal51-2-1050.8+0.23.3+0.01.7-0.2567888888887647.4+0.012.1-0.111.460at MiamiMontreal Impact
LAFC51-2-1148.6+0.12.9-0.02.1-0.14677889910109857.4+0.011.8-0.16.473Los Angeles FC
Houston51-2-1045.8-0.22.6-0.11.7-0.135678899101010967.7-0.022.1-0.113.460Sporting KCHouston Dynamo
Dallas51-2-1142.4-0.32.4-0.11.5-0.1345678991011111078.0-0.022.5-0.112.470FC Dallas
Philadelphia41-1-2-139.7+0.32.3+0.00.9-0.1345677889999978.4+0.033.9-0.224.443New EnglandPhiladelphia Union
DC United31-0-3-530.8+0.21.5+0.00.5-0.12344567889101112119.3+0.016.2-0.221.418DC United
Toronto110-1-2-427.1+0.11.3+0.00.4-0.01234556789101213149.6+0.018.0-0.326.430ColumbusToronto FC
Cincinnati110-1-2-823.7+0.11.1+0.00.3-0.012334567891012141710.0+0.0110.0-0.325.408FC Cincinnati
PortlandLSeattle 1-231-0-3-420.5-10.30.8-0.70.3-0.5112344679111419209.9-0.938.8+3.617.423Portland Timbers
Chicago10-1-3-613.4+0.30.5+0.00.1-0.001122345681013182811.2+0.0317.9-0.827.407Chicago Fire FC
Minnesota00-0-4-78.6-0.30.3-0.00.1-0.0001112345812204311.323.0-0.022.403VancouverMinnesota United FC

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/7
Vancouver 2 Montreal 0
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle-0.4
NYCFC+0.3
San Jose-0.4
Orlando+0.3
Columbus+0.4
LA Galaxy-0.6
RSL-0.6
New England+0.3
Atlanta+0.4
Vancouver+6.4
+0.6
+0.7
-1.1
Austin-0.5
NY Red Bulls+0.4
Sporting KC-0.6
Colorado-0.6
Nashville+0.4
Miami+0.4
Montreal-4.6
-0.6
-1.0
+0.4
LAFC-0.6
Houston-0.6
Dallas-0.6
Philadelphia+0.3
DC United+0.4
Toronto+0.4
Cincinnati+0.3
Portland-0.5
Chicago+0.3
Minnesota-0.3
RSL 1 San Jose 2
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
San Jose+9.9
+1.4
+3.9
-0.4
RSL-8.4
-1.3
-3.6
+0.3
Chicago 0 Philadelphia 2
12:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia+8.5
+0.5
+0.2
-6.1
Chicago-7.9
-0.5
-0.2
+5.0
Portland 1 Seattle 2
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+6.9
+1.2
+5.0
NYCFC-0.6
San Jose-0.5
Portland-7.5
-0.5
-0.4
+2.3
Chicago-0.4
Minnesota-0.4
LA Galaxy 2 LAFC 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy+6.9
+0.8
+1.4
-0.5
LAFC-5.4
-0.7
-1.3
+0.3
Sporting KC 2 Austin 1
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Austin-4.8
-0.6
-1.7
+0.2
Sporting KC+6.9
+0.6
+0.8
-0.9
Colorado-0.2
LAFC-0.2
Houston-0.2
Dallas-0.2
Nashville 2 New England 0
12:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
New England-4.4
-0.7
-1.7
+0.2
Nashville+6.5
+0.5
+0.4
-1.7
Minnesota+0.3
NY Red Bulls 2 Toronto 0
12:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls+6.5
+0.6
+0.5
-1.2
Toronto-4.8
-0.4
-0.3
+1.2
Colorado 3 Minnesota 2
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy-0.3
RSL-0.3
Vancouver-0.3
Austin-0.3
Sporting KC-0.3
Colorado+6.0
+0.5
+0.5
-1.1
LAFC-0.3
Houston-0.3
Dallas-0.3
Philadelphia-0.3
Cincinnati-0.2
Portland-0.3
Chicago-0.2
Minnesota-2.6
+2.9
Columbus 3 DC United 1
12:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus+5.8
+0.7
+1.3
-0.5
DC United-4.8
-0.4
-0.4
+0.9
Dallas 1 Houston 1
2:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver+0.5
Sporting KC+0.5
Colorado+0.5
Houston+0.6
-0.1
-0.2
Dallas-4.9
-0.5
-0.7
+0.5
Miami 1 Atlanta 1
12:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+0.4
-0.2
-0.1
Miami-4.6
-0.5
-0.7
+0.4
Orlando 1 NYCFC 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+0.2
NYCFC+0.5
+0.1
-0.2
Orlando-3.7
-0.6
-1.7
Miami vs MontrealIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Miami58.947.241.4
4.12.92.4
2.51.20.9
1.22.43.3
Montreal45.551.262.8
2.7*3.34.5
1.11.53.0
2.61.90.9
Houston vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC51.957.868.8
3.23.75.0
2.33.05.5
1.41.00.4
Houston52.640.935.4
3.22.21.8
2.31.20.8
1.32.63.5
Philadelphia vs New EnglandHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
New England57.062.673.2
3.9*4.55.9
2.33.05.4
1.40.90.4
Philadelphia46.535.129.9
2.81.91.5
1.30.60.4
2.54.76.0
Toronto vs ColumbusHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus64.569.678.8
5.05.66.9
3.84.88.2
1.00.60.3
Toronto33.723.919.9
1.81.10.9
0.60.30.2
5.39.011.2
DC United vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United36.426.322.0
1.91.21.0
0.70.30.2
4.17.510.0
Chicago10.513.320.5
0.40.50.9
0.00.10.2
21.117.310.9
Minnesota vs VancouverHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver55.260.370.8
3.64.15.4
2.73.56.2
1.20.70.3
Minnesota11.87.05.3
0.40.20.1
17.125.329.3
San Jose vs SeattleHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle85.988.793.4
8.28.89.9
16.420.128.8
San Jose84.276.272.1
7.76.35.6
14.08.56.2
0.10.20.4
Week of 5/15
RSL vs NashvilleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
RSL68.458.053.4
5.13.93.4
5.93.32.5
0.41.01.4
Nashville50.0*54.865.6
3.23.75.0
1.52.03.9
2.11.50.7
Colorado vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado63.552.046.1
4.43.22.6
4.22.31.7
0.61.41.9
Houston40.446.257.9
2.2*2.63.8
1.21.63.1
2.71.90.9
Atlanta vs MontrealHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta68.056.851.1
5.23.93.3
4.12.21.6
0.61.42.0
Montreal45.651.462.9
2.73.34.6
1.11.63.1
2.61.90.9
Sporting KC vs VancouverHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver55.961.672.3
3.64.35.6
2.83.86.6
1.10.70.3
Sporting KC64.352.947.1
4.53.22.7
4.42.31.7
0.61.31.8
Philadelphia vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls54.560.270.9
3.74.35.6
2.02.74.9
1.61.10.5
Philadelphia46.735.330.2
2.81.91.5
1.30.60.4
2.44.66.0
Cincinnati vs MiamiHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Miami45.751.362.7
2.83.34.5
1.21.63.0
2.71.90.9
Cincinnati29.620.616.8
1.50.90.7
0.50.20.1
6.811.313.9
LA Galaxy vs AustinHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy74.363.958.4
5.94.53.8
7.44.23.2
0.20.60.9
Austin55.661.271.9
3.54.25.5
2.83.76.6
1.10.80.3
New England vs ColumbusHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus65.270.379.5
5.0*5.77.1
3.95.18.6
0.90.60.3
New England69.258.152.6
5.44.03.4
4.42.31.7
0.61.21.7
DC United vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando64.569.779.0
5.05.67.0
3.54.57.7
0.90.60.2
DC United38.227.623.1
2.11.31.0
0.70.30.2
3.97.08.8
Seattle vs LAFCHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle91.786.282.7
9.58.37.6
24.516.914.0
LAFC43.949.160.4
2.43.04.2
1.42.14.0
2.21.60.8
Minnesota vs DallasHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Dallas36.341.252.5
1.92.23.2
0.91.22.5
3.52.31.1
Minnesota11.77.05.2
0.40.20.1
17.225.429.6
NYCFC vs TorontoHomeDrawAway
12:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC87.480.476.2
8.67.36.7
14.18.97.2
0.10.20.4
Toronto23.327.537.8
1.11.42.1
0.20.40.9
9.47.64.3
San Jose vs PortlandHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
San Jose83.875.670.9
7.66.25.6
13.28.36.7
0.10.20.4
Portland17.120.830.0
0.60.91.4
0.20.30.7
10.58.44.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.