"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indy 1 Birmingham 2 -7.5
-0.6
Memphis 1 Tulsa 0 -1.7
-0.0
OKC 0 Kansas City II 0 +1.6
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta II vs Tulsa+1.1+0.7-1.7
Kansas City II vs Louisville-0.6+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tulsa vs Indy-6.3+0.2+13.0
-0.5-0.0+1.0
Kansas City II vs Memphis+1.6+1.0-2.4
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Louisville vs OKC+0.7+0.1-2.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Birmingham vs Atlanta II+0.2+0.1-0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Birmingham vs Atlanta II+0.2+0.0-0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sacramento vs New York II+0.0+0.0-0.1
New York II vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.0+0.0
Charlotte vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Indy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
7018-0-0In991018,259
6817-1-0In1007
6717-0-1In871315
6616-2-0In908263
6516-1-1In791012188
6415-3-0In7515101386*
6315-2-1In691813001,225
6215-1-2In572319012,771*
6114-3-1In442925115,766*
6014-2-2In34323022013,145*
5914-1-3In23343554025,665*
5813-3-2In143337970049,532*
5713-2-3In8303615110094,049*
5612-4-2In42431231710162,787*
5512-3-3In118243022300282,558*
5412-2-4100.0%0121635277100471,431*
5311-4-3100.0089362915300745,075*
5211-3-499.904433282550001,160,829*
5111-2-599.8021262337920001,726,340*
5010-4-499.40101915471341002,477,134*
4910-3-598.40001285216102003,475,397*
489-5-496.30007450171930004,689,329*
479-4-592.4003143153061006,114,031*
469-3-686.30010331141941007,773,383*
458-5-577.40000236471282009,519,157*
448-4-665.9000153481415500011,305,473*
438-3-752.5000814313221110013,055,587*
427-5-638.600403410272040014,541,515*
417-4-725.8002024727301010015,717,954*
407-3-815.3001015423371830016,468,772*
396-5-78.000082163829810016,666,995*
386-4-83.60041932371520016,321,892*
376-3-91.40010422402560015,486,163*
365-5-80.40002133635132014,167,019*
355-4-90.1000062740224012,523,074*
344-6-80.000021739329010,689,229*
334-5-90.00001932401718,769,692*
324-4-100.0000423442726,934,854*
314-3-110.0000214413945,273,198*
303-5-10Out0008345083,836,200*
293-4-11Out0032657132,673,970*
283-3-12Out0011761211,780,593*
272-5-11Out001060301,125,643*
262-4-12Out0055539675,589*
252-3-13Out034849382,439*
241-5-12Out014059203,937*
231-4-13Out003267100,353*
221-3-14Out0247646,020*
211-2-15Out0178319,063*
200-4-14Out012886,970*
190-3-15Out8922,315*
180-2-16Out892589
170-1-17Out298112
160-0-18Out19918,264
Total:27.9%000118215410151512961227,601,996

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs