Colorado Rapids Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 91.8%
16 points   5-1-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati 0 Colorado 2 +6.6
+1.2
+2.3
-0.1
+0.6
Austin 0 San Jose 0 +0.5
+0.1
Portland 2 Sporting KC 1 -0.5
+0.1
LAFC 1 Houston 1 +0.4
+0.1
LA Galaxy 1 Seattle 2 +0.3
+0.1
-0.5
Dallas 1 Minnesota 1 +0.3
Orlando 5 San Jose 0 +0.2
-0.2
+0.0
RSL 3 Vancouver 1 -0.1
-0.1
NYCFC 2 New England 3 -0.2
Toronto 2 Orlando 3 -0.2
Atlanta 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.1
Columbus 2 Chicago 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Colorado-2.1+0.3+4.0
-0.6+0.1+1.3
-1.8-0.3+4.2
-0.3+0.0+0.7
Seattle vs RSL+0.1-0.0-0.3
+0.0*+0.0-0.2
-0.6+0.6+1.0
Minnesota vs Austin+0.0+0.2-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
LAFC vs Dallas-0.1+0.2+0.1
Houston vs Portland-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs LA Galaxy-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
New England vs NY Red Bulls-0.3+0.3+0.4
Philadelphia vs Columbus-0.0+0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Atlanta-0.0+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Austin vs Columbus-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Seattle vs Vancouver+0.1-0.0-0.5
-0.5+0.7+1.2
Dallas vs New England-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.3+0.1-0.5
Sporting KC vs LAFC+0.1+0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Portland vs Minnesota-0.1+0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
RSL vs Houston+0.0+0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Austin vs Portland-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.1
San Jose vs LA Galaxy-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Miami vs Orlando+0.5+0.2-0.6
Chicago vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.1-0.2
NYCFC vs DC United-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011121314SpoonCount
83-94In100.0%100No107,011*
8221-3-2In99.91000No5,311*
8121-2-3In99.91000No11,157*
8020-4-2In99.81000No22,343*
7920-3-3In99.71000No43,184*
7819-5-2In99.61000No79,953*
7719-4-3In99.41000No144,685*
7619-3-4In99.0991No253,628*
7518-5-3In98.49910No428,409*
7418-4-4In97.5991No708,497*
7318-3-5In96.09820No1,132,100*
7217-5-4In93.89640No1,760,104*
7117-4-5In90.99550No2,669,401*
7016-6-4In86.89280No3,934,864*
6916-5-5In81.5891100No5,653,036*
6816-4-6In74.9851500No7,922,351*
6715-6-5In66.9801900No10,817,197*
6615-5-6In57.7752500No14,405,880*
6515-4-7In47.76831100No18,733,501*
6414-6-6In37.26038100No23,742,600*
6314-5-7In27.25245300No29,392,706*
6213-7-6In18.44351500No35,541,646*
6113-6-7In11.235569000No41,924,013*
6013-5-8In6.1265914100No48,299,291*
5912-7-7In2.81959202000No54,360,035*
5812-6-8In1.11255284000No59,727,598*
5712-5-9In0.3748368100No64,110,738*
5611-7-8100.0%0.143842142000No67,195,213*
5511-6-9100.00.022844224000No68,793,555*
5411-5-10100.00.0118413191000No68,761,583*
5310-7-9100.00.00103438163000No67,139,420*
5210-6-10100.0No042439256100No63,972,801*
519-8-999.9No02143534142000No59,512,040*
509-7-1099.4No0062538236100No54,027,563*
499-6-1197.6No002143433142000No47,865,639*
488-8-1092.6No0162437247100No41,383,148*
478-7-1181.7No002133234153000No34,866,730*
468-6-1264.0No00052237278100No28,643,418*
457-8-1142.5No002113035184000No22,928,602*
447-7-1223.1No000419352910200No17,873,878*
437-6-1310.1No0019273621500No13,571,425*
426-8-123.5No00031634311220No10,025,112*
416-7-131.0No0018263723500.0%7,204,677*
406-6-140.2No0031635331210.05,023,217*
395-8-130.0No001827382240.03,409,312*
385-7-140.0No000318383280.02,239,635*
375-6-150.0No001103341160.21,427,932*
364-8-14OutNo0052445250.7880,072*
354-7-15OutNo0021645372.1525,496*
344-6-16OutNo011041494.9301,399*
333-8-15OutNo00534609.6168,158*
323-7-16OutNo03277016.590,101*
313-6-17OutNo01207925.645,909*
302-8-16OutNo1148635.822,585*
292-7-17OutNo099145.710,559*
282-6-18OutNo069455.84,784*
272-5-19OutNo49663.51,973*
261-7-18OutNo19972.1804*
251-6-19OutNo29880.5313*
241-5-20OutNo19987.0108*
21-23OutNo10080.636*
160-0-26OutNo010099.6102,612
Total:91.8%7.1%1424181410753211000.0%1,113,951,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSeattleSporting KCRSLLA GalaxyPortlandHoustonAustinLAFCVancouverSan JoseMinnesotaDallas
70-9412.5%Yes
6916-5-512.51000
6816-4-612.51000
6715-6-512.5100000000
6615-5-612.510000000000000
6515-4-712.5100000000000000
6414-6-612.5100000000000000
6314-5-712.5100000000000000
13-8-512.5100000000000000
6213-7-612.5100000000000000
14-4-812.5100000000000000
6113-6-712.5100000000000000
14-3-912.5100000000000000
6013-5-812.599000000000000
12-8-612.599000000000000
5912-7-712.498000000000000
13-4-912.498000000000000
5812-6-812.396011111000000
11-9-612.396011111000000
13-3-1012.396011111000000
5712-5-912.291011111110000
11-8-712.291011111110000
5611-7-811.984122322110000
12-4-1011.984022322110000
10-10-611.985022222110000
5511-6-911.474144443221111
10-9-711.474144443221111
12-3-1111.474144443221111
5411-5-1010.760166655331111
10-8-810.760166655331111
5310-7-99.744288876442221
11-4-119.744288876432211
9-10-79.744288876442211
5210-6-108.428210101098542222
9-9-88.328210101098542222
519-8-96.715210101098552222
10-5-116.816210101198552222
509-7-105.07199987542222
10-4-125.07199987542222
499-6-113.32177766432222
8-9-93.22177766432222
488-8-101.81044544221111
478-7-110.80022222111111
468-6-120.30011111000000
457-8-110.10000000000000
447-7-120.00000000000000
437-6-130.0000000000000
427-5-140.0000000000000
416-7-13No0000000
16-40No
Total:8.7%56.20.63.53.53.63.22.81.81.60.80.80.70.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/18100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati 0 Colorado 2 -1.4
Austin 0 San Jose 0 -0.1
LAFC 1 Houston 1 -0.1
RSL 3 Vancouver 1 +0.0
LA Galaxy 1 Seattle 2 -0.0
Orlando 5 San Jose 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Colorado+0.7-0.1-1.4
Vancouver vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs RSL+0.0-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Portland+0.0-0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs Austin-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/25100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs LAFC+0.1-0.1-0.0
Portland vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1-0.1
Austin vs Portland-0.0-0.0+0.1
RSL vs Houston+0.0-0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Vancouver+0.0-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627
85-94100
8422-2-21000
8321-4-1100
8221-3-210000
8121-2-310000
8020-4-210000
7920-3-310000
7819-5-210000
7719-4-39900
7619-3-49901
7518-5-398110
7418-4-49711
7318-3-5962200
7217-5-4943400
7117-4-5914500
7016-6-4875800
6916-5-582811000
6816-4-6751015000
6715-6-56714190000
6615-5-65817250000
6515-4-748203111000
6414-6-637233621000
6314-5-727254243000
6213-7-6182545750000
6113-6-711234512800000
6013-5-862041181311000
5912-7-73163425182200000
5812-6-81112431235400000
5712-5-907153325118010000
5611-7-8047312418122200000
5511-6-9023251826175400000
5411-5-10011171031191281100000
5310-7-9000105291721123200000
5210-6-10004122112916106110000
519-8-90020135301519103200000
509-7-100000612410281495110000
499-6-11000020144301320103200000
488-8-10001061238291411610000
478-7-1100002013329122211520000
468-6-120000051217291413720000
457-8-110002011327111816830000
447-7-120000041186162319931000
437-6-13000109292025201031000
426-8-1200000303112226201031000
416-7-130001014122227201030000
406-6-140000141323272092000
395-8-130000015142527187200
385-7-14000001617272716510
375-6-150000282030251230
364-8-1400031225312171
354-7-1500015173130142
344-6-1600292535235
333-8-15001418353210
323-7-1600211314017
313-6-17015244526
302-8-1603174536
292-7-1701114246
282-6-18063856
272-5-19043364
261-7-1822672
251-6-1921881
241-5-201387
230-7-192773
21-22100
160-0-260100
Total:771212810684634231111111000000