How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 11/29 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* First League 100.0* Average seed Kasımpaşa 2 Galatasaray 2 -0.2 -0.6 +0.5 -0.2 Beşiktaş 0 Akhisar 2 +0.1 +0.1 Rize 0 Konya 0 +0.1 Bursa 1 Kayserispor 2 +0.3 Gençlerbirliği 2 Gaziantep 2 -0.1 Eskişehir 3 Mersin 2 *-0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Fenerbahçe vs Trabzon -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.3+0.1+0.2 -0.2*+0.0+0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 12/5 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* First League 100.0* Average seed Osmanlıspor vs Kasımpaşa -0.5-0.2+0.7 -1.5-0.6+1.9 +4.2+0.4-4.6 -1.0-0.2+1.1 Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş +0.1+0.1-0.2 +0.3+0.1-0.3 +0.5-0.1-0.4 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Gaziantep vs Fenerbahçe +0.1+0.0-0.2 +0.3+0.1-0.3 +0.4*-0.1-0.3 Akhisar vs Sivas -0.1*+0.0+0.1 -0.3+0.1+0.2 -0.3*-0.1+0.4 Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği -0.1*+0.0+0.0 -0.2+0.1+0.1 -0.3*-0.1+0.4 Galatasaray vs Bursa -0.2+0.1+0.1 -0.3*+0.0+0.3 Konya vs Antalya -0.1+0.1*+0.0 -0.1*-0.0+0.1 Trabzon vs Eskişehir -0.1*+0.0+0.1 -0.3-0.1+0.4 Mersin vs Rize +0.4-0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Kasımpaşa finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed First TP W - D - L wins title UEFA CL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 League Count 70 -80 Yes Yes 100 No 451 * 69 16 - 4 - 1 97.6 % Yes 98 2 No 84 * 68 16 - 3 - 2 95.0 99.3 % 95 4 1 No 141 * 67 16 - 2 - 3 89.0 Yes 89 11 No 254 * 66 15 - 4 - 2 89.1 99.4 89 10 1 No 488 * 65 15 - 3 - 3 83.6 99.2 84 16 1 No 980 * 64 14 - 5 - 2 76.9 98.3 77 21 2 No 1,496 * 63 14 - 4 - 3 69.1 96.8 69 28 3 0 No 2,575 * 62 14 - 3 - 4 60.0 93.7 60 34 6 0 No 4,211 * 61 13 - 5 - 3 50.1 89.4 50 39 10 1 0 No 6,499 * 60 13 - 4 - 4 38.4 82.7 38 44 15 2 0 No 10,139 * 59 12 - 6 - 3 28.5 73.8 29 45 22 4 0 No 14,777 * 58 12 - 5 - 4 18.8 60.7 19 42 30 8 1 0 No 21,027 * 57 12 - 4 - 5 11.0 46.6 11 36 36 14 2 0 0 No 29,634 * 56 11 - 6 - 4 5.6 31.8 6 26 39 23 6 1 0 No 40,070 * 55 11 - 5 - 5 2.4 19.0 2 17 36 31 12 2 0 0 No 52,840 * 54 11 - 4 - 6 0.8 9.5 1 9 27 36 21 6 1 0 No 68,692 * 53 10 - 6 - 5 0.2 3.7 0 4 17 33 30 13 3 0 0 No 85,371 * 52 10 - 5 - 6 0.0 1.1 0 1 8 25 34 23 8 1 0 0 No 104,038 * 51 9 - 7 - 5 0.0 0.2 0 0 3 14 29 31 17 5 1 0 0 No 123,313 * 50 9 - 6 - 6 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 6 19 32 28 12 3 0 0 0 No 141,933 * 49 9 - 5 - 7 No 0.0 0 0 1 9 23 32 24 9 2 0 0 No 159,349 * 48 8 - 7 - 6 No No 0 0 3 12 26 31 20 7 1 0 0 0 No 173,901 * 47 8 - 6 - 7 No No 0 0 4 14 28 30 17 5 1 0 0 No 184,915 * 46 8 - 5 - 8 No No 0 0 1 5 17 29 28 15 4 1 0 0 No 192,057 * 45 7 - 7 - 7 No No 0 0 1 7 20 30 26 12 3 0 0 No 104,335 * 8 - 4 - 9 No No 0 0 1 6 19 30 26 13 3 0 0 0 0.0 % 89,046 * 44 7 - 6 - 8 No No 0 0 2 9 22 31 24 10 2 0 0 0.0 189,457 * 43 7 - 5 - 9 No No 0 0 2 10 24 31 22 9 2 0 0 0.1 88,202 6 - 8 - 7 No No 0 0 3 11 25 31 21 7 1 0 0 0.1 92,764 * 42 6 - 7 - 8 No No 0 0 0 3 13 27 31 18 6 1 0 0 0.8 167,082 * 41 6 - 6 - 9 No No 0 0 1 5 17 30 29 15 3 0 0 3.6 149,893 * 40 6 - 5 - 10 No No 0 0 1 7 22 33 26 10 1 0 11.2 130,560 * 39 5 - 7 - 9 No No 0 0 2 11 27 34 20 5 0 24.9 110,789 * 38 5 - 6 - 10 No No 0 0 1 5 18 34 31 11 1 43.2 90,289 * 37 5 - 5 - 11 No No 0 0 1 9 27 37 21 4 62.2 72,249 * 36 4 - 7 - 10 No No 0 0 4 18 38 32 8 78.0 55,396 * 35 4 - 6 - 11 No No 0 1 10 32 41 15 88.8 41,223 * 34 4 - 5 - 12 No No 0 5 24 45 26 95.1 29,777 * 33 3 - 7 - 11 No No 0 0 2 16 45 37 98.0 20,303 * 32 3 - 6 - 12 No No 0 1 9 40 50 99.3 13,436 * 31 3 - 5 - 13 No No 0 5 34 61 99.8 8,616 * 30 2 - 7 - 12 No No 0 3 27 70 99.9 5,047 * 29 2 - 6 - 13 No No 1 21 78 Yes 3,077 * 28 2 - 5 - 14 No No 0 14 86 Yes 1,609 * 27 2 - 4 - 15 No No 0 10 90 Yes 843 * 26 1 - 6 - 14 No No 6 94 Yes 403 * 25 1 - 5 - 15 No No 4 96 Yes 180 * 24 0 - 7 - 14 No No 1 99 Yes 67 * 17 -23 No No 100 Yes 450 * Total: 1.1 % 3.3 % 1 2 4 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 2 10.2 % 2,884,328

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship