"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Adana vs Fenerbahce-1.6-0.5+2.1
-2.8-0.9+3.6
+4.9+0.8-5.5
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Hatayspor vs Kasimpasa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Altay vs Kayserispor-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Karagumruk vs Gaziantep-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Antalyaspor vs Goztepe-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Basaksehir vs Alanyaspor-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Besiktas vs Rizespor-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Giresunspor vs Galatasaray-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Malatyaspor vs Trabzonspor-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sivasspor vs Konyaspor-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Fenerbahce vs Antalyaspor+2.1-0.5-1.6
+3.6-0.9-2.8
-5.5+0.8+4.9
+1.1-0.2-1.0
Galatasaray vs Hatayspor-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gaziantep vs Besiktas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Trabzonspor vs Sivasspor-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Kasimpasa vs Giresunspor-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Alanyaspor vs Altay-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Konyaspor vs Basaksehir-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Kayserispor vs Adana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Rizespor vs Karagumruk-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goztepe vs Malatyaspor-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well Fenerbahce finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920LeagueCount
91-114YesYes100No519,056*
9028-6-499.9%Yes1000No1,571*
8928-5-5YesYes100No3,069*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No5,650*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No10,215*
8626-8-4100.0Yes1000No18,113*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No30,928*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No53,065*
8325-8-599.9Yes1000No88,398*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No144,070*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No232,235*
8024-8-699.8Yes1000No366,858*
7924-7-799.7100.0%10000No571,245*
7823-9-699.5100.09910No873,151*
7723-8-799.2100.09910No1,308,662*
7623-7-898.7100.09910No1,932,297*
7522-9-798.0100.098200No2,814,326*
7422-8-896.9100.097300No4,018,594*
7321-10-795.499.995500No5,653,443*
7221-9-893.199.9937000No7,825,668*
7121-8-990.199.79010000No10,667,940*
7020-10-885.999.38613100No14,313,822*
6920-9-980.598.680181000No18,910,747*
6820-8-1073.697.374243000No24,591,612*
6719-10-965.195.065305000No31,500,252*
6619-9-1055.391.15536810000No39,735,347*
6518-11-944.584.94440132000No49,354,409*
6418-10-1033.475.933431940000No60,377,037*
6318-9-1123.063.9234127810000No72,733,009*
6217-11-1014.249.414353214300000No86,313,904*
6117-10-117.634.28273522810000No100,900,492*
6017-9-123.420.4317322914410000No116,189,197*
5916-11-111.210.01924312310200000No131,725,935*
5816-10-120.33.8041427291871000000No147,162,091*
5715-12-110.11.1016182826155100000No161,897,386*
5615-11-120.00.2002820292412410000No175,441,141*
5515-10-130.00.000031022282311310000No187,220,879*
5414-12-120.00.000003112228221031000000.0%196,781,646*
5314-11-13No0.000013112328211030000000.0203,641,726*
5214-10-14No0.000001311232821103000000.0207,558,788*
5113-12-13NoNo00001311232821103000000.0208,263,196*
5013-11-14NoNo0000131123282110300000.0205,729,956*
4913-10-15NoNo0000014122328219200000.4200,044,635*
4812-12-14NoNo00001412242820820002.3191,486,211*
4712-11-15NoNo00000141325281971008.8180,379,445*
4612-10-16NoNo00000151527281751022.9167,200,644*
4511-12-15NoNo0000017192927133043.3152,423,268*
4411-11-16NoNo00002102332238164.5136,725,408*
4311-10-17NoNo00001414293217381.2120,595,764*
4210-12-16NoNo000017223527891.5104,583,550*
4110-11-17NoNo000031432361596.789,171,865*
4010-10-18NoNo00001726422498.974,708,708*
399-12-17NoNo0000318433699.761,494,054*
389-11-18NoNo000111404799.949,711,325*
379-10-19NoNo00173459100.039,469,046*
368-12-18NoNo00042769100.030,763,937*
358-11-19NoNo00022177100.023,509,028*
348-10-20NoNo0011584100.017,633,637*
337-12-19NoNo0001189100.012,962,129*
327-11-20NoNo000793100.09,334,359*
317-10-21NoNo00595Yes6,584,630*
306-12-20NoNo00397Yes4,549,307*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes3,069,614*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes2,029,314*
275-12-21NoNo0199Yes1,309,804*
265-11-22NoNo00100Yes824,984*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes506,481*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes302,596*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes177,030*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes99,675*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes54,748*
203-11-24NoNo0100Yes29,387*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes15,064*
0-18NoNo100Yes531,307*
Total:5.0%10.0%5555555555555555555520.0%4,159,762,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship