Western Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Winnipeg +4.5, Columbus -2.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TuesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIWednesday
Toronto631-0265.9%-0.64.1%-0.14.6%-0.191017165945655546EdmontonToronto Maple Leafs
Calgary5120-1565.8-0.64.1-0.04.7-0.1910171659456555415Calgary Flames
Montreal5120-1565.8-0.64.1-0.04.7-0.1910171559456555412at VancouverMontreal Canadiens
WinnipegWOttawa 4-3 (ot)4121-0060.9+4.53.8+0.33.6+0.77815155955666654Winnipeg Jets
Tampa Bay4220-0760.3-1.03.8-0.15.2-0.1108161484876554425Tampa Bay Lightning
FloridaWChicago 5-4 (ot)4220-0460.3+4.03.8+0.35.2+1.0108151484876555425Florida Panthers
OttawaLWinnipeg 3-4 (ot)3111-1054.9-1.63.4-0.12.6-0.36714145956777778Ottawa Senators
Carolinaat Nashville4121-0354.3-0.93.4-0.13.6-0.17614138597766655Carolina Hurricanes
NashvilleCarolina4121-0354.3-1.03.4-0.13.6-0.176141385987666516Nashville Predators
Dallas0400-0050.2-1.03.1-0.13.2-0.076131385987777730Dallas Stars
DetroitWColumbus 3-2 (ot)422-0-147.9+4.03.0+0.32.5+0.555121385987777718Detroit Red Wings
Edmonton213-0-543.4-0.62.7-0.01.2-0.03510125956889101129at TorontoEdmonton Oilers
Vancouver213-0-743.3-0.62.7-0.01.2-0.03510125956889101127MontrealVancouver Canucks
ColumbusLDetroit 2-3 (ot)312-1-541.7-2.22.6-0.11.7-0.244101185988888921Columbus Blue Jackets
ChicagoLFlorida 4-5 (ot)103-1-1131.0-2.01.9-0.10.8-0.1237964888910111430Chicago Blackhawks

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is division-based. The top four teams in each division will make up the 16 teams in the playoffs, based on regular-season record.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay-0.4
Florida-0.4
Carolina-0.5
*-0.1
Nashville-0.7
Dallas-0.5
Detroit+4.8
+0.3
+0.6
Columbus-1.6
-0.1
-0.2
Chicago-0.6
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto-0.6
Calgary-0.6
Montreal-0.4
Winnipeg+4.5
+0.3
+0.7
Ottawa-1.6
*-0.1
-0.3
Edmonton-0.6
Vancouver-0.8
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal*-0.1
Tampa Bay-0.5
Florida+4.4
+0.3
+1.1
Carolina-0.3
*-0.1
Nashville-0.5
Dallas-0.5
Detroit-0.6
Columbus-0.5
-0.1
Chicago-1.4
*-0.1
-0.1
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg*-0.1
Nashville vs CarolinaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida*60.459.7*59.9*60.259.7*60.4
Carolina48.252.653.058.459.059.7
3.0*3.3*3.3*3.63.73.7
2.53.33.34.54.64.6
Nashville59.658.857.952.852.848.1
3.73.83.7*3.4*3.33.0
4.64.44.43.33.32.4
Detroit48.147.4*47.547.147.2*48.1
Wednesday
Vancouver vs MontrealIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto*66.065.0*65.8*65.865.366.1
4.7*4.5*4.7*4.5*4.64.5
Calgary*65.965.4*65.565.265.266.1
Montreal60.164.464.069.470.170.8
3.8*4.03.9*4.34.54.4
3.34.44.35.76.06.0
Winnipeg*61.060.4*60.460.260.361.2
Ottawa*55.054.0*54.5*54.654.555.1
Edmonton*43.542.8*42.9*43.342.743.6
Vancouver48.648.046.941.541.837.3
3.03.1*2.9*2.6*2.62.3
1.71.61.61.01.10.8
Toronto vs EdmontonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto70.870.269.764.464.460.2
4.44.3*4.3*4.1*3.93.7
5.85.95.54.34.23.2
Calgary66.065.4*65.4*65.465.3*65.9
Montreal*66.065.2*65.4*65.565.3*66.0
Winnipeg61.360.2*60.4*60.460.1*60.9
Ottawa55.154.254.2*54.554.3*55.0
Edmonton37.341.941.847.147.848.7
2.4*2.6*2.73.02.93.1
0.71.1*1.11.61.61.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

TorontoCalgaryMontrealWinnipegTampa BayFloridaOttawaCarolinaNashvilleDallasDetroitEdmontonVancouverColumbusChicago
Toronto10.310.29.52.22.28.42.02.01.81.86.46.41.51.2
Calgary10.310.29.42.22.38.42.02.01.91.86.46.41.51.2
Montreal10.210.29.42.22.28.42.02.01.91.86.56.41.51.2
Winnipeg9.59.49.42.12.17.61.81.81.71.65.75.71.41.0
Tampa Bay2.22.22.22.18.31.97.57.56.96.51.61.65.64.2
Florida2.22.32.22.18.31.97.57.56.86.61.61.65.64.2
Ottawa8.48.48.47.61.91.91.71.71.51.44.94.91.20.9
Carolina2.02.02.01.87.57.51.76.76.15.91.31.34.93.6
Nashville2.02.02.01.87.57.51.76.76.15.71.31.35.13.6
Dallas1.81.91.91.76.96.81.56.16.15.31.21.24.53.3
Detroit1.81.81.81.66.56.61.45.95.75.31.11.14.43.0
Edmonton6.46.46.55.71.61.64.91.31.31.21.13.70.90.6
Vancouver6.46.46.45.71.61.64.91.31.31.21.13.70.90.6
Columbus1.51.51.51.45.65.61.24.95.14.54.40.90.92.5
Chicago1.21.21.21.04.24.20.93.63.63.33.00.60.62.5