Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.4 to 38.8%
2 points   1 3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.3
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.3
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)*+0.2
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal+4.6+4.7+3.6-1.1-1.1-5.6
+0.3+0.3*+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.4
+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.2-0.1-0.5
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.7-0.5-0.8*+0.0*+0.1+0.9
St. Louis vs San Jose+0.8*+0.2*+0.2-0.7-0.8-0.7
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.8*+0.2*+0.4-0.6-0.7-0.7
Vegas vs Arizona+0.3-0.5*-0.5-0.8-0.7*+0.1
*+0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.2-0.2*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
85-106InYes100238*
84399-4In97.5%991118*
83389-5In97.4991191*
823810-4In94.79811338*
813710-5In91.19721576*
803711-4In87.29343992*
793611-5In83.7943301,546*
783511-6In73.6877502,489*
773512-5In62.1829803,602*
763412-6In50.475131205,227*
753413-5In38.0661717107,594*
743313-6In24.05322232010,749*
733314-5In13.04225294014,298*
723214-6100.0%6.531273660018,878*
713215-5100.02.2202841101024,950*
703115-699.90.6112644162031,432*
693116-599.60.15224523500038,844*
683016-698.80.021741309010046,862*
673017-597.1No111363514030055,167*
662917-693.6No07283721161063,623*
652918-587.5No0319362541020071,345*
642818-677.6No01123125917510079,845*
632819-564.7No16222115231020085,508*
622719-649.7No031513192618610090,199*
612720-534.8No018619232613300093,367*
602620-621.9No004215162822920094,074*
592621-512.5No002110925291861093,101*
582521-66.3No01054173027133090,530*
572522-52.9No0003292431228184,777*
562422-61.2No00010415303016379,020*
552423-50.4No00018233326771,773*
542323-60.1No000041532351464,019*
532324-50.0No00001927402355,377*
522224-60.0No0000519423447,160*
512225-5OutNo00213394539,001*
502125-60.0No0018355632,019*
492126-5OutNo004296625,742*
482026-6OutNo002237520,042*
472027-5OutNo01178215,124*
461927-6OutNo1128711,254*
451928-5OutNo08918,317*
441828-6OutNo006946,145*
431829-5OutNo04964,278*
421729-6OutNo03972,858*
411730-5OutNo2981,892*
401630-6OutNo1991,284*
391631-5OutNo199843*
381531-6OutNo199455*
371532-5OutNo199326*
2-36OutNo100547*
Total:38.8%1.2%3491176889999101,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasCalgaryWinnipegNashvilleColoradoMinnesotaSt. LouisDallasArizonaAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesEdmontonChicago
106520-08.6%6141310913983986
90415-6No5050
89427-3No25252525
88417-4No17171750
87418-3No6629181266666
86408-4No66315612993339312
85398-510.4101784134868156
84399-46.8686999885653312
83389-54.757131189710653358
823810-48.0641110119910645329
813710-57.345981010910565539
803711-45.5671188999655648
793611-56.05799109810564648
783511-65.766999998665648
773512-56.067898998666548
763412-66.278998888666648
753413-56.088887887776657
743313-66.199777777887856
733314-55.91010666666998856
723214-66.1121156555510108854
713215-56.3131344444411109964
703115-66.314134433341112101073
693116-56.315143333331212101072
683016-66.215142333331212101072
673017-56.015142323231212101072
3118-35.915143323231111101072
662917-66.114133333331111101072
2816-85.6141334333310119972
652918-55.3131234333310109962
2817-75.313123433349108862
3019-35.513123433331099861
642818-64.91110343334887751
2919-45.01210343333898752
2717-84.71110343333887752
632819-54.198334433665541
2920-34.198333333765541
622719-63.175333332454421
612720-52.153223332332211
602620-61.432212221221110
592621-50.721111111111100
582521-60.410101110000000
572522-50.200000000000000
562422-60.000000000000000
552423-50.000000000000000
542424-40.00000000000000
532324-50.00000000000
522224-60.0000000
512427-1No
502024-8No0
2-49No
Total:2.4%5.44.71.71.81.91.91.91.64.04.03.43.42.30.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -0.1
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal-1.1-1.1-0.9+0.3+0.3+1.3
St. Louis vs San Jose-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
85-106100
84399-49721
83389-59721
823810-495411
813710-591621
803711-487543
793611-584103030
783511-674147500
773512-5622090800
763412-6502413011000
753413-53828161160010
743313-62429202212120
733314-513292132441400
723214-67242162682060000
713215-52181810231350910100
703115-611113141718911320200
693116-505814922122175150000
683016-602413319145161030810100
673017-5111011313912176012200300
662917-600607813520102147105100
652918-50030231321712612144093100
642818-60011110010911619811273100
632819-501006045142191141113831000
622719-60003121201391071415941000
612720-50001008065143916171252000
602620-60000422130310172015831000
592621-500002119013917211912520000
582521-60010050003715222115721000
572522-500003000261421231893100
562422-600001000251221241911410
552423-50000015122125211130
542323-600000151322272192
532324-50000016152629185
522224-600002719312911
512225-5000312283620
502125-600016214032
492126-50003143944
482026-600183457
472027-50052768
461927-60022177
451928-5011584
441828-6001189
431829-50793
421729-60595
411730-50397
401630-6298
391631-5199
381531-6199
371532-5199
2-36100
Total:1222232323232423333344444445556