Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 27%
2 points   1 3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.3
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal+3.9+3.9+3.4-0.9-1.0-4.9
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose+0.7*-0.1*-0.0-0.6-0.6-0.8
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.6-0.6-0.6+0.4*+0.1+0.9
Vegas vs Arizona+0.4-0.4*-0.2-0.3-0.8-0.2
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.5*-0.0*+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
84-106In99.4%100488*
83389-5In98.1991107*
82379-6In95.1982225*
813710-5In84.79325365*
803711-4In80.59145672*
793611-5In74.188661,171*
783511-6In64.1838901,854*
773512-5In53.776131103,113*
763412-6In39.8671616104,840*
753413-5In27.4571922107,669*
743313-6In16.34723283011,612*
733314-5100.0%8.435263450016,626*
723214-6100.03.925283981023,756*
713215-5100.01.2152843121033,467*
703115-699.90.3826461830045,138*
693116-599.70.04214624500059,470*
683016-699.00.01154231901077,676*
673017-597.70.001036371402098,291*
662917-695.0No062839201500120,684*
652918-589.9No032038254910146,261*
642818-681.9No1123326915300171,424*
632819-570.6No17252216217100197,349*
622719-657.0No0317152225143000222,018*
612720-542.4No0111823242292000244,741*
602620-628.8No0163201928186100265,103*
592621-517.7No00311412272713300278,928*
582521-69.9No001096213122820287,133*
572522-55.0No0000531328291640288,812*
562422-62.3No000217213225102285,347*
552423-50.9No000103142932184275,140*
542323-60.4No00000172234278260,494*
532223-70.1No00000315333414238,569*
522224-60.0No00019274023216,699*
512225-50.0No00005204233191,975*
502125-60.0No0002144143165,738*
492126-50.0No00193654140,561*
482026-6OutNo0053164116,139*
472027-5OutNo003257294,447*
461927-6OutNo002197974,554*
451928-5OutNo001148557,245*
441828-6OutNo00108943,600*
431829-5OutNo079232,166*
421729-6OutNo059523,273*
411730-5OutNo049616,432*
401630-6OutNo29811,316*
391631-5OutNo02987,679*
381531-6OutNo1995,167*
371532-5OutNo01003,349*
361432-6OutNo01002,009*
351433-5OutNo01001,293*
341333-6OutNo0100689*
31-33OutNo100778*
301135-6OutNo29859*
2-29OutNo100469*
Total:27.0%0.3%125856789101113154,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasCalgaryColoradoNashvilleMinnesotaWinnipegDallasArizonaSt. LouisAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesEdmontonChicago
106520-05.6%6597105147876519
91447-1YesYes
89416-5NoYes
88417-4No25252525
87407-5No20202040
86408-415.41588881588888
85398-58.3844413882181344
84399-46.0104618461668222214
83389-55.631198131353811483
82379-65.3661271011106945239
813710-53.038988121151057616
803711-43.649881091061066627
793611-52.858979111071065535
783511-63.769888998966626
773512-53.779798898976635
763412-64.0710797888877635
753413-53.3912677879787624
743313-63.710135767710787734
733314-53.211155666611688733
723214-63.214164555511598732
713215-53.215184444412499832
703115-63.1161934333123109831
693116-52.91719333331331010841
683016-62.91820332231321010941
673017-52.8181933323132109841
662917-62.6171844323122109831
2816-82.717184432311299841
652918-52.516174433310288731
3019-32.316174443310288731
642818-62.21515544349277631
2717-82.21414544338276631
632819-52.01312644337265520
2718-71.81312544337255420
2920-31.81212644337255420
622719-61.5119644235244310
2618-81.4109534235243310
612720-51.186533223222210
602620-60.764423112211100
592621-50.442312111111100
582521-60.321211101100000
572522-50.110101000000000
562422-60.110000000000000
552423-50.000000000000000
542323-60.000000000000000
532324-50.00000000000000
522224-60.00000000000
512124-70.000000000
502226-4No000
492126-5No00
2-48No
Total:0.7%4.94.62.01.41.51.01.12.81.02.22.01.80.80.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.9-0.9-0.8+0.2+0.2+1.2
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
St. Louis vs San Jose-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
86-106100
85409-3964
84399-4964
83389-59811
82379-69532
813710-585825
803711-4811145
793611-57414660
783511-664198090
773512-5542212011000
763412-64028151150010
753413-52730181211010
743313-61630203243130
733314-5827216266204000
723214-642119924114070010
713215-51141513201770111010
703115-6081016132210115313000
693116-5045156231431672050000
683016-60121321914715134081010
673017-5001901211139197111302000
662917-600606616421113128104100
652918-500302215117128101540720000
642818-6011111010814521811062000
632819-5100704417220105911621000
622719-600030111501491261213831000
612720-500010010085172815151051000
602620-60100503217139161813721000
592621-5000031113013101720171041000
582521-6000010080013917221912520000
572522-50000004001381622221472000
562422-6000002000127162323167200
552423-500001000012716242417720
542323-600000000281725251651
532223-700000139202825123
522224-6000014122431227
512225-5000001617313213
502125-60000210263823
492126-5000015204034
482026-60002133846
472027-500183458
461927-600042768
451928-50022177
441828-6011683
431829-5011188
421729-60892
411730-50594
401630-60397
391631-50298
381531-6199
371532-5199
361432-6199
351433-50100
341333-60100
31-33100
301135-6298
2-29100
Total:01111112121314242223344555677810