San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.3 to 44.7%
2 points   1 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.4
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.3
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs San Jose-5.6-0.7-0.8+3.7+4.6+4.6
-0.4*+0.0*+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.5+0.6
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.7-0.8*-0.4*+0.3*+0.0+0.9
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.7-0.8*-0.2*+0.5*+0.1+0.8
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.8*+0.2*+0.1-0.6-0.5-0.7
Vegas vs Arizona+0.3-0.4*-0.4*-0.5-0.6*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-108In99.5%100203*
86409-4In97.599181*
85399-5In98.4991129*
843910-4In95.89820216*
833810-5In96.59901424*
823811-4In94.19910708*
813711-5In92.298111,132*
803611-6In86.2962201,771*
793612-5In81.194422,665*
783512-6In72.690553,977*
773513-5In61.1858705,738*
763413-6In49.879111008,285*
753414-5In35.3711514111,358*
743314-6In22.16020192015,105*
733315-5In12.54724263020,306*
723215-6100.0%5.635273260025,997*
713216-5100.01.9232938910032,702*
703116-699.90.514274214200040,076*
693117-599.60.17244321400048,106*
683017-698.80.031841288010056,098*
673018-597.2No113363413030064,527*
662918-693.8No07283720151072,342*
652919-587.4No0420362441120079,737*
642819-677.5No02123024917510085,524*
632820-564.2No16232015231020089,800*
622720-649.3No031512192518610092,217*
612721-534.1No018619222614410093,320*
602621-621.5No0042151527231030092,423*
592622-512.2No002110823291971088,827*
582522-66.0No001054152828154183,763*
572523-52.7No00031822312410277,444*
562423-61.1No00010313273119570,331*
552424-50.4No000017213328962,764*
542324-60.1No000031330361754,713*
532325-50.0No0001724402746,539*
522225-60.0No000417413838,833*
512226-5OutNo00211384931,415*
502126-6OutNo017326025,178*
492127-5OutNo004267019,402*
482027-6OutNo002207815,003*
472028-5OutNo001158411,435*
461928-6OutNo0010898,428*
451929-5OutNo07926,040*
441829-6OutNo05954,324*
431830-5OutNo4962,955*
421730-6OutNo03971,966*
411731-5OutNo2981,328*
401631-6OutNo0100835*
391632-5OutNo0100525*
2-38OutNo100921*
Total:44.7%1.8%5511127678888891,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasCalgaryWinnipegNashvilleColoradoMinnesotaSt. LouisDallasArizonaAnaheimLos AngelesEdmontonVancouverChicago
108530-04.7%529499995559813
92436-4NoYes
91437-3No333333
90427-4No171717171717
89428-3No221133111111
88418-411.8126246661266612
87408-55.135131013813333510310
86409-412.391979615664151210
85399-510.93412121210910254657
843910-44.25479111079565677
833810-55.06411999910443857
823811-45.65691088129454569
813711-56.75612998911543569
803611-65.65699101088555569
793612-55.8759991098545658
783512-66.1669910998554568
773513-56.076889999565658
763413-66.177879888665668
753414-56.288888888665668
743314-66.399877777776777
733315-56.31011666666886776
723215-66.01112556655897885
713216-56.31213555455998884
703116-66.4131444444410108993
693117-56.2141533333311109993
683017-66.2151533333311119992
2916-86.4151533333311119992
673018-56.0151533222311109992
3119-36.3151533222311119992
662918-65.8141434333310109992
2817-85.6141434233311108982
652919-55.51314343333998882
2818-75.21313343333998772
3020-35.41313343333998772
642819-64.91111443333887762
2718-84.61111343333787661
632820-54.199333333665441
2921-34.198333333665441
622720-63.176333332444331
612721-52.154223332332221
602621-61.432212221221110
592622-50.821111111111000
582522-60.410101110000000
572523-50.200000000000000
562524-40.100000000000000
552323-70.000000000000000
542324-60.0000000000000
532224-70.00000000
522326-4No0000
2-51No
Total:2.8%6.16.02.12.12.12.12.11.94.34.23.63.53.41.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -0.1
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs San Jose+1.3+0.2+0.2-0.9-1.1-1.1
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.1
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88-108100
87408-5973
86409-49811
85399-59811
843910-496220
833810-596301
823811-494510
813711-592511
803611-68692200
793612-5811342
783512-673175050
773513-56124806000
763413-65029100100000
753414-5353514113101
743314-622371721720200
733315-51335195214103000
723215-66301982192050000
713216-52221613191440810100
703116-60141216132081122020000
693117-5077187231121551040000
683017-603316221126141130710100
673018-5111211411119186011302000
662918-600707715421102127105100
652919-50040331411711710144093100
642819-600211110108135208111831000
632820-50100604415118105101393100
622720-600031112012811613151151000
612721-50001008065142816181372000
602621-60000402213028162017941000
592622-50002109002715212013620000
582522-6000100500261321221793100
572523-5000030001512202319114100
562423-600001000141119252112510
552424-50000014112026221241
542324-6000001411222822102
532325-5000015142530196
522225-600002718322912
512226-500311273722
502126-60015204034
492127-5002133846
482027-600173259
472028-500042669
461928-6021979
451929-5011485
441829-601090
431830-50793
421730-60595
411731-5397
401631-6298
391632-5199
381532-60100
2-37100
Total:2323242324232424233334444444445