Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Colorado 2-3, playoff odds down 7.7 to 44.7%
2 points   0 1-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -6.1
-0.4
-0.9
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)*-0.2
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.6-0.5-0.8*-0.0*+0.3+0.7
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.7-0.7-0.7*+0.1*+0.2+0.9
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.7*+0.0*+0.1*-0.5-0.9-0.5
St. Louis vs San Jose+0.7*+0.3*+0.1*-0.5-0.5-0.6
Vegas vs Arizona+0.3-0.8*-0.3*-0.3-0.6*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86-108InYes100266*
85399-5In97.9%991145*
843910-4In97.09900235*
833810-5In95.99910392*
823811-4In94.59811695*
813711-5In92.498211,140*
803712-4In85.795321,758*
793612-5In80.4935202,607*
783512-6In71.5906403,940*
773513-5In61.1849705,768*
763413-6In47.277121008,186*
753414-5100.0%34.270161410011,371*
743314-6In22.35920201015,435*
733315-5100.012.447252530020,349*
723215-6In5.63527325025,983*
713216-5100.01.924293891032,461*
703116-699.90.51428421420040,064*
693117-599.60.17254321400047,604*
683017-698.90.03194128801056,525*
673018-597.2No113363413030064,016*
662918-693.9No082937191510072,764*
652919-587.6No04203524410200079,232*
642819-677.8No02123025917510085,617*
632820-564.5No17232015221120089,803*
622720-649.2No031512192518610092,397*
612721-534.0No018619222614410093,423*
602621-621.4No0042151527231030092,281*
592622-511.9No002110823292072088,716*
582522-66.1No01053152828154184,005*
572523-52.7No00031822312410277,793*
562423-61.1No00010313273119470,645*
552424-50.4No000172033281062,674*
542324-60.2No000031330361754,374*
532325-50.0No0001724402746,369*
522225-60.0No0000417413838,649*
512226-5OutNo00211375031,629*
502126-6OutNo017326125,324*
492127-5OutNo004267019,635*
482027-6OutNo02207815,374*
472028-5OutNo01158411,410*
461928-6OutNo111898,358*
451929-5OutNo07935,931*
441829-6OutNo05954,288*
431830-5OutNo03972,802*
421730-6OutNo2981,974*
411731-5OutNo1991,326*
401631-6OutNo199809*
391632-5OutNo199495*
381532-6OutNo100312*
371634-3OutNo199182*
2-36OutNo100405*
Total:44.7%1.8%5511127678888891,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasCalgaryWinnipegNashvilleColoradoMinnesotaSt. LouisDallasArizonaAnaheimSan JoseEdmontonVancouverChicago
108530-04.7%857961563299759
91437-3No25252525
90427-4No1717331717
89439-1No204040
88418-45.05102010201010510
87408-52.8363148814688868
86409-43.010963710127464496
85399-57.6838108810103566610
843910-46.068131086109154678
833810-55.436899109105556410
823811-46.96510989108645748
813711-56.56510899810565549
803712-46.566898999555569
793612-56.4669810899565668
783512-66.376998898565669
773513-56.376988998665658
763413-66.477988888666568
753414-56.188878887675667
743314-66.499777777776777
733315-56.11011666666786776
723215-66.31112566555897885
713216-56.31213555445998984
703116-66.1131444444410109993
693117-56.1151534333310109992
683017-66.2151633333310119992
2916-86.2151533323311119992
673018-56.21515332223111110992
3119-36.1151633232310119992
662918-66.0141433332310119892
3019-45.7151533232310109992
2817-85.9141434233310109882
652919-55.61313343333998882
2818-75.71213343333998772
3020-35.31313343333998772
642819-64.91111343333887762
2718-84.81111343333787662
632820-54.299343333665441
2921-33.899333333665441
622720-63.176333332444331
612721-52.154223332332221
602621-61.432212221221110
592622-50.821111111111000
582522-60.410101110000000
572523-50.200000000000000
562524-40.100000000000000
552424-50.000000000000000
542425-40.000000000000
532325-50.0000000000
522225-60.00000
2-51No
Total:2.8%6.16.02.12.12.12.12.11.94.24.33.63.53.41.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +1.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-0.0*-0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.0
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
86-108100
85399-59811
843910-497200
833810-596310
823811-495411
813711-592521
803712-4861032
793612-58013520
783512-67118604000
773513-5612390600
763413-6473012110000
753414-534361511310100
743314-6223717217201000
733315-51235205204130000
723215-6630198228205000
713216-5222171219144081010
703116-6013111613208112202000
693117-5077187231121451040000
683017-603316220136141130710100
673018-5111201411111018601030300
662918-600707615421102127105100
652919-50040331511711710144083100
642819-600211110108125208111831000
632820-51006044151181051013831000
622720-60003111201281161315105100
612721-5001008065142815181372100
602621-60000422130281620171041000
592622-50000210900271521201362000
582522-6000100500261421221693100
572523-5000030001512202319114100
562423-600001000141119252112510
552424-500000014112026221240
542324-6000001411222722102
532325-5000015132629206
522225-6000002718313012
512226-5000311273822
502126-60015203934
492127-5002133846
482027-60183359
472028-50042769
461928-6022078
451929-5011386
441829-601090
431830-50793
421730-60397
411731-5298
401631-60298
391632-5298
381532-6100
371634-3199
2-36100
Total:2323232324232424233344444444445