Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances

Lost to Colorado 2-3, playoff odds down 10.2 to 39.2%
2 points   0 1-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -6.6
-0.3
-0.6
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs San Jose+0.8*+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.9-0.8
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.7-0.6-0.5*+0.2+0.3+1.0
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.6-0.6-0.7*+0.0*+0.2+0.8
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.6*-0.2*+0.0-0.4-0.7-0.8
+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1*-0.1-0.0
Vegas vs Arizona+0.4-0.4*-0.3-0.6-0.8-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-108InYes100447*
86398-6In98.7%99175*
85399-5In98.6991141*
843910-4In96.59910231*
833810-5In94.79801437*
823710-6In92.19811760*
813711-5In87.395231,393*
803611-6In80.794342,269*
793612-5In72.891553,711*
783512-6In61.6867705,760*
773513-5In50.180101008,771*
763413-6In38.3721314113,112*
753414-5In25.36317191018,753*
743314-6In14.95221242026,705*
733315-5100.0%7.240253040036,485*
723215-6100.02.929283670049,018*
713216-5100.00.8192941111065,012*
703116-699.90.21127441620082,528*
693117-599.80.052345234000103,796*
683017-699.30.021743307010127,138*
673018-598.3No1123836120200152,044*
662918-696.0No073040181400178,307*
652919-591.6No0422392347100202,511*
642819-684.1No021435259133000228,093*
632820-573.3No182821161971000249,231*
622720-659.9No0419142223133000267,276*
612721-545.2No021282423219200279,020*
602621-631.0No0163211826176100285,538*
592622-519.4No00311511262613410285,697*
582522-611.0No01096203022920281,197*
572523-55.6No000521227291751270,222*
562423-62.6No000216203126112254,514*
552424-51.1No000103132832194233,346*
542324-60.4No0000172134289210,377*
532325-50.1No0000314323615184,870*
522225-60.1No0018264024159,756*
512226-50.0No00014204234134,495*
502126-60.0No0002144044111,489*
492127-5OutNo019365490,085*
482027-6OutNo005316470,797*
472028-5OutNo03257255,315*
461928-6OutNo002197941,955*
451929-5OutNo01158431,056*
441829-6OutNo00118922,597*
431830-5OutNo089215,962*
421730-6OutNo059410,869*
411731-5OutNo04967,500*
401631-6OutNo2984,887*
391632-5OutNo2983,134*
381532-6OutNo01992,156*
371533-5OutNo1991,238*
361433-6OutNo0100759*
351434-5OutNo100427*
341334-6OutNo0100258*
2-33OutNo100660*
Total:39.2%0.7%2391167789991094,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasCalgaryColoradoNashvilleMinnesotaWinnipegDallasArizonaSt. LouisAnaheimSan JoseVancouverEdmontonChicago
108530-05.1%1239510566765987
94445-4NoYes
92436-4No5050
90427-4No25252525
89406-7No20204020
88407-6No1371320207777
87408-5No732710173103713
86398-65.3843599881277947
85399-55.066108681196117814
843910-42.664107811871063954
833810-55.776108910116964554
823710-64.9848981097857666
813711-54.71057691087865866
803611-65.2769789871075566
793612-55.886889887966656
783512-65.596878887866666
773513-54.897888887866666
763413-64.9109778888776655
753414-55.21110778778776554
743314-64.91212667768677654
733315-54.71313666669677663
723215-64.715155556510587653
713216-54.616184545410488652
703116-64.518193434411398662
693117-54.519203333312398661
683017-64.120213333312299661
673018-54.019213333312299661
662918-63.919213433311298651
2817-83.719203433311298551
652919-53.618194433310288551
2717-93.517194433310287551
642819-63.21618443349277441
2718-83.21517544348266441
632820-52.91415544337255330
2921-32.71314544337255330
622720-62.31212544335244220
2619-82.21111534335243220
612721-51.798533323222110
602621-61.165423212111110
592622-50.743312111111000
582522-60.422211101100000
572523-50.211101000000000
562423-60.110000000000000
552424-50.000000000000000
542324-60.00000000000000
532325-50.00000000000000
522326-40.00000000000
512226-5No0000000000
502227-4No00
2-49No
Total:1.6%7.37.42.41.91.91.71.63.91.33.02.81.81.80.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +1.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
87-108100
86398-6991
85399-59911
843910-497210
833810-595301
823710-692611
813711-587823
803611-6811334
793612-573185050
783512-6622470700
773513-550309010000
763413-6383412113101
753414-525381521720100
743314-6153818420412000
733315-573318722710400000
723215-63261711201330600000
713216-51181316161960910100
703116-6011818102491123002000
693117-5054194251241481030000
683017-602216120129121530610100
673018-51111013915721719302000
662918-6007075183231041081031000
652919-5004321711811108164062000
642819-6002111201171742172852100
632820-510080541912096710731000
622720-60004211701481441012841000
612721-5000200110851927131511520000
602621-60010063219028151814831000
592622-500003111501381620171141000
582522-60001009000281521201362000
572523-50000050000271522221672000
562423-600002000027142224178300
552424-50000100002615232518820
542324-60000000271625261661
532325-500000028192826133
522225-6000013112431237
512226-50001517313214
502126-60000210263823
492127-50015194035
482027-60002133846
472028-500183358
461928-60042768
451929-50022177
441829-6011683
431830-5011188
421730-600892
411731-50694
401631-60496
391632-5397
381532-60298
371533-5199
361433-60100
351434-50100
341334-6199
2-33100
Total:1212131414251525223334445555566