Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 26.2%
2 points   1 3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.3
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Edmonton-4.0*-0.1*-0.2+4.0+4.8+4.8
-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose+0.7*-0.0*+0.0-0.6-0.7-0.7
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.5-0.6-0.4*+0.1*+0.2+0.8
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.5-0.5-0.5*+0.1*+0.2+0.6
Vegas vs Arizona+0.3-0.3-0.5-0.7-0.5-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86-106InYes100407*
85398-5In96.4%96428*
84399-4In96.210053*
83389-5In94.09623116*
823810-4In93.19812189*
813710-5In85.49244335*
803610-6In82.99244615*
793611-5In72.887571,072*
783511-6In66.6848801,782*
773512-5In52.076121202,924*
763412-6In39.3681616004,520*
753413-5In28.5582021107,146*
743313-6In16.74724272010,680*
733314-5In9.33727324015,611*
723214-6100.0%3.625293871022,322*
713215-599.91.11628431210031,300*
703115-699.90.3926461720042,943*
693116-599.70.04224624500056,753*
683016-699.10.011643318010073,399*
673017-597.8No011373614020093,435*
662917-695.0No062839201500116,512*
652918-590.0No0320382549100140,256*
642818-682.1No011333269153000166,728*
632819-570.8No17262216217100193,078*
622719-657.2No0418152125144000218,043*
612720-542.4No011182324229200241,942*
602620-628.8No0163191928186100261,971*
592520-717.7No00311412272613300276,127*
582521-69.9No01096213122820285,513*
572421-74.9No0000431328291640290,496*
562422-62.2No000217213225102286,851*
552322-70.9No00103132932184277,391*
542323-60.4No0000172235278262,307*
532223-70.1No0000315323514243,892*
522224-60.0No000019274023221,634*
512124-70.0No00015204233196,379*
502125-60.0No0002144043170,540*
492126-50.0No000193654145,214*
482026-6OutNo0053164120,620*
472027-5OutNo003257297,659*
461927-6OutNo02197977,613*
451928-5OutNo01148560,286*
441828-6OutNo00108945,795*
431829-5OutNo0079234,192*
421729-6OutNo059524,804*
411730-5OutNo039717,606*
401630-6OutNo029812,057*
391631-5OutNo1998,269*
381531-6OutNo1995,400*
371532-5OutNo1993,512*
361432-6OutNo01002,238*
351433-5OutNo01001,374*
341333-6OutNo0100781*
331334-5OutNo0100499*
321335-4OutNo0100272*
2-31OutNo100699*
Total:26.2%0.3%125856689101213154,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasCalgaryColoradoNashvilleMinnesotaWinnipegDallasArizonaSt. LouisAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesVancouverChicago
106520-04.9%54811841061089818
90426-4No5050
89416-5NoYes
88428-2No5050
87407-5No333333
86408-411.1113322111111
85398-510.71141121711714744
84388-63.848131599491388
83389-50.9397610911101047427
823810-47.4445710813101068636
813710-55.74969101474874747
803610-64.7678889107877537
793611-54.76889109116977525
783511-63.7697881097867646
773512-54.2610688998975636
763412-64.3710787888887636
753413-54.3811777878777735
743313-63.81013666779787634
733314-53.911145656610698733
723214-63.813164555511599832
713215-53.715174444412499842
703115-63.51618343341331010841
693116-53.51719333331331010841
683016-63.41719333231321110941
673017-53.21719333231321010841
662917-63.1171834323122109831
2816-83.017184432312299841
652918-52.916164432311298731
2716-92.816164432310288731
642818-62.71514544239277631
2717-82.51414544339276630
632819-52.41312544238265520
2718-72.21211544337255420
2617-92.11212544337255520
622719-61.8119644235244310
2618-81.6108534235243310
612720-51.386533223232210
602620-60.964423112211100
592621-50.642312111111100
582521-60.321211101100000
572522-50.110101000000000
562422-60.110000000000000
552423-50.000000000000000
542323-60.00000000000000
532324-50.000000000000000
522224-60.0000000000000
512225-50.00000000
502024-8No0000
492126-5No0
2-48No
Total:0.8%4.74.31.91.31.51.01.12.71.02.12.01.80.80.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Edmonton+1.0+0.0*+0.1-1.0-1.1-1.2
St. Louis vs San Jose-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
86-106100
85398-5964
84388-6964
83389-594223
823810-493512
813710-585744
803610-683944
793611-57315507
783511-6671780800
773512-552231201200
763412-63928151160000
753413-528301822010100
743313-617302132331200
733314-592721624620400
723214-6422191024113070010
713215-5115151320176010101000
703115-60810161322101143102000
693116-5046166231431572040000
683016-601214219147141340810100
673017-5011001211139197111300200
662917-600606616421113128104100
652918-5003023151171189154072000
642818-60011111010814521819620000
632819-5010070541712010591162100
622719-60003211501491261213831000
612720-500010010085172815151051000
602620-6001006032171310171813721000
592520-7000031113013101720171041000
582521-600010080013917221912520000
572421-70000004001381622211472000
562422-600002000127162323167200
552322-7000100002716242416720
542323-60000000281725251661
532223-700000139202825133
522224-600000014112431227
512124-7000001617313214
502125-60000210263823
492126-500015194034
482026-60002133846
472027-500183358
461927-60042768
451928-50022177
441828-6011584
431829-5011188
421729-60792
411730-50595
401630-60496
391631-50298
381531-60199
371532-5199
361432-6199
351433-50100
341333-6199
331334-50100
321335-4199
2-31100
Total:01111112121313241223344556677810