Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.4 to 50.9%
3 points   1 1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.3
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.3
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Minnesota+4.7+4.7+3.9-1.2-1.1-5.7
+0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.0-0.4
+0.7+0.7+0.8-0.3-0.3-0.9
St. Louis vs San Jose+0.9*-0.1*+0.3*-0.3-0.8-0.8
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.7-0.6-0.8*-0.1*+0.0+0.9
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.8*+0.1*-0.0*-0.3-0.7-0.7
Vegas vs Arizona+0.2*-0.4*-0.2*-0.5-0.5*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
85-109In99.2%100662*
843810-5In98.09900407*
833811-4In94.49811684*
823711-5In94.398111,120*
813712-4In90.397211,808*
803612-5In86.996222,603*
793512-6In80.7934303,885*
783513-5In72.8905505,817*
773413-6In61.48586008,314*
763414-5In48.8781110011,315*
753314-6In35.67015141015,630*
743315-5In23.05919202019,975*
733215-6In12.94824253025,784*
723216-5100.0%5.635283150032,329*
713116-6100.02.024293891039,944*
703117-599.90.51428421420048,151*
693017-699.70.172443214000056,379*
683018-599.00.031942288010064,829*
672918-697.4No113373313020072,029*
662919-594.3No082937191510079,423*
652819-688.6No042136244102085,107*
642820-579.0No02133125816410089,963*
632720-665.2No172320152210200052,061*
2821-468.1No1825211421920040,478*
622721-551.4No031613192517610093,044*
612621-638.2No021072023241230054,452*
2520-833.5No01851921251551037,177*
602622-523.1No0042161527221020088,909*
592522-613.2No02110923291871083,936*
582523-56.9No01064162827144077,570*
572423-63.0No00031822302410270,607*
562424-51.3No00010414283118462,418*
552324-60.5No0000017213327954,410*
542325-50.2No000031431351646,821*
532225-60.1No00001825402538,592*
522226-50.0No000418403731,921*
512126-60.0No000212384825,612*
502127-5OutNo0017326019,823*
492027-6OutNo04276915,199*
482028-5OutNo02217711,591*
471928-6OutNo00115848,235*
461929-5OutNo110896,074*
451829-6OutNo08924,318*
441830-5OutNo06942,901*
431730-6OutNo03972,022*
421731-5OutNo3971,349*
411631-6OutNo298859*
401632-5OutNo199501*
391532-6OutNo199323*
3-38OutNo100575*
Total:50.9%2.6%6613137677777771,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasCalgaryWinnipegNashvilleColoradoMinnesotaSt. LouisDallasArizonaSan JoseLos AngelesEdmontonVancouverChicago
109530-03.9%911394889453899
92426-5No333333
91416-620.02020202020
90428-3No8881788833
89407-6No510515510105515510
88408-511.42914759145145927
87409-46.336186115115638469
86399-54.846121412856434588
853910-45.476610911126644478
843810-55.77491181296554578
833811-47.756881111810555659
823711-55.455888101076556611
813712-45.8669810899555659
803612-56.16610910989545658
793512-66.3669991099555668
783513-56.566999998654668
773413-66.376888899655568
763414-56.477888888665668
753314-66.588888887665667
743315-56.499777777766776
733215-66.01010766666776776
723216-56.21212665566877885
713116-66.31313554445988994
703117-56.114154444441099993
693017-66.115153433331199992
683018-56.01516333333119101092
3119-36.215163333331110910102
672918-66.1151533222311109992
2817-86.2151533323311910992
662919-55.915153333331199992
3020-35.915153333231099982
652819-65.614143433331088882
2718-85.41313343333988772
642820-54.91211343333877662
2921-35.01112343333877661
632720-64.41010343333766551
2619-84.098333333655441
622721-53.177333332544331
612621-62.354323332332221
602622-51.532212221212110
592522-60.821111111111000
582523-50.411101110000000
572423-60.200000000000000
562424-50.100000000000000
552425-40.000000000000000
542325-50.00000000000
532225-60.000000000000
522327-3No0000000
512227-4No0
3-50No
Total:3.2%7.16.92.42.42.42.42.42.24.94.24.34.04.01.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -0.1
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Minnesota-1.1-1.1-0.9+0.3+0.2+1.3
St. Louis vs San Jose-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.1+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
87-109100
86399-5991
853910-4991
843810-598100
833811-494411
823711-594411
813712-490721
803612-587922
793512-681124030
783513-5731750500
773413-661248060000
763414-5493011010000
753314-636341411310100
743315-523361721820200
733215-61335195204103000
723216-562920821820500000
713116-62221712191440810100
703117-5114121614208111202000
693017-60771872311215510400000
683018-5033163211361411307101000
672918-6111211511111018601030200
662919-5008087155201021271051000
652819-60040331511711610143083100
642820-500201111010912519711173100
632720-61007054152191041012831000
622721-500031113012910613151041000
612621-6001008065152815171262000
602622-50000402214039162016931000
592522-60002111001381621191252000
582523-5010060002714212215831000
572423-6000030002513202318104100
562424-500001000151220242011410
552324-6000000014112126211140
542325-500000141222282192
532225-60000015142629195
522226-500002719312912
512126-6001311283721
502127-500016204033
492027-6003133845
482028-50183457
471928-60042669
461929-50022078
451829-6011584
441830-511089
431730-60792
421731-50694
411631-6397
401632-5298
391532-6298
381533-5100
371433-6199
361333-7298
3-35100
Total:3424342434242524233333333333333