Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances

Beat Ottawa 4-3 (ot), playoff odds up 7.9 to 62.9%
4 points   2 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)+5.2
+0.3
+0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal*-0.0-0.7-0.4-0.5-0.4+0.3
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.1-0.6-0.4-0.5-0.7+0.2
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
88-110In99.9%100811*
87399-5In98.81000401*
863910-4In98.610000698*
853810-5In98.610001,264*
843811-4In96.399102,043*
833711-5In95.198203,407*
823712-4In91.997315,441*
813612-5In88.295418,147*
803512-6In81.7927212,085*
793513-5In73.38793017,937*
783413-6In63.982135025,742*
773414-5In52.075188035,116*
763314-6In39.46523110047,039*
753315-5In27.05528160062,517*
743215-6In16.14333231080,651*
733216-5In8.232363020101,807*
723116-6In3.421373840124,075*
713117-5100.0%1.1123545800148,773*
703017-6100.00.26295113100175,373*
693018-5100.00.022252222000199,591*
682918-699.90.011450324000223,805*
672919-599.70.00742418100244,560*
662819-698.9No033048152100262,495*
652820-596.7No011949208300274,339*
642720-691.7No0094223187100282,054*
632721-582.1No043018301341000282,893*
622621-667.5No011811381911300276,954*
612622-549.8No0843719209200266,171*
602522-632.7No031281426206100250,159*
592523-519.0No010188252915400230,281*
582423-69.8No000931732261020207,307*
572424-54.6No00051926332050182,416*
562324-61.9No000204183430122157,910*
552325-50.8No0010192736214133,238*
542225-60.3No000041937309110,038*
532226-50.2No000021132391688,560*
522126-60.1No0001625442570,561*
512127-50.1No0000317443554,736*
502027-60.0No000111414641,481*
492028-50.0No0017365630,766*
481928-60.0No0004306622,299*
471929-5OutNo02237515,720*
461829-6OutNo01188011,054*
451830-5OutNo0013867,416*
441730-6OutNo010904,988*
431731-5OutNo06933,174*
421631-6OutNo04962,076*
411632-5OutNo04961,255*
401532-6OutNo298767*
391533-5OutNo199439*
381534-4OutNo0100271*
371434-5OutNo100155*
361334-6OutNo19992*
4-35OutNo100460*
Total:62.9%2.9%67161761156666534,793,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealCalgaryTampa BayTorontoFloridaCarolinaNashvilleOttawaDallasDetroitColumbusVancouverEdmontonChicago
110530-06.5%2218212099
96445-4NoYes
95435-5NoYes
94436-4No5050
93437-314.314431429
92427-4No141472114217
91417-57.1711184251421
90418-411.5623192222121212
89408-55.414142234117213992
88409-45.211172152222010211121
87399-56.5161321832318233791
863910-47.2131621923317332991
853810-57.7141721722314332892
843811-47.21415315233154321092
833711-56.31514217333143339102
823712-46.4141331633315333992
813612-56.61413316334153431092
803512-66.7131331534413443992
793513-56.3131331544413443992
783413-66.1131341444413443882
773414-56.3131341444413544882
763314-66.4131341445512544772
753315-56.3131341455512544772
743215-66.1141441555511544662
733216-56.1151541545512443662
723116-65.9161641644412443662
713117-55.7181831734412332661
703017-65.6191931833313322661
693018-55.4212121922214221661
682918-65.2222222022214111660
672919-55.0222222021114111660
662819-64.9222222022114111660
652820-54.7212031832212211650
642720-64.3191941643310211550
632721-53.916166135438311330
622621-63.113136105435311220
612622-52.3109574333211110
602522-61.577352222110000
592523-50.954231111100000
582423-60.532121101000000
572424-50.211010000000000
562425-40.111000000000000
552325-50.00000000000000
542225-60.000000000000
532226-50.000000000000
522126-60.000000000
512127-50.0000000
502229-2No00000
491826-90.000
482029-4No0
4-47No
Total:3.3%12.412.22.610.92.42.22.07.31.71.20.93.33.20.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-1.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.1
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
89-110100
88409-41000
87399-59910
863910-499100
853810-59910
843811-496210
833711-595320
823712-492531
813612-588741
803512-682107020
793513-57314903000
783413-664181305000
773414-552231707000
763314-63926221110000
753315-52728263151100
743215-61627285202101000
733216-5823289234302000
723116-63182314248604000
713117-511117182113111700000
703017-60610191417172111101000
693018-5025177182161543020000
682918-60121231420131697040000
672919-500071814191214132711000
662819-60030362061719611420100
652820-50010121621318161197130000
642720-600009071124815143620000
632721-5000402424316181286310000
622621-60001001161101424711841000
612622-50008047304101412731000
602522-6000301226151216161052000
592523-50001001701512181914831000
582423-6000090014111821181151000
572424-50000400014101722201362000
562324-60002000139172322156200
552325-50010013817242315610
542225-6000001391826241451
532226-500001310202824122
522126-60000014122531216
512127-500001618313113
502027-60000311273822
492028-500016204033
481928-60003133846
471929-50183358
461829-60052867
451830-5022275
441730-6011683
431731-5011189
421631-60892
411632-50694
401532-6496
391533-5298
381534-40298
371434-5100
361334-6199
4-35100
Total:3344334534463347222333333332222