Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances

Beat Ottawa 4-3 (ot), playoff odds up 8 to 62.9%
4 points   2 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)+5.3
+0.3
+0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal*-0.0-0.7-0.4*-0.2-0.4+0.3
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.5-0.6+0.2
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-110In99.7%1001,270*
863910-4In98.7991762*
853810-5In97.999101,260*
843811-4In96.398101,989*
833711-5In95.298203,426*
823712-4In91.296315,301*
813612-5In87.794518,215*
803512-6In81.99262012,315*
793513-5In73.68893017,828*
783413-6In63.982135025,596*
773414-5In52.875187035,014*
763314-6In39.76623110047,408*
753315-5In26.95528160062,618*
743215-6In16.14333231080,803*
733216-5In8.032363020101,218*
723116-6100.0%3.4213738400124,654*
713117-5100.01.1123545800148,927*
703017-6100.00.262951131000174,887*
693018-5100.00.022252222000199,193*
682918-699.90.011449324000224,160*
672919-599.7No0841428100244,369*
662819-698.9No033048143100262,662*
652820-596.7No011949218300275,283*
642720-691.6No094223187100281,347*
632721-582.0No04301830134100282,571*
622621-667.6No0118113818113000277,703*
612622-549.9No00843719209200265,664*
602522-632.5No031281426206100250,076*
592523-519.0No010188252915400230,145*
582423-610.0No0001031732261020206,968*
572424-54.7No00051926332050182,602*
562324-62.0No00204183430122157,948*
552325-50.8No00101102736214132,967*
542225-60.4No0000041937319109,759*
532226-50.2No000021132391588,857*
522126-60.1No00001625432570,011*
512127-50.0No000318443654,710*
502027-60.0No00111414641,676*
492028-50.0No0017365630,889*
481928-60.0No0004306622,386*
471929-5OutNo02237515,984*
461829-6OutNo01188111,024*
451830-5OutNo113877,507*
441730-6OutNo09905,051*
431731-5OutNo07933,231*
421631-6OutNo05952,018*
411632-5OutNo03971,258*
401633-4OutNo397746*
391533-5OutNo298497*
381534-4OutNo298296*
4-37OutNo100697*
Total:62.9%3.0%67161761156666534,793,746

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealCalgaryTampa BayTorontoFloridaCarolinaNashvilleOttawaDallasDetroitColumbusVancouverEdmontonChicago
110530-06.8%1817210022912
96467-050.05050
94436-4YesYes
93415-7No38252513
92427-45.918662429612
91428-36.11824151533993
90407-66.018106102242462124
89408-58.7171212412215262782
88409-47.11614116314191329110
87399-57.11516119223153319111
863910-47.613152172131633312101
853810-56.01513216223163421092
843811-47.11415215322163431091
833711-56.21414317223153339112
823712-46.613143163331544310102
813612-56.4131431633314433992
803512-66.7131331543314443992
793513-56.2131341544414443982
783413-66.3131341444414443882
773414-56.5131341444413544872
763314-66.2131341445512554772
753315-56.3131441455512544772
743215-66.2141441455512544662
733216-56.1151541545512443662
723116-65.8161641644412443662
713117-55.8181831733412332661
703017-65.6191931833313322651
693018-55.3212121922213221661
682918-65.2222222022214111660
672919-55.0222222011114111660
662819-64.9222222022113111660
652820-54.7212031832212211650
642720-64.3191941643310211550
632721-53.816166135438311330
622621-63.213136105435311220
612622-52.4109574333211110
602522-61.577352222110000
592523-50.944231111100000
582423-60.532121101000000
572424-50.211010000000000
562425-40.111000000000000
552325-50.0000000000000
542326-40.0000000000000
532327-30.00000000000
522126-60.0000000000
512228-30.0000000
502128-4No0000
492028-50.00
481928-60.0000
4-47No
Total:3.3%12.412.22.610.92.42.22.07.31.71.20.93.33.20.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-1.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
91-110100
90407-6982
89408-5100
88409-41000
87399-51000
863910-49911
853810-598110
843811-496210
833711-595320
823712-491531
813612-588751
803512-682106200
793513-5741490300
783413-664181305000
773414-553221707000
763314-64026211110000
753315-52728263151000
743215-6162728520211000
733216-5824279234302000
723116-631724132486040000
713117-51111717211311170000
703017-606101914171721111010000
693018-5025177182161543020000
682918-60121221420131697040000
672919-50071814191214142711000
662819-60030362161719711430100
652820-5001012162131816129713000
642720-60000907112481514362000
632721-500030242431618128631000
622621-600010011611014247118410000
612622-5000008047304101412731000
602522-600003012261512171610520000
592523-5000100170151218191483100
582423-60000900141118211811410000
572424-500005001491722201362000
562324-6000200139172322157200
552325-500100013817242315610
542225-60000001381826241551
532226-500001310202824122
522126-60000014132430216
512127-50001618313113
502027-600000310273822
492028-500016204033
481928-600002133945
471929-500183457
461829-60052867
451830-5022276
441730-611683
431731-511188
421631-60792
411632-50595
401633-40595
391533-50298
381534-4298
4-37100
Total:3344334534463347222333333332222