St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.1 to 61.1%
4 points   2 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.5
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+0.3
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -0.2
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)*+0.1
*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-0.7-0.8-0.6*-0.2*+0.1+0.9
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs San Jose+4.4+4.5+3.8-0.7-0.8-5.5
+0.3+0.3*+0.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.3
+1.0+1.0+0.8-0.2-0.3-1.2
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.9*+0.3*+0.3-0.6-0.8-0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
85-110In99.4%1001,051*
843710-6In98.510000718*
833711-5In96.899001,081*
823712-4In94.598111,739*
813612-5In91.998112,654*
803512-6In88.3962204,143*
793513-5In81.1933305,771*
783413-6In73.5914508,245*
773414-5In62.58578011,333*
763314-6In50.27910110015,231*
753315-5In36.47113151019,881*
743215-6In23.86018202026,208*
733216-5In13.74922253032,598*
723116-6100.0%6.237263160039,782*
713117-599.92.2252936910047,818*
703017-699.90.61529401420056,249*
693018-599.60.18264220400064,677*
682918-698.90.03224125701072,374*
672919-597.3No116373112020037,510*
2818-797.50.011637311202042,075*
662819-695.0No011323417141085,539*
652820-590.6No062535213810089,783*
642720-683.6No04183321813300092,832*
632721-574.3No21228181517710093,034*
622621-663.8No17221222191241040,261*
2722-462.6No172211232013410051,978*
612622-550.6No041552618191031088,702*
602522-637.6No0210224132218820084,057*
592523-526.7No016120719231661077,893*
582423-617.3No0030143132425144070,496*
572424-510.5No00109172028239162,552*
562324-66.0No001050313273017454,655*
552325-53.0No0003017213326845,876*
542225-61.6No00010031431351539,020*
532226-50.7No0101825402531,624*
522126-60.3No0000418413625,266*
512127-50.1No0000212394719,683*
502027-60.1No0017335815,319*
492028-50.0No0004276811,276*
481928-6OutNo00222768,371*
471929-5OutNo0116835,894*
461829-6OutNo0111884,214*
451830-5OutNo08922,904*
441730-6OutNo06941,994*
431731-5OutNo4961,334*
421631-6OutNo298808*
411632-5OutNo199553*
401532-6OutNo298306*
391533-5OutNo199184*
4-38OutNo100390*
Total:61.1%3.6%8815157866566551,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasCalgaryWinnipegNashvilleColoradoMinnesotaDallasArizonaAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesEdmontonVancouverChicago
110530-07.0%165235321496713114
95435-5NoYes
94436-4NoYes
92427-425.01325251325
91417-5No101020101010101010
90407-66.366613625136666
89408-53.47123282514121051253
88398-69.2135347538165118113
87399-55.48946636416971165
863910-44.48711775681089753
853810-56.6977556598969135
843710-64.798674657898968
833711-58.087457768899895
823712-45.987767668798885
813612-55.677677658888896
803512-66.487766768887796
793513-55.877867677878886
783413-66.277787778777876
773414-56.677887787776876
763314-66.476988887767776
753315-55.9661099996666667
743215-66.165101010996566667
733216-56.05511111010105555557
723116-66.24512121111115444448
713117-56.14413121212124444448
703017-66.34414131313123333338
693018-56.13314141413133333338
682918-66.13315141413133322328
672919-56.03314141414132322228
662819-66.04314141313133322228
2718-85.84314141313123322228
652820-55.64313131213122322227
642720-65.34412121212113222227
2619-84.94411121111112322226
632721-54.7441010101092322225
622621-63.854888873322114
612622-53.153566652222113
602522-62.443444432222112
592523-51.742233322211111
582423-61.131122211111001
572424-50.621111111111000
562324-60.311001101100000
552325-50.210000000000000
542225-60.100000000000000
532226-50.100000000000000
522126-60.00000000000000
512127-50.00000000000
502128-40.00000000
492028-5No0
4-48No
Total:3.8%3.42.97.77.87.67.67.22.42.42.12.11.81.94.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)+0.1
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs San Jose-1.1-1.1-0.9+0.2+0.2+1.3
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.1-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.0
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88-110100
87399-5991
863910-4991
853810-5991
843710-698100
833711-597300
823712-494411
813612-592611
803512-6888220
793513-58112330
783413-6731840500
773414-5632270800
763314-6502990110000
753315-53634131141010
743215-624371621820200
733216-5143518421413000
723116-66301882272060000
713117-522316122013409101000
703017-6115121714197112202000
693018-5087198221021441040000
682918-6034183201361492071010
672919-50111511411111015501020200
662819-60011077175189212510410
652820-50060331811611710113072000
642720-6004111601091451671952000
632721-50200110451921611591052000
622621-61007121901110126111162100
612622-50004011505619281313941000
602522-60200102321038141512721000
592523-501006111901371417161041000
582423-6000300140002613181913721000
572424-5001009000261219211793100
562324-6001005000151119231910410
552325-5000300014112025201130
542225-600010000151222272192
532226-50100016142629185
522126-6000002819312911
512127-500000312283720
502027-600016213932
492028-50003143945
481928-600183456
471929-500042868
461829-60022177
451830-5011584
441730-611188
431731-50793
421631-6595
411632-5397
401532-6397
391533-5199
4-38100
Total:4535343534353425222223333333332