Nashville Predators Playoff Chances 50/50

Plays Carolina 8:00 PM, playoff odds down 1 to 54.3%
4 points   2 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.7
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina+5.3+4.6+3.6-1.4-1.4-6.1
+0.3+0.4+0.3*-0.0*-0.1-0.4
+1.0+0.8+0.7-0.3-0.3-1.2
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
90-110InYes100171*
89408-5In94.3%94635*
88398-6InYes10062*
87399-5In98.4991124*
863910-4In98.29810217*
853810-5In99.3991422*
843710-6In98.51000659*
833711-5In96.599101,090*
823611-6In96.099101,685*
813612-5In92.497212,626*
803512-6In88.396313,925*
793513-5In81.4925205,874*
783413-6In72.688848,126*
773414-5In63.484115011,207*
763314-6In49.976168015,215*
753315-5In36.9672013020,090*
743215-6In24.2562519126,194*
733216-5In13.74330252032,532*
723116-6In6.13132334040,062*
713117-5100.0%2.320324270047,557*
703017-6100.00.6112847131056,723*
693018-599.90.1522502120064,823*
682918-699.80.021547315000072,229*
672919-599.2No0839401101079,401*
662819-697.2No03274620130085,564*
652820-592.1No01154230470089,665*
642720-681.4No063234101720092,571*
632721-564.4No0219271728710093,159*
622621-643.3No081520351840092,368*
612622-524.5No0361631301220088,254*
602522-611.1No0119203524820083,607*
592523-54.3No0004928331961078,042*
582423-61.4No00013163130143070,841*
572424-50.4No0000172233269162,967*
562324-60.1No0000212293419354,631*
552325-50.1No00016203630845,811*
542225-60.0No00021232381638,515*
532226-50.0No0001624432631,761*
522126-60.0No000316423925,529*
512127-5OutNo0110385019,998*
502027-6OutNo015326215,118*
492028-5OutNo003267111,344*
481928-6OutNo0119808,366*
471929-5OutNo0113866,094*
461829-6OutNo09904,195*
451830-5OutNo07932,936*
441730-6OutNo05951,906*
431731-5OutNo2981,310*
421631-6OutNo199861*
411632-5OutNo298578*
401532-6OutNo199296*
4-39OutNo100600*
Total:54.3%3.6%7614138598766651,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoCalgaryMontrealWinnipegTampa BayFloridaOttawaCarolinaDallasDetroitEdmontonVancouverColumbusChicago
110530-06.3%1202113719127
94447-2No5050
93426-5No5050
92427-4No2020202020
91417-5No91899991818
90418-48.749917264944444
89419-32.9611111431192339
88398-63.225313105818133668
87399-58.166221010510101153711
863910-47.864567145117125694
853810-55.975579867886878
843710-65.657678878878696
833711-55.167877878896776
823611-65.877778779876786
813612-56.778688777777787
803512-66.987878887787676
793513-56.376778888777875
783413-66.377788778777776
773414-56.287778888777866
763314-66.677678878787776
753315-56.266669969886786
743215-66.0666610969986686
733216-56.455551111510995586
723116-66.24444121241211104497
713117-56.333331313312111133107
703017-66.222221514214121222107
693018-56.222221616214131211118
682918-66.111111616115131311118
2817-86.411111616115131211118
672919-56.222111616114131211118
3020-36.022221616114131211118
662819-66.122221615114121211117
2718-86.122221415213121111107
652820-55.93333131421211101197
2921-35.83333131321211101296
642720-65.344431112310992285
2619-84.94443101139872264
632721-54.044439927662253
622621-62.733326625441132
612622-51.622213413221111
602522-60.711112201110010
592523-50.300001101000000
582524-40.100000000000000
572424-50.00000000000000
562324-60.00000000000
552325-5No0000000
542225-60.000000
532226-5No00
522126-6No00000
4-51No
Total:3.4%2.02.02.01.87.57.51.76.76.15.71.31.35.13.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+0.1
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-1.2-1.0-0.8+0.3+0.3+1.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
90-110100
89408-5946
88398-6100
87399-59811
863910-49810
853810-5991
843710-69810
833711-597210
823611-696310
813612-592521
803512-688731
793513-58111520
783413-6731680400
773414-563201105000
763314-650261518000
753315-5373018112000
743215-6243222317101
733216-514302462131200
723116-66252210246304000
713117-5217171424126060000
703017-6110111719181011110100
693018-5056161122143163102000
682918-60221342015819930500000
672919-500711311141617711010010
662819-60030661592211316510300
652820-5001022113191291713307100
642720-60006010714122282144100
632721-5000203213423107171251000
622621-600010711471214201472000
612622-5000030631361621171041000
602522-600010118171521211472100
592523-500004015122022181151000
582423-6000010014101722211472100
572424-5000000001371521231793100
562324-6000000261321241910410
552325-50000015122126211030
542225-600000151222272092
532226-5000016152629185
522126-60002719312812
512127-50000312273720
502027-60016204032
492028-5003143845
481928-60183358
471929-5042669
461829-6022177
451830-5011484
441730-611089
431731-50694
421631-60496
411632-5496
401532-6397
391533-5199
381433-6199
4-37100
Total:4433443344234523433333333333332