Dallas Stars Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 1 to 50.2%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.5
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.5
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)*+0.0
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-112InYes100425*
864010-6In97.9%991235*
854011-5In99.51000368*
843911-6In98.79900636*
833912-5In97.799101,046*
823812-6In94.698211,644*
813813-5In91.997312,419*
803713-6In86.895323,702*
793714-5In80.992625,296*
783614-6In71.7888407,371*
773615-5In62.4831160010,243*
763515-6In49.576169013,732*
753516-5In36.56620130017,982*
743416-6In23.65525191023,513*
733417-5In13.24329262029,124*
723317-6100.0%6.231323430035,680*
713318-5100.02.119324270043,267*
703218-6100.00.5102848131050,894*
693219-599.90.15225021200058,987*
683119-699.70.02144731500066,459*
673120-599.1No0839411201073,662*
663020-697.0No03264621130080,047*
653021-591.6No01144230480085,507*
642921-680.7No063133101720088,598*
632821-763.2No0218261728810090,407*
622822-641.9No00814203519400090,549*
612722-723.3No0351531311220088,803*
602723-610.7No0119193425920084,849*
592623-73.9No0004927332061079,986*
582624-61.3No00013153130163074,312*
572524-70.4No0001721342610167,225*
562525-60.1No0000212283519459,598*
552425-70.0No00015193630951,973*
542426-60.0No000021132391744,311*
532326-70.0No001624432737,237*
522327-60.0No0000216423930,470*
512227-7OutNo00110385124,478*
502228-6OutNo006326219,063*
492128-7OutNo003257114,948*
482129-6OutNo01198011,280*
472029-7OutNo0113868,214*
462030-6OutNo09905,987*
452031-5OutNo06944,463*
441931-6OutNo4963,057*
431831-7OutNo03972,008*
421832-6OutNo2981,377*
411833-5OutNo199896*
401733-6OutNo199602*
391734-5OutNo298358*
0-38OutNo100648*
Total:50.2%3.2%7613138598777771,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoCalgaryMontrealWinnipegTampa BayFloridaOttawaCarolinaNashvilleDetroitEdmontonVancouverColumbusChicago
112560-09.4%116161415181010
93447-5No5050
92448-420.020202040
91438-5No9927189918
90428-6No55191051914195
89418-77.75851051388883515
884210-45.153651516461083685
874110-57.1414859610715105107
864010-65.164561010687116985
854011-56.054557115115118788
843911-65.857467878987798
833912-55.9666777610986698
823812-65.876689867887776
813813-56.377787788787676
803713-65.787777778877776
793714-55.667879877777775
783614-66.277878887877766
773615-56.377778887877775
763515-66.077778878886776
753516-56.467669978886676
743416-66.26666910691085686
733417-56.2555511115101095586
723317-66.34444121241111104497
713318-56.133331313312121133107
703218-66.222221415213131222107
693219-56.222221615214141211118
683119-66.211111616114141211118
3018-85.911111616114151211118
673120-56.412111616114141211117
2918-96.122221516114141211118
663020-66.022221515213131211107
3121-46.122221515214131211107
653021-55.83332141321212101197
2920-75.63333131321112102296
2819-95.83333131221212102186
642921-65.4444312122101092275
2820-84.84443101039972264
632922-53.944438827762253
622822-62.733326524431132
612823-51.412113312221111
602723-60.711102201110010
592724-50.200001100000000
582725-40.100000000000000
572625-50.00000000000000
562626-40.000000000
552526-50.00000000
542426-60.00000000
532427-50.000000
522428-4No00
0-51No
Total:3.1%1.81.91.91.76.96.81.56.16.15.31.21.24.53.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)+0.1
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina*-0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1*-0.0
Toronto vs Edmonton*-0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
87-112100
864010-69811
854011-59900
843911-699100
833912-598110
823812-695321
813813-592531
803713-687832
793714-58111602
783614-6721680400
773615-562211105000
763515-649261518000
753516-53730192130000
743416-62431223171010
733417-5133023622312000
723317-662422102573030000
713318-5217171524126070000
703218-61101117181910111100100
693219-50461611221431741020000
683119-6022124201581993050000
673120-50071131114161771101010
663020-60030651582211416510300
653021-5001021113191291713407100
642921-60005010714112282145100
632821-7000203213422107181351000
622822-60010711371313201572100
612722-700020531351621181041000
602723-600101181614212115831000
592623-700003015121922181152000
582624-6000010013917222115731000
572524-70000012714212318104100
562525-6000000251220242011410
552425-70000015122125211130
542426-600000151222272192
532326-7000016152629185
522327-6000002719312911
512227-700312273621
502228-60016213933
492128-7003143746
482129-60183258
472029-70042670
462030-6022078
452031-5011386
441931-601089
431831-70694
421832-6595
411833-5397
401733-6199
391734-5397
381634-6100
371635-5199
0-36100
Total:3333343334233523333333333333333