How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-1.4
*-0.1
-0.1
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.6
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86-105InYes100153*
85408-4In96.8%97331*
84398-5InYes10056*
83399-4In96.39811109*
82389-5In95.49821197*
813810-4In91.59631353*
803710-5In86.59541585*
793711-4In82.89452992*
783611-5In73.489831,568*
773511-6In62.38311602,365*
763512-5In49.67615903,530*
753412-6In36.1672012005,365*
743413-5In23.455261817,654*
733313-6In13.24430252010,575*
723314-5In5.93033343014,426*
713214-6100.0%2.019324260019,032*
703215-5100.00.51029481210024,654*
693115-699.90.15225021200031,190*
683116-599.80.02144731500038,731*
673016-699.1No08394112010046,811*
663017-597.0No03264621130055,532*
652917-691.3No01144231481063,830*
642918-580.0No06313310182071,797*
632818-662.2No0217261729810079,801*
622819-540.6No071419361940085,110*
612719-621.9No0251531311330090,173*
602720-59.6No0118193526920093,063*
592620-63.4No0003826332171093,797*
582621-51.2No00013143031164093,629*
572521-60.3No00001620332710190,154*
562522-50.1No0000211283520485,137*
552422-60.0No000151936311078,811*
542423-50.0No000021030401872,173*
532323-60.0No0001523432963,476*
522324-50.0No000215424155,522*
512224-6OutNo0019375347,025*
502225-5OutNo005316439,296*
492125-6OutNo003247331,977*
482126-5OutNo01188125,368*
472026-6OutNo01138720,038*
462027-5OutNo099115,418*
451927-6OutNo069411,579*
441928-5OutNo04968,322*
431828-6OutNo03975,977*
421829-5OutNo2984,176*
411729-6OutNo1992,869*
401730-5OutNo01002,020*
391630-6OutNo01001,266*
381631-5OutNo100807*
371531-6OutNo199543*
361532-5OutNo100299*
351432-6OutNo199182*
1-34OutNo100392*
Total:31.0%0.8%23796488891011141,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoCalgaryMontrealWinnipegTampa BayFloridaOttawaCarolinaNashvilleDallasDetroitEdmontonVancouverColumbus
105520-06.3%2161611612815114
89437-2NoYes
88427-3No333333
87428-2No132513251313
86407-57.71588888815815
85408-43.2106631310610161036
84398-510.727749211119559137
83399-45.547577611111366665
82389-56.17681086459671088
813810-48.2655676988710967
803710-56.278957778857867
793711-45.776888767876877
783611-55.977877887777777
773511-65.677778878867776
763512-56.676778977878776
753412-66.367679879877676
743413-56.26666101069988657
733313-66.5555511115101099557
723314-56.24444121241110109448
713214-66.633331313312111110338
703215-56.422221414212131111229
693115-66.422221515213131211119
683116-56.2111115161131313111110
3217-36.0111115151131312111110
673016-65.9111115151131412111110
2915-86.5222115151131312111110
663017-56.0222215142131212111110
2916-75.922221414212121110119
3118-36.322221414112121211119
652917-65.93333121321111109128
3018-45.833321314212111110118
2816-85.63333121221011109227
642918-55.34443101139998227
2817-74.94443101038877226
3019-35.04443111028987226
632818-63.944438826665124
2919-44.144439927776225
2717-83.634337726655114
622819-52.533325524443112
612820-41.311113312222001
602720-50.611101101111000
592721-40.200001100000000
582621-50.100000000000000
572622-40.0000000000000
562522-50.0000000000000
552523-4No0000000
542524-30.00000000
532323-6No000
522425-3No0000
1-51No
Total:1.9%1.21.21.21.04.24.20.93.63.63.33.00.60.62.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)+0.2
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina*-0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
86-105100
85408-4973
84398-5100
83399-496211
82389-595321
813810-492431
803710-586841
793711-4831152
783611-57315803
773511-66221110600
763512-550271408000
753412-63631182120000
743413-5233223317101
733313-613302462131200
723314-56242310247303000
713214-6217171524126060000
703215-5010111818191011110100
693115-60551710221431731020000
683116-5022124201581993050000
673016-6007113111416177110100100
663017-50030651682211416510300
652917-6001021112181191813408100
642918-500050107141122821451000
632818-6000203212422107181351000
622819-500010611371213201572100
612719-6000020531251522181151000
602720-500101171614212115831000
592620-60000030151119221912520000
582621-500001001391622211583100
572521-6000000002714202318104100
562522-5000000251220242012410
552422-60000014112025221240
542423-5000001412222722102
532323-600000015132629205
522324-500002718313012
512224-6000311273822
502225-50015204034
492125-6002123847
482126-50173359
472026-60042570
462027-50021979
451927-6011485
441928-501090
431828-60793
421829-50496
411729-60397
401730-50298
391630-6199
381631-5199
371531-6199
361532-5199
351432-6199
1-34100
Total:1112121223222422333444444555678