Western Conference Playoff Chances

Winnipeg +7.9, Ottawa -6.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TuesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthWednesday
Montreal5120-1579.3%-0.16.5%-0.08.0%-0.31413211758444332112.582at VancouverMontreal Canadiens
Calgary5120-1578.1-0.26.5-0.17.4-0.31312211758444432115.583Calgary Flames
Tampa Bay4220-0771.9-0.56.1-0.17.7-0.11411191694865432125.585Tampa Bay Lightning
Toronto631-0271.2-0.54.4-0.14.6-0.3910191861045554326.569EdmontonToronto Maple Leafs
FloridaWChicago 5-4 (ot)4220-0467.6+5.25.0+0.76.0+1.4119181695875443225.578Florida Panthers
Carolinaat Nashville4121-0365.1-0.64.6-0.15.0-0.110817169597654325.576Carolina Hurricanes
WinnipegWOttawa 4-3 (ot)4121-0062.9+7.93.3+0.62.9+0.967161761156666534.561Winnipeg Jets
NashvilleCarolina4121-0359.9-0.94.2-0.13.8-0.1871515105986654316.575Nashville Predators
OttawaLWinnipeg 3-4 (ot)3111-1053.4-6.02.7-0.71.7-0.946131561157887758.561Ottawa Senators
Dallas0400-0052.7-0.13.0+0.02.9+0.0661314951087765430.566Dallas Stars
DetroitWColumbus 3-2 (ot)422-0-139.3+5.11.8+0.31.2+0.3349118510109998718.554Detroit Red Wings
ColumbusLDetroit 2-3 (ot)312-1-528.8-4.80.9-0.30.5-0.31268749991011111121.536Columbus Blue Jackets
Vancouver213-0-728.1-0.50.7-0.00.3-0.01258384691012141627.531MontrealVancouver Canucks
Edmonton213-0-527.1-0.50.8-0.00.3-0.01258384691012141729.538at TorontoEdmonton Oilers
ChicagoLFlorida 4-5 (ot)103-1-1114.8-3.40.3-0.10.1-0.10134436781013172430.522Chicago Blackhawks

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is division-based. The top four teams in each division will make up the 16 teams in the playoffs, based on regular-season record.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal-0.5
Calgary-0.7
Tampa Bay*+0.1
Toronto-0.6
Winnipeg+5.2
+0.3
+0.7
Ottawa-2.4
-0.2
-0.3
Vancouver-0.5
Edmonton-0.6
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay-0.4
Florida-0.5
Carolina-0.5
Nashville-0.4
Dallas-0.6
Detroit+3.5
+0.1
+0.2
Columbus-0.9
-0.1
Chicago-0.3
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary-0.1
Tampa Bay-0.4
Florida+3.2
+0.3
+0.8
Carolina-0.5
*-0.1
Nashville-0.6
Dallas-0.5
Detroit-0.4
Columbus-0.5
Chicago-0.4
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal-0.1
Nashville vs CarolinaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay72.071.371.4*71.771.372.1
Florida67.667.166.967.267.167.8
*5.04.94.8*4.9*4.9*5.0
Carolina59.964.364.569.570.370.8
4.2*4.6*4.65.05.15.1
3.64.74.86.26.66.6
Nashville64.463.963.057.757.753.0
4.54.54.43.94.03.6
4.74.74.53.43.32.5
Dallas*52.852.152.352.252.352.9
Detroit39.538.738.938.938.639.5
Columbus28.928.328.5*28.628.329.0
Chicago14.914.514.414.414.414.9
Wednesday
Toronto vs EdmontonIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal79.478.978.9*79.078.979.4
Calgary78.277.777.877.877.6*78.1
Tampa Bay7.6*7.6*7.7*7.7*7.77.8
Toronto75.074.373.668.968.964.8
4.64.64.54.24.23.9
5.55.55.23.94.13.0
Florida6.0*6.0*6.0*6.0*6.16.1
Winnipeg63.062.362.562.462.263.1
Ottawa53.552.752.952.952.853.7
Vancouver*28.127.627.7*27.827.828.3
Edmonton22.826.426.631.231.932.6
0.7*0.8*0.80.91.01.0
0.20.2*0.20.40.40.4
Vancouver vs MontrealHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal74.978.478.482.482.783.1
6.0*6.4*6.46.76.86.8
5.87.47.49.59.89.8
Calgary*78.077.577.6*77.977.978.3
7.5*7.4*7.3*7.3*7.37.3
Tampa Bay7.8*7.7*7.7*7.57.57.5
Toronto*71.270.670.8*71.170.771.5
4.7*4.6*4.6*4.6*4.64.6
Florida6.2*6.1*6.1*5.9*6.05.9
Carolina5.2*5.1*5.0*4.94.94.9
Winnipeg*62.962.262.562.462.563.2
Nashville4.0*3.8*3.9*3.8*3.83.7
Ottawa*53.452.852.952.953.053.7
1.8*1.7*1.71.6*1.7*1.7
Dallas3.0*2.9*3.0*2.82.82.8
Vancouver32.431.831.126.626.522.9
0.90.80.8*0.8*0.70.6
0.40.40.40.20.20.2
Edmonton27.226.626.7*26.926.627.3
Vegas vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal7.9*7.9*7.9*8.1*7.98.1
Calgary7.2*7.3*7.2*7.4*7.47.6
Tampa Bay7.5*7.6*7.6*7.7*7.77.9
Toronto4.54.5*4.6*4.6*4.64.7
Florida6.05.9*6.0*6.1*6.06.2
Carolina5.0*5.0*4.9*5.1*5.05.2
Winnipeg2.92.9*2.9*3.0*3.03.0
Nashville3.83.8*3.8*3.9*3.93.9
Dallas2.9*2.9*2.9*2.9*2.93.0
Anaheim vs MinnesotaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal8.1*7.9*7.9*7.9*7.97.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

MontrealCalgaryTampa BayTorontoFloridaCarolinaWinnipegNashvilleOttawaDallasDetroitColumbusVancouverEdmontonChicago
Montreal14.53.013.92.92.812.42.610.32.41.91.55.25.10.8
Calgary14.53.013.92.82.712.22.610.22.31.81.45.14.80.8
Tampa Bay3.03.02.811.211.02.610.22.48.96.64.71.51.52.5
Toronto13.913.92.82.62.510.92.38.92.01.51.14.24.00.6
Florida2.92.811.22.610.52.49.62.18.46.04.31.31.22.2
Carolina2.82.711.02.510.52.29.32.08.05.84.11.21.12.0
Winnipeg12.412.22.610.92.42.22.07.31.71.20.93.33.20.5
Nashville2.62.610.22.39.69.32.01.77.25.13.71.00.91.7
Ottawa10.310.22.48.92.12.07.31.71.51.00.72.52.40.3
Dallas2.42.38.92.08.48.01.77.21.54.33.00.80.81.5
Detroit1.91.86.61.56.05.81.25.11.04.32.10.50.50.9
Columbus1.51.44.71.14.34.10.93.70.73.02.10.30.30.6
Vancouver5.25.11.54.21.31.23.31.02.50.80.50.31.00.1
Edmonton5.14.81.54.01.21.13.20.92.40.80.50.31.00.1
Chicago0.80.82.50.62.22.00.51.70.31.50.90.60.10.1