Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Colorado +5.3, NY Rangers -6.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TuesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIWednesday
Vegas6130-0664.3%+0.24.0%-0.06.5%-0.1129171476655544331ArizonaVegas Golden Knights
PhiladelphiaWBuffalo 3-0631-0458.8+5.03.7+0.34.6+0.9981514766665554411Philadelphia Flyers
New JerseyWNY Rangers 4-35120-1158.8+4.83.7+0.34.8+0.9981514666665554419New Jersey Devils
WashingtonLPittsburgh 4-5 (ot)620-2157.8-1.23.6-0.14.4-0.5881514766666555417Washington Capitals
NY Islanders4121-0053.5-0.33.3-0.03.6-0.1771413666666665514New York Islanders
Minnesota4121-0153.3+0.23.3+0.03.6-0.1771313766666665524at AnaheimMinnesota Wild
ColoradoWLos Angeles 3-24121-0653.3+5.33.3+0.33.6+0.777141376666666557Colorado Avalanche
St. Louis4121-0-453.2+0.13.3-0.03.6-0.177141376666666552San JoseSt. Louis Blues
Arizona3111-1-147.1+0.22.9-0.02.6-0.1561212666777777723at VegasArizona Coyotes
Anaheim3111-1-347.0+0.12.9-0.02.6-0.155121266677777773MinnesotaAnaheim Ducks
Boston3111-1-146.5-0.32.9+0.02.4-0.1561112666677777710Boston Bruins
PittsburghWWashington 5-4 (ot)422-0-446.4+4.82.9+0.32.3+0.555111266667777779Pittsburgh Penguins
NY RangersLNew Jersey 3-42112-0042.2-6.52.6-0.41.9-1.0451011666777788913New York Rangers
Los AngelesLColorado 2-32101-2-341.0-6.12.6-0.41.8-1.0441011666777788928Los Angeles Kings
San Jose2112-0-240.9+0.12.6+0.01.8-0.1441011666777788922at St. LouisSan Jose Sharks
BuffaloLPhiladelphia 0-3213-0-136.0-6.42.2-0.41.2-0.7348105667778991120Buffalo Sabres

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is division-based. The top four teams in each division will make up the 16 teams in the playoffs, based on regular-season record.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia*+0.1
New Jersey+5.3
+0.3
+1.0
Washington+0.2
NY Islanders+0.1
Boston+0.1
Pittsburgh+0.2
NY Rangers-6.2
-0.4
-1.0
Buffalo+0.2
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas*+0.1
Minnesota+0.2
Colorado+5.3
+0.3
+0.8
St. Louis*+0.1
Arizona+0.2
Anaheim*+0.1
Los Angeles-6.1
-0.4
-0.9
San Jose*+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia+5.3
+0.3
+1.0
New Jersey+0.1
Washington+0.1
NY Islanders*+0.1
Boston+0.1
Pittsburgh+0.1
NY Rangers*+0.1
Buffalo-6.1
-0.4
-0.7
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia-0.5
New Jersey-0.4
Washington-1.4
*-0.1
-0.3
NY Islanders-0.5
*-0.1
Anaheim*-0.1
Boston-0.6
Pittsburgh+4.6
+0.3
+0.5
NY Rangers-0.7
Buffalo-0.5
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona*-0.1
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas*-0.1
Los Angeles+0.1
Wednesday
Anaheim vs MinnesotaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas*64.463.9*64.0*64.363.864.5
Minnesota47.251.451.957.457.958.6
3.03.2*3.3*3.53.63.7
2.43.33.44.54.74.6
Colorado53.5*53.0*53.052.752.6*53.3
St. Louis*53.352.5*52.852.5*53.053.4
Arizona*47.246.4*46.946.546.547.3
Anaheim52.351.550.845.545.540.9
3.33.23.2*2.8*2.82.5
3.33.33.22.32.31.7
Los Angeles41.1*40.8*40.4*40.440.2*41.0
San Jose*41.040.540.2*40.740.4*41.0
Vegas vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas69.368.667.763.063.058.6
4.34.34.3*3.9*4.03.7
8.08.17.95.96.14.7
Minnesota53.552.852.7*53.0*52.9*53.3
Colorado53.552.6*53.1*53.152.6*53.3
St. Louis*53.452.752.452.552.7*53.3
Arizona40.945.845.850.751.652.4
2.6*2.9*2.93.13.23.2
1.72.22.33.23.43.4
Anaheim47.2*46.7*47.046.346.3*47.0
Pittsburgh2.3*2.3*2.4*2.5*2.32.4
St. Louis vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas*64.4*64.063.8*64.263.6*64.5
St. Louis58.457.957.251.751.947.0
3.63.63.5*3.2*3.22.9
4.64.54.53.33.32.4
Anaheim*47.146.3*46.846.446.547.2
Los Angeles41.140.340.340.240.441.1
San Jose34.839.339.245.045.446.2
2.1*2.5*2.52.92.92.9
1.11.61.62.32.32.4
Toronto vs EdmontonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey*4.7*4.74.5*4.8*4.74.9
St. Louis*3.6*3.63.4*3.5*3.63.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

VegasPhiladelphiaNew JerseyWashingtonNY IslandersMinnesotaColoradoSt. LouisArizonaAnaheimBostonPittsburghNY RangersLos AngelesSan JoseBuffalo
Vegas2.22.22.12.07.97.87.96.96.91.81.81.66.06.01.4
Philadelphia2.27.97.87.11.81.71.81.61.66.16.25.51.41.44.7
New Jersey2.27.97.77.11.81.81.81.61.66.36.15.61.41.44.7
Washington2.17.87.77.01.71.71.71.51.56.06.15.41.41.34.7
NY Islanders2.07.17.17.01.61.61.61.41.45.65.55.11.21.24.1
Minnesota7.91.81.81.71.66.46.45.55.61.41.41.24.94.81.1
Colorado7.81.71.81.71.66.46.55.55.61.41.41.34.84.71.1
St. Louis7.91.81.81.71.66.46.55.65.61.41.41.24.74.81.1
Arizona6.91.61.61.51.45.55.55.64.81.21.21.14.14.20.9
Anaheim6.91.61.61.51.45.65.65.64.81.21.21.14.04.10.9
Boston1.86.16.36.05.61.41.41.41.21.24.64.21.01.03.4
Pittsburgh1.86.26.16.15.51.41.41.41.21.24.64.11.01.03.4
NY Rangers1.65.55.65.45.11.21.31.21.11.14.24.10.90.93.0
Los Angeles6.01.41.41.41.24.94.84.74.14.01.01.00.93.40.8
San Jose6.01.41.41.31.24.84.74.84.24.11.01.00.93.40.8
Buffalo1.44.74.74.74.11.11.11.10.90.93.43.43.00.80.8