Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 37.8%
3 points   1 1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Minnesota+4.7+3.8+3.1-1.9-2.1-6.4
+0.2+0.2+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.5
Vegas vs Arizona+0.3-0.5-0.4-0.7-0.6-0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose+0.1-0.6-0.4*-0.2-0.5+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-109In99.6%100516*
86399-5In99.3991141*
853910-4In97.9991286*
843810-5In97.19901479*
833710-6In93.99721882*
823711-5In90.897211,422*
813611-6In87.396322,449*
803612-5In79.992533,821*
793512-6In73.1907306,039*
783513-5In63.08411609,042*
773413-6In50.877149013,157*
763414-5In37.96819130018,901*
753314-6In25.55823181027,257*
743315-5In15.24628251037,268*
733215-6100.0%7.534313230049,728*
723216-5100.03.122324060065,060*
713116-6100.00.9133047101083,501*
703117-5100.00.26255017100104,234*
693017-699.90.021850263000127,445*
683018-599.6No11144378000151,660*
672918-698.6No053344151100177,106*
662919-595.6No022146234400201,814*
652819-689.1No001040291010100225,927*
642820-576.5No04272620194000246,219*
632720-658.1No0115162727123000262,645*
622721-537.8No0672527249200274,347*
612621-620.5No022171930218200282,093*
602622-59.3No000892530196100281,725*
592522-63.5No0003315292916410274,870*
582523-51.1No0001161931271220264,079*
572423-60.3No0000021024332371248,389*
562424-50.1No00004153132163227,469*
552324-60.0No0000172336267204,520*
542325-50.0No0000314333614180,418*
532225-60.0No00017264223154,825*
522226-50.0No00003184335130,825*
512126-6OutNo002114047107,881*
502127-50.0No00017345886,918*
492027-6OutNo004276968,678*
482028-5OutNo0002217753,070*
471928-6OutNo01158439,979*
461929-5OutNo00118929,750*
451829-6OutNo079221,256*
441830-5OutNo059515,450*
431730-6OutNo039710,459*
421731-5OutNo2987,055*
411631-6OutNo01994,685*
401632-5OutNo1992,971*
391532-6OutNo1991,911*
381533-5OutNo01001,143*
371433-6OutNo199718*
361434-5OutNo100429*
351334-6OutNo0100223*
3-34OutNo100673*
Total:37.8%1.1%3391166777888994,793,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasColoradoPhiladelphiaWashingtonNew JerseyMinnesotaNY IslandersArizonaSt. LouisNY RangersBostonSan JosePittsburghBuffaloLos Angeles
109530-03.1%1420180141401109
92437-3No25252525
91416-6No2020202020
90428-37.78158888151515
89418-45.01055553051051010
88408-57.114144477117411117
87409-41.6611322105111152610610
86399-51.471346696910636645
853910-43.8812433104139469437
843810-54.0885551141010448648
833710-64.691163610498448549
823711-54.491064510599558446
813611-64.89115549589557558
803612-54.881055610699557457
793512-64.49955510589657557
783513-54.891055510689557556
773413-64.891055510598557556
763414-54.8101055510598557546
753314-64.7111155511598547446
743315-54.6121354411598447446
733215-64.5131344412499447336
723216-54.31515333133109337336
713116-64.316163331431110228226
703117-54.118172221521110228227
693017-64.019182221511111118117
683018-53.819182221511111118117
672918-63.619182221511111118117
2817-83.619172221521110118117
662919-53.419162221421110118117
2818-73.418163331421010117116
3020-33.31816333142109117116
652819-63.3171533312298116116
2718-83.1161344411388226115
642820-52.714124449376225114
2921-32.714114449366224114
632720-62.01184446344113112
622721-51.3863334222111111
612621-60.7531112111001001
602622-50.3321111010000000
592623-40.1110000000000000
582523-50.0000000000000000
572524-40.0000000000000000
562424-50.0000000000000
552425-40.000000000
542325-50.00000000
532326-4No00000
522327-3No00000
512429-0No
502228-3No0
3-49No
Total:1.4%7.06.01.51.41.45.01.13.63.40.70.82.60.60.62.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Minnesota-1.0-0.9-0.7+0.4+0.4+1.4
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0
St. Louis vs San Jose-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88-109100
87409-4973
86399-5991
853910-49811
843810-597201
833710-694421
823711-591621
813611-687832
803612-58012503
793512-6731770300
783513-56321100600
773413-651261419000
763414-53830181120000
753314-62533203171010
743315-51530235222101000
733215-68262292552030000
723216-5319191325105050000
713116-6112141621169191010
703117-506817142014215211000
693017-6024147201861953030000
683018-5119214161119107070000
672918-6005071115141613113210100
662919-50020341461718518540400
652819-60000119211161118111009100
642820-500040491410151731661000
632720-6000101311312197191561000
622721-5000015161312142216721000
612621-600020261161722181041000
602622-5000000171716222114721000
592522-600000302614212217941000
582523-5000010015111923201252000
572423-6000000001491723221472000
562424-5000000138162323167200
552324-60000012716232417720
542325-5000001281725251651
532225-60000139202825123
522226-5000014122431226
512126-60001617323113
502127-50000210273822
492027-60015204033
482028-50002133945
471928-600183457
461929-50052867
451829-600022276
441830-50011683
431730-611288
421731-50891
411631-60694
401632-50496
391532-6298
381533-5199
371433-60298
361434-5199
351334-6199
341335-5199
331235-6100
321236-5397
3-31100
Total:1212222233333343444444444444444