Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Buffalo 3-0, playoff odds up 4.9 to 58.8%
6 points   3 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +5.3
+0.3
+1.0
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.6
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 *+0.1
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86-110In99.5%100828*
853710-5In98.7991525*
843610-6In97.7991821*
833611-5In97.099101,411*
823612-4In94.698202,157*
813512-5In91.597313,320*
803513-4In87.995414,831*
793413-5In82.1926206,751*
783313-6In73.7889309,537*
773314-5In62.482135012,993*
763214-6In50.474178016,998*
753215-5In37.2652312022,355*
743115-6In24.45328181028,321*
733116-5100.0%13.541332510034,721*
723016-6100.06.228363330041,924*
713017-5100.02.317354170049,638*
702917-6100.00.693147121057,202*
692918-599.90.1424502020064,653*
682818-699.70.0115473150036,663*
2919-499.70.01164830500034,885*
672819-599.20.00839411111077,014*
662719-697.2No03274519330081,041*
652720-594.2No01174524750042,600*
2619-789.3No111402810101040,934*
642620-680.8No063125181630084,880*
632621-562.6No02171727251020083,522*
622521-638.7No067252623920033,920*
2622-443.7No008827252182047,364*
612522-522.2No02218193021710076,586*
602422-610.0No01099253018610071,181*
592423-53.8No000431428291641064,778*
582323-61.1No000116193128123057,529*
572324-50.3No0000282433238149,665*
562224-60.2No00000314293317342,108*
552225-50.1No000016213628835,554*
542125-60.0No00021331371528,649*
532126-50.0No0001625432622,900*
522026-60.0No000317423817,979*
512027-5OutNo0110394913,786*
501927-6OutNo006336110,300*
491928-5OutNo0326717,463*
481828-6OutNo0220795,513*
471829-5OutNo114853,888*
461729-6OutNo09912,617*
451730-5OutNo06941,715*
441630-6OutNo4961,132*
431631-5OutNo298753*
421531-6OutNo199457*
411532-5OutNo199246*
6-40OutNo100522*
Total:58.8%4.6%98151476666555441,437,130

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNew JerseyWashingtonNY IslandersSt. LouisColoradoMinnesotaArizonaAnaheimBostonPittsburghNY RangersLos AngelesSan JoseBuffalo
110520-08.7%161710113161512
95447-1No5050
94437-250.0Yes
93438-1No5050
92428-2No20402020
91407-510.516165511516521
90408-48.11631455581414314
89398-54.32176114246211171322
88399-49.42146112123411177639
87389-57.33111274232591492313
863810-44.931212112343381011449
853710-57.26101375344499103410
843610-66.0481010535341211102510
833611-58.1411910546439109448
823612-45.5491010444459109448
813512-55.94910104544410109449
803513-46.6410101054445999459
793413-56.55109954555999448
783313-66.55109955555998557
773314-56.0599955555998558
763214-66.45109955555998558
753215-56.45109955555898558
743115-66.3510101055545998548
733116-56.2411111044544998448
723016-66.341212114444410109348
713017-56.231313123333310119339
702917-66.2214141323222111110229
692918-56.4215151422222121210229
682818-66.0215151411111121311119
2717-86.1215151411111121211119
672819-56.1216151411111121211119
2920-36.2215151411111121211119
662719-66.2215151421111121211119
2618-86.1214141322222111110118
652720-55.831313122222210109218
2821-35.831313122222210109217
642620-65.0411111033322887226
632621-53.9488733322655224
622521-62.6355422222333112
612522-51.4233211111221111
602523-40.6121100000111000
592423-50.2011000000000000
582424-40.1000000000000000
572324-50.00000000000000
562325-40.000000000000
552326-30.00000000
542226-40.00000000
532227-3No0000
522127-4No0
6-51No
Total:3.7%2.27.97.87.21.81.81.81.61.66.16.25.51.41.44.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 -1.1
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+0.1
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs San Jose*-0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0+0.0
Vegas vs Arizona*-0.0+0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88-110100
87389-5991
863810-4991
853710-59911
843610-69821
833611-597210
823612-495420
813512-592531
803513-488741
793413-582106020
783313-6741590300
773314-562191305000
763214-650241718000
753215-5372821112000
743115-62429253161110
733116-51427276212101000
723016-662226102454030000
713017-5215211424107060000
702917-618141819151311111100
692918-5047171117193162202000
682818-6013135152081965050000
672819-500171915131612121101110
662719-60030481591518316320300
652720-500101211311199188807100
642620-600050512131213172144100
632621-5000201412512216191351000
622521-60000016161511142015620000
612522-5000202612617221810410000
602422-600010027171622201472100
592423-500003015132022181041000
582323-6000010014101722211472100
572324-50000001371522231793100
562224-6000000261321241910410
552225-5000025132125201030
542125-6000251322272092
532126-500026162628185
522026-60002719312811
512027-501312283520
501927-60016224030
491928-5003153844
481828-60183457
471829-50052867
461729-6032176
451730-5011584
441630-601090
431631-50694
421531-6496
411532-5199
401432-6298
391433-5100
381333-6298
6-37100
Total:5444434343434342443333333322222