New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat NY Rangers 4-3, playoff odds up 4.9 to 58.8%
5 points   2 0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 +5.3
+0.3
+1.1
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.5
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.2
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)*-0.0
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86-111In99.7%100983*
853811-4In99.01000586*
843711-5In98.01000946*
833712-4In96.098101,542*
823612-5In95.098202,432*
813512-6In91.596313,525*
803513-5In87.295415,260*
793413-6In80.492727,517*
783414-5In72.787103010,213*
773314-6In61.682136013,790*
763315-5In49.8741880018,023*
753215-6In35.7642413023,384*
743216-5In23.35229181029,262*
733116-6In12.93934262035,650*
723117-5In5.92736333043,180*
713017-6100.0%2.117354170050,587*
703018-5100.00.593048121057,798*
692918-699.90.1323512120065,085*
682919-599.80.01154731500071,277*
672819-699.1No07384111110076,845*
662820-596.8No03254620330080,921*
652720-691.1No11442269810083,916*
642721-579.0No0530251917400083,714*
632621-660.5No01161627251220082,647*
622622-539.5No0077262623920080,156*
612522-620.7No02217173022820075,502*
602523-59.4No01088243020710069,614*
592423-63.1No000331328301751063,519*
582424-51.0No000115183128143056,343*
572324-60.3No0000282333259148,735*
562325-50.1No00000313293318341,635*
552225-60.1No000016203629834,812*
542226-50.0No00021232381728,359*
532126-60.0No0001624432622,929*
522127-50.0No000316423917,884*
512027-6OutNo0110385113,793*
502028-5OutNo005326210,396*
491928-6OutNo0324727,623*
481929-5OutNo0119805,354*
471829-6OutNo0113863,840*
461830-5OutNo010902,616*
451730-6OutNo07931,766*
441731-5OutNo04961,178*
431631-6OutNo397766*
421632-5OutNo298432*
411532-6OutNo298269*
401533-5OutNo199169*
391534-4OutNo199103*
381434-5OutNo10064*
371435-4OutNo49628*
5-36OutNo100162*
Total:58.8%4.8%98151466666555441,437,130

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasPhiladelphiaWashingtonNY IslandersSt. LouisColoradoMinnesotaArizonaAnaheimBostonPittsburghNY RangersLos AngelesSan JoseBuffalo
111530-09.6%162611115121117
98455-3NoYes
94-95NoYes
93438-2NoYes
92406-7No25252525
91407-63.231063636310161913
90408-56.13612633612151869
89409-49.519585143412128548
88399-56.15119113312411816539
873910-45.6311101334235121010429
863810-56.6311111034443131084211
853811-46.74109114444391011458
843711-56.43912103434411109439
833712-45.64111094444410129548
823612-56.4410109444541199449
813512-66.4410109554451099449
803513-56.94101010544549108448
793413-66.1599955555998448
783414-56.55109954555999557
773314-66.5599955555998557
763315-56.65910955555998557
753215-66.251010955555898558
743216-56.2510111055555998447
733116-66.04111110444441099447
723117-56.341212114444410109338
713017-66.1313131233333111010338
703018-56.3214141322222111110228
692918-66.5215151422222121211129
682919-56.1115151411111121211119
3020-36.2215151411111121211119
672819-66.3215151411111131211119
2718-86.2215151412111121211119
662820-56.1215141422211111211119
2921-36.0215141322211111110119
652720-65.7314131222222111010118
2619-85.6313131222222998227
642721-55.041110933322887226
632621-63.8488733322555224
622622-52.4355422221333112
612522-61.3233211111221111
602523-50.6111100000111000
592524-40.2010000000000000
582424-50.1000000000000000
572425-40.00000000000000
562325-50.000000000
552326-40.00000000
542226-50.000000
532227-4No000
522127-5No0
5-51No
Total:3.7%2.17.97.87.21.81.71.81.61.66.26.15.51.41.44.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 -1.1
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0
Vegas vs Arizona*+0.0-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
87-111100
863810-5991
853811-49910
843711-59820
833712-496210
823612-595320
813512-692531
803513-587741
793413-68011602
783414-573151003000
773314-662201205000
763315-5502417180000
753215-6362822112000
743216-523292631711100
733116-6132627621322000
723117-56222511245403000
713017-6215201523108060000
703018-51813171815141111110
692918-6036161018194163202000
682919-5012124152081976050000
672819-601719151316121311111100
662820-50030371581519417330300
652720-601012112111910179908100
642721-500050511141213172155100
632621-600010141141220719145100
622622-50000016161412142116721000
612522-600020251261622191151000
602523-500010171614212115831000
592423-600003015121922191152000
582424-5000010013917222115831000
572324-6000012714212318104100
562325-500000251220242011410
552225-60000015112025211140
542226-5000151222272192
532126-600015152529195
522127-50002719312912
512027-600311283721
502028-50016204033
491928-6003143845
481929-5183457
471829-60152768
461830-5022078
451730-611584
441731-5011089
431631-60693
421632-5595
411532-6496
401533-5298
391534-4199
381434-5100
371435-4496
5-36100
Total:5444434343434342443333333322222