New York Rangers Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to New Jersey 3-4, playoff odds down 6.5 to 42.2%
2 points   1 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 -6.1
-0.4
-1.0
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.4
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86-108In99.6%100258*
85399-5In97.7991130*
843910-4In97.71000213*
833810-5In97.89900363*
823710-6In94.49721628*
813711-5In91.59721964*
803611-6In86.595411,656*
793612-5In81.592622,436*
783512-6In72.9889303,695*
773513-5In61.68113505,249*
763413-6In50.87517807,458*
753414-5In37.7642313010,319*
743314-6In23.95229181013,529*
733315-5In13.44033252018,029*
723215-6In6.42836333023,281*
713216-5100.0%2.217354170028,924*
703116-6100.00.5930481210035,531*
693117-599.90.1423512120043,155*
683017-699.70.01154731500050,564*
673018-599.1No0838411111058,051*
662918-696.8No032646203300065,353*
652919-591.1No1144226881071,993*
642819-679.7No053025181630077,027*
632820-561.2No02171726251120080,816*
622720-640.0No0077262623920082,919*
612721-521.5No02217182921820084,389*
602621-69.4No01099253019710082,866*
592622-53.4No000331428301651079,660*
582522-61.0No000116183128133075,767*
572523-50.3No00000292333248169,744*
562423-60.1No00000313303317363,496*
552424-50.0No000016213528856,445*
542324-60.0No00021231381649,102*
532325-50.0No0001624422641,286*
522225-60.0No000316433834,801*
512226-5OutNo00110385128,499*
502126-6OutNo006336122,714*
492127-5OutNo03257217,627*
482027-6OutNo02197913,757*
472028-5OutNo01148610,205*
461928-6OutNo09917,514*
451929-5OutNo06935,397*
441829-6OutNo04963,671*
431830-5OutNo3972,619*
421730-6OutNo2981,745*
411731-5OutNo01001,236*
401631-6OutNo199748*
391632-5OutNo100449*
381532-6OutNo199337*
2-37OutNo100515*
Total:42.2%1.9%45101166667778891,437,130

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNew JerseyPhiladelphiaWashingtonNY IslandersSt. LouisColoradoMinnesotaArizonaAnaheimBostonPittsburghLos AngelesSan JoseBuffalo
108530-03.5%2020141615510
95455-3NoYes
93446-3No5050
92436-4NoYes
91426-525.025252525
90438-225.0255025
89417-511.1222211221111
88407-67.1777147772914
87408-53.4310107171010101037
86409-45.1419511111463814410
85399-55.451312714253521310325
843910-44.231115121141265811416
833810-58.04111110844444108487
823710-65.9481210945454117449
813711-55.659911115444698547
803611-66.041010101045455810538
793612-56.159101094545599548
783512-66.0489995655599557
773513-56.24910996555588447
763413-65.7599995555588557
753414-56.551099105555588456
743314-66.44101010105544599447
733315-56.54111010104444599447
723215-66.14121211114444499337
713216-56.2312131212333331010337
703116-66.2213131313222221110228
693117-56.4214141413222221111228
683017-66.1115151414111111112119
2916-86.4115151514111111111118
673018-56.1215151514111111212119
3119-36.0215151413111111112119
662918-66.0215141413122111111118
2817-86.2314141313222221110118
652919-55.53131213112222299117
3020-35.531212121122222109127
642819-65.24111111103332288226
2718-84.74109983332277225
632820-53.9477763332255223
622720-62.5355542222233112
612721-51.4233321111121111
602722-40.6111110000011000
592622-50.2011000000000000
582623-40.1000000000000000
572523-50.0000000000000000
562524-40.000000000
552424-50.000000
542324-6No000000
532426-30.0000
522427-2No0
2-51No
Total:2.6%1.65.55.55.45.01.21.21.21.11.14.24.10.90.93.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 +1.3
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0
Toronto vs Edmonton*-0.0*-0.0+0.1*+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.0-0.0*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88-108100
87419-3973
86409-4100
85399-59821
843910-49820
833810-598200
823710-694321
813711-591521
803611-687841
793612-58110602
783512-673159030
773513-562201305000
763413-651241717000
753414-5382721112000
743314-624282631710100
733315-5132727621220200
723215-66212510245403000
713216-5215201423108060000
703116-61813171915131111001000
693117-5047161117193162202000
683017-6012125152081965050000
673018-501719151316121211111010
662918-600303814915183173303000
652919-50101211311199188808100
642819-6000050512131213172155100
632820-5000101411412206191351000
622720-600001616141215211572000
612721-500020261161722181041000
602621-60010171715222114731000
592622-500003015132022181151000
582522-6000010014917222114721000
572523-500000000127152123179310
562423-6000000261321241910410
552424-50000015122125201130
542324-60000151323272092
532325-50000016152629185
522225-600002819322811
512226-501312283621
502126-60016214032
492127-5003143845
482027-600183456
472028-50052768
461928-6022177
451929-5011484
441829-601990
431830-50793
421730-60496
411731-5397
401631-6298
391632-5298
381532-6199
371432-7199
2-36100
Total:2222223232323242444444444444444