Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 50/50

Plays at Nashville 8:00 PM, playoff odds down 0.4 to 52.4%
4 points   2 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.4
*-0.1
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)*-0.2
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)*-0.2
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 *-0.1
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-5.9-1.0-1.1+4.4+4.8+4.8
-0.3*-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-1.2-0.3-0.3+0.7+1.0+1.0
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
88-110InYes100264*
87399-5In99.3%991146*
863910-4In99.61000235*
853810-5In99.09910395*
843811-4In97.59910716*
833711-5In97.498111,087*
823712-4In94.797121,745*
813612-5In92.596222,602*
803512-6In86.1923403,930*
793513-5In80.7905605,647*
783413-6In73.4857808,236*
773414-5In62.9791011011,284*
763314-6In49.87014161015,178*
753315-5In37.15918211020,319*
743215-6In23.94722283025,942*
733216-5100.0%14.036243550032,838*
723116-6100.06.324264181039,800*
713117-599.92.21525461310048,072*
703017-699.80.57214720300056,169*
693018-599.40.13174529601064,814*
682918-698.40.011140361102072,557*
672919-595.90.0063140171400078,963*
662819-691.3No032240234710084,840*
652820-583.0No011335241013300089,980*
642720-670.9No07262017208200092,843*
632721-555.7No031712232315510093,670*
622621-639.7No0110623202213410092,291*
612622-525.6No0052191424221131089,071*
602522-614.5No00201271926211020083,870*
592523-57.5No010731124281971077,402*
582423-63.3No000315162728154070,514*
572424-51.4No000102821302510162,521*
562324-60.6No0101413273219454,541*
552325-50.2No00016203429946,402*
542225-60.1No00031231371738,656*
532226-50.0No000001624422731,612*
522126-60.0No000316423825,261*
512127-5OutNo00110394919,903*
502027-6OutNo016336115,135*
492028-5OutNo03267011,464*
481928-6OutNo0220788,218*
471929-5OutNo0114856,153*
461829-6OutNo010904,238*
451830-5OutNo07932,857*
441730-6OutNo05951,953*
431731-5OutNo3971,342*
421631-6OutNo298861*
411632-5OutNo199501*
401532-6OutNo199335*
38-39OutNo100303*
371434-5OutNo29864*
361233-8OutNo39730*
4-35OutNo100166*
Total:52.4%3.6%65131477666666651,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupFloridaTampa BayNew JerseyPhiladelphiaMontrealTorontoWashingtonNY IslandersOttawaDetroitPittsburghBostonNY RangersColumbusBuffalo
110530-06.3%1172291642111129213
93415-716.71733171717
92416-6No2020202020
91428-3No4314141414
90418-413.814731733331410777
89408-53.41037103310101014710
88409-46.78123710737513312227
87399-55.558617125669513539
863910-46.0685310106478596310
853810-56.88105579948757628
843811-46.09105689549758438
833711-56.18105479468849629
823712-45.8985698558868537
813612-56.6995589558859437
803512-66.7985588668858448
793513-56.6786588668768638
783413-66.2886678667768547
773414-55.9777777677768547
763314-66.4778877777667656
753315-56.4668866886676656
743215-66.26591056995586755
733216-56.35410105511104495864
723116-66.544121244121043104974
713117-56.133131333131233103973
703017-66.522141433131222112982
693018-56.3221414221413221121082
3119-36.4221414221412221221082
682918-66.3221414221413221111081
2817-86.1221414221413221111081
672919-56.1221414331312221111071
3020-35.823141333131222101971
662819-65.733121333121222101961
2718-85.63312123312112291861
652820-55.23311114411102282751
2921-35.3431111431192282751
642720-64.4449944982262641
2619-84.2448843872262531
632721-53.4446633662242421
622621-62.5334422431232211
612622-51.7223321321122111
602522-60.9112211111111101
592523-50.5111100110001000
582423-60.2000000000000000
572424-50.100000000000000
562425-40.0000000000000000
552325-50.000000000000000
542326-40.0000000000000
532327-30.0000000
522227-4No00
4-51No
Total:3.3%2.22.26.46.42.22.26.35.71.71.74.91.74.43.11.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.0
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina+1.3+0.2+0.2-0.9-1.1-1.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Minnesota*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0
St. Louis vs San Jose*-0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88-110100
87399-5991
863910-41000
853810-59910
843811-497210
833711-597111
823712-495212
813612-592422
803512-6866340
793513-58195500
783413-6731270800
773414-5631610011000
763314-65020140150010
753315-53722181201010
743215-6242421126113000
733216-51422222293250000
723116-661822430750800100
713117-521218726119013101000
703017-6171381815140182130000
693018-503891016181214360010
682918-60137413203209701010200
672919-5001518166141313015214000
662819-600303108613181185407100
652820-500101472101941510100124100
642720-6000150414881317116103100
632721-50000301792102031516931000
622621-6000102705167918181141000
612622-5000014029931120201362000
602522-600002048141120221693100
592523-50010160141018221912510000
582423-6000003001381622221572100
572424-500001000271421231793100
562324-60010000251321241910410
552325-500000015122125211130
542225-6000151323272092
532226-5000015152629185
522126-600002819322811
512127-501311283720
502027-60016204032
492028-5003143845
481928-600193357
471929-50042768
461829-6032077
451830-511485
441730-601189
431731-50693
421631-60595
411632-5298
401532-6199
391533-5199
381433-6199
371434-5298
361233-8397
4-35100
Total:4332434243524352444433333333332