"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances

Plays at Nashville 8:00 PM, playoff odds up 1.3 to 63.7%
4 points   2 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.3
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.2
*-0.1
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.2
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)*+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 -0.1
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-5.0*-0.1*-0.2+4.6+5.0+5.3
-0.4*-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.4+0.5
-1.4-0.2-0.2+1.2+1.4+1.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.1*-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
89-110InYes1001,043*
88409-4In99.7%1000605*
87399-5In99.010001,076*
863910-4In98.899001,768*
853810-5In97.599102,829*
843811-4In96.698114,736*
833711-5In94.997117,454*
823712-4In92.09622010,879*
813612-5In88.1943316,326*
803613-4In82.09055023,200*
793513-5In74.28687032,784*
783413-6In64.1791110045,028*
773414-5In52.3711514059,409*
763314-6In39.96219191077,046*
753315-5In27.45123242098,246*
743215-6In16.539273130120,452*
733216-5100.0%8.5272938600145,905*
723116-6100.03.51728441010171,926*
713117-5100.01.1102648151000197,934*
703017-699.80.352148233000222,911*
693018-599.50.021545317010244,979*
682918-698.50.01103938111100263,840*
672919-596.10.0052942172400277,712*
662819-691.5No0220412267100286,524*
652820-583.6No0112352213133000288,211*
642720-672.0No062717221882000284,003*
632721-556.9No0317102721156100273,500*
622621-641.2No01104261822135100257,900*
612622-526.9No00512012232212410238,223*
602522-615.9No002014618262210200216,244*
592523-58.3No00108210232820710191,728*
582423-64.0No0004151627281540165,614*
572424-51.7No00002028213125101140,400*
562324-60.7No001003132832184116,592*
552325-50.3No000017203429895,159*
542225-60.1No000031331371575,504*
532226-50.0No0001725422458,453*
522126-60.0No000418433645,177*
512127-50.0No000211394833,787*
502027-6OutNo017345824,578*
492028-5OutNo004286817,681*
481928-6OutNo02227612,376*
471929-5OutNo0116838,477*
461829-6OutNo012885,621*
451830-5OutNo08923,821*
441730-6OutNo05952,399*
431731-5OutNo4961,499*
421631-6OutNo397955*
411632-5OutNo199572*
401532-6OutNo298304*
4-39OutNo100790*
Total:63.7%5.0%97171678655554434,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealTampa BayFloridaPhiladelphiaWashingtonNew JerseyTorontoNY IslandersOttawaNY RangersBostonDetroitPittsburghBuffaloColumbus
110530-09.5%910853285114168210
97444-5NoYes
96434-6NoYes
95446-314.3291414141414
94436-48.388882588888
93426-53.777154154157444411
92438-27.32172215127771557
91417-57.4714922510559106655
90418-49.599866462101089381
89408-58.3781375575103116581
88409-47.4799855868595492
87399-58.6789576869598571
863910-48.4799556969598472
853810-57.9799665868588582
843811-49.0789766978587572
833711-58.3799666869587572
823712-48.8799666868587572
813612-58.5788667878687573
803613-48.9788777878677573
793513-58.8788777878677563
783413-68.3677888787676563
773414-58.3677998787676663
763314-68.2667999686765653
753315-58.2566101110695755654
743215-68.15551112125105854644
733216-58.04441313134114843744
723116-67.83441414144123933734
713117-57.63331515153132932724
703017-67.42221616162132922825
693018-57.222216161621421011815
682918-67.032216161621411011815
672919-56.63331616162131911814
3020-36.63331616163131911814
662819-66.24431514143122811714
652820-55.55541312123102711613
642720-64.7554101010382511412
632721-53.7554777361311311
622621-62.7444555241211211
612622-51.7333333221111110
602522-61.0222222110110000
592523-50.5111111010000000
582423-60.3010000000000000
572424-50.1000000000000000
562425-40.0000000000000000
552325-50.000000000000000
542225-60.00000000000
532226-5No00000000
522227-4No0000
512127-5No0
4-50No
Total:4.6%3.03.22.99.08.98.92.57.31.85.11.71.54.21.42.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.1
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+0.0
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina+1.1+0.0+0.1-1.0-1.1-1.2
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
89-110100
88409-410000
87399-59910
863910-499100
853810-597110
843811-497211
833711-595211
823712-4924220
813612-5886330
803613-482855000
793513-57412807000
783413-6641511010000
773414-5521914013000
763314-64022180180010
753315-5272322122112000
743215-6162225227223000
733216-59192542954050000
723116-631422628880900100
713117-5191782212130141110000
703017-604111014141911822030000
693018-502697142222155060010
682918-601372102251881101111100
672919-50014051681212180162204000
662819-60020299511232175607100
652820-5001004717225148130124100
642720-6000150315871021115931000
632721-5000020189282431416931000
622621-600001003704197918171031000
612622-50000140111931220191251000
602522-600000200591513212114620000
592523-50001026015132123179310000
582423-60000030014122023191141000
572424-5000000200014101823211362000
562324-60001000139172322156200
552325-5000013817242415610
542225-600001391825241451
532226-50001310202824113
522126-600014132431216
512127-50001617313113
502027-6000311273722
492028-500016204034
481928-60003133846
471929-50183358
461829-60052867
451830-5022176
441730-6011584
431731-5011189
421631-60892
411632-5595
401532-6496
391533-5298
381433-6199
371434-5298
4-36100
Total:5452636253624262443333322222111