Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 0-3, playoff odds down 13.9 to 33.2%
2 points   1 3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 -5.6
-0.4
-0.6
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.4
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 +0.2
WednesdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86-106InYes100504*
85398-5In96.9%9821129*
84399-4In97.9100194*
83389-5In94.69630407*
82379-6In91.99821705*
813710-5In88.895511,293*
803711-4In82.6935202,121*
793611-5In74.1899203,407*
783511-6In63.48312405,430*
773512-5In51.27717608,281*
763412-6In38.2682210012,516*
753413-5In26.35828140018,773*
743313-6In16.1473320125,756*
733314-5In8.23436272036,316*
723214-6100.0%3.423373640048,696*
713215-5100.01.014354380064,478*
703115-6100.00.3730491410082,651*
693116-599.90.032250233000104,145*
683016-699.70.011446336000126,982*
673017-599.00.0073642121100153,086*
662917-696.6No032446213300178,671*
652918-590.7No1134127981000203,778*
642818-679.0No05302519174000228,760*
632819-560.8No0116172625112000249,547*
622719-640.0No007726272392000266,122*
612720-521.7No022172030207100278,908*
602620-69.6No0109102630186100285,386*
592621-53.6No0003316292915400284,337*
582521-61.1No0001172032261120278,380*
572522-50.3No000021025322271265,981*
562422-60.1No000014163131153247,985*
552423-50.0No00000182336256227,656*
542323-60.0No00000315343513203,535*
532324-50.0No00018274223178,784*
522224-60.0No0004194433152,500*
512225-50.0No0002124046128,479*
502125-60.0No000173557105,492*
492126-5OutNo004286885,034*
482026-6OutNo02227666,947*
472027-5OutNo01168351,548*
461927-6OutNo00128838,759*
451928-5OutNo089228,482*
441828-6OutNo059520,268*
431829-5OutNo039614,509*
421729-6OutNo2989,743*
411730-5OutNo1996,647*
401630-6OutNo1994,371*
391631-5OutNo01002,753*
381531-6OutNo01001,715*
371532-5OutNo01001,017*
361432-6OutNo100633*
351433-5OutNo0100350*
2-34OutNo100861*
Total:33.2%0.7%23795667788910114,793,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasColoradoPhiladelphiaWashingtonNew JerseyMinnesotaNY IslandersArizonaSt. LouisNY RangersBostonAnaheimSan JosePittsburghLos Angeles
106520-04.9%1914160170110120010
94455-2NoYes
92424-6NoYes
91447-1No5050
90426-420.040202020
89405-7No20202040
88417-47.1772177777217
87407-58.34131313884174413
86408-45.919121231377946493
85398-56.2512108412939624107
84399-44.65361110611641086473
83389-54.724109124115410103474
82379-65.0631181151155785485
813710-56.23412111051045894474
803711-46.34510101051045786475
793611-56.0351010951056875584
783511-65.6451091051065884565
773512-56.0551010105965875465
763412-65.6451010106955875574
753413-55.84511101051055875564
743313-65.64511111151055874464
733314-55.54412121251044774464
723214-65.33413131341144883373
713215-55.43314141431233883372
703115-65.32216151521222992272
693116-55.02216161621322991171
683016-64.82217171611411991181
673017-54.52217171611311991181
3118-34.62217171611311991181
662917-64.63216161621311991171
2816-84.33316151521211891171
652918-54.14314141421121881161
3019-34.04314141421122771161
642818-63.6641212123922661151
2717-83.4641111113822551141
632819-52.7649883622441131
622719-61.8535552411221111
612720-51.0323331211110010
602721-40.4112120100000000
592621-50.2001110000000000
582622-40.1000000000000000
572522-50.0000000000000000
562523-40.00000000000000
552524-30.000000000
542424-40.00000000
532324-50.00000000
522325-4No0000
512326-3No0000
502226-4No0
2-49No
Total:1.6%1.81.35.05.04.91.13.80.80.72.62.60.60.62.10.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +1.2
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+0.0
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 -0.0
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
86-106100
85398-597121
84399-4982
83389-595230
82379-692621
813710-589651
803711-48311520
793611-5741590200
783511-663201204000
773512-551261606000
763412-638302119000
753413-52631253131000
743313-61630276172110
733314-58262610214202000
723214-631923152285040000
713215-5113171920139170000
703115-60710201418152121101000
693116-5034177191951642030000
683016-60121231518111796060000
673017-50007181216141413111110100
662917-600303616716185164303000
652918-50101211211171117109081000
642818-6000505101411141721551000
632819-5000101312413207191451000
622719-60000016161411152115720000
612720-500020261171822179310000
602620-6000100272817232013620000
592621-500000302715222216831000
582521-60000010025122023191151000
572522-5000000014101823211362000
562422-60000000139172322157200
552423-5000000013817242416610
542323-6000001381826241551
532324-5000001310202824122
522224-6000014122531216
512225-50001618323012
502125-60000311273721
492126-50016214032
482026-60003143944
472027-500193556
461927-60052966
451928-50022275
441828-6011782
431829-5011288
421729-60991
411730-50694
401630-60496
391631-5397
381531-6298
371532-5199
361432-60100
351433-5199
341333-60100
2-33100
Total:1112122222323242444444445555555