Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Chicago 5-4 (ot), playoff odds up 4.7 to 58.3%
4 points   2 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)+4.8
+0.3
+1.1
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.4
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.2
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.8*-0.1*+0.0-1.1-0.6-0.6
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.7-0.9*-0.3*-0.3*+0.2+0.9

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-112In99.9%100793*
863911-4In99.41000497*
853811-5In99.61000745*
843711-6In97.599111,372*
833712-5In96.798111,906*
823713-4In95.398113,023*
813613-5In92.296324,336*
803513-6In87.594436,341*
793514-5In81.5906408,896*
783414-6In72.48487012,286*
773415-5In62.57911100016,156*
763315-6In50.07015141020,921*
753316-5In36.76020191026,822*
743216-6100.0%24.448252430033,742*
733217-5100.013.236283150040,894*
723117-699.96.2243036810049,074*
713118-599.92.315304013200057,047*
703018-699.50.68274219401065,341*
693019-598.70.132241267010072,773*
682919-697.20.01163731120300079,675*
672920-593.90.00103134171510085,722*
662820-688.3No062335214920089,136*
652821-580.1No03163122814510091,913*
642721-668.8No1102517151910200092,509*
632722-554.2No151810212117710047,436*
2621-755.8No15191120211661043,695*
622622-641.3No0312522182213410087,909*
612623-528.2No0171191123221131082,641*
602523-618.0No0030145172621920077,008*
592524-510.2No0020821023271971069,458*
582424-65.3No010515152727164061,444*
572425-52.6No00201821302510153,016*
562325-61.0No00100312273219445,881*
552326-50.4No000016193429938,035*
542226-60.2No000031231371731,051*
532227-50.0No001724422724,934*
522127-6OutNo00317423819,825*
512128-50.0No00110385015,124*
502028-6OutNo016336111,337*
492029-5OutNo00325728,334*
481929-6OutNo0219796,019*
471930-5OutNo114854,286*
461830-6OutNo09902,979*
451831-5OutNo07921,975*
441731-6OutNo04961,342*
431732-5OutNo397853*
421632-6OutNo298535*
411532-7OutNo199335*
401533-6OutNo298182*
4-39OutNo100382*
Total:58.3%5.2%98151466666555541,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNew JerseyPhiladelphiaMontrealTorontoWashingtonCarolinaNY IslandersOttawaDetroitPittsburghBostonNY RangersColumbusBuffalo
112540-06.3%5936975992810926
97434-7NoYes
96457-2YesYes
94437-4No20204020
93427-533.33367
92428-46.77777132777137
91418-510.077133713310131373
90419-47.4151167611266427747
89409-56.347371185776661145
884010-44.36663106468488886
873910-55.46876668117854875
863911-45.4796866964676993
853811-56.3688467795686878
843711-66.1596657887695774
833712-56.0589569886486865
823713-45.5688768886685775
813613-56.2678668886585775
803513-66.1687668876576765
793514-56.5777768776676765
783414-66.2777777876677666
773415-56.0867787777676665
763315-66.0866886767767656
753316-56.5866896668768556
743216-66.3105510105658758557
733217-56.3115410114559849447
723117-66.311441112444109410437
713118-56.212331212343109310338
703018-66.2133313133331010310238
693019-56.3133313133331110211228
682919-66.1133313133221010211228
2818-86.1133313133221010210228
672920-55.8133313133231010210227
662820-65.4123312123239929217
2719-85.5123312123239928226
652821-55.1113311103238828216
642721-64.2933993237626214
632722-53.4733773225524213
622622-62.6533553223323112
612623-51.7322332222212111
602523-61.2221221111111111
592524-50.6111111110110000
582424-60.3110001000000000
572425-50.2000000000000000
562325-60.1000000000000000
552326-50.0000000000000000
542226-60.000000000000000
532429-1No00000
522430-0No
512128-5No0
4-50No
Total:3.6%7.02.52.56.96.92.42.22.35.55.22.05.41.81.74.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-1.0
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88-112100
873910-51000
863911-49900
853811-510000
843711-698111
833712-597211
823713-495211
813613-592432
803513-688643
793514-581860400
783414-67212807000
773415-5621611090000
763315-65020150140010
753316-537231911800100
743216-6242323222113000
733217-513222532632050000
723117-661824626640800100
713118-521221923970130020000
703018-61715121712120171140010
693019-50381391417220330700100
682919-6014123121841876011003000
672920-5001917158131011016215100
662820-600603911611162174409200
652821-5003014112817514880145100
642721-6010180412971014116113100
632722-50100501611281731517103100
622622-6000302904148818181041000
612623-500101601811311191912620000
602523-600000303111411192116831000
592524-5000020170131017221912510000
582424-601004001381621211572100
572425-500020002614212318103100
562325-60001000151221242011410
552326-500000015122125211030
542226-600000151322272192
532227-5000015152629185
522127-60002720312811
512128-50001312283720
502028-60016214132
492029-5003143746
481929-600183358
471930-5042868
461830-6022078
451831-511583
441731-611089
431732-500792
421632-60496
411532-70397
401533-6397
38-39100
371435-5298
4-36100
Total:5453534352434242443333333222222