Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Columbus 3-2 (ot), playoff odds up 4.6 to 45.3%
4 points   2 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+4.8
+0.3
+0.5
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.4
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.2
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)*-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.8*+0.0*+0.3*-0.2-0.6-0.7
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.7-0.6-0.7*+0.2*+0.1+0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-108In99.6%100233*
86399-4In97.1991103*
85389-5In99.09900202*
843810-4In97.89911366*
833710-5In96.19811532*
823711-4In95.79811978*
813611-5In92.596221,590*
803511-6In87.293432,405*
793512-5In81.1906503,573*
783513-4In73.0858705,223*
773413-5In61.978111107,652*
763313-6In50.57015141010,652*
753314-5In36.75920202014,442*
743214-6100.0%24.447242530019,128*
733215-5100.013.736283160024,593*
723115-6100.06.2242937910031,208*
713116-599.82.31429401420038,950*
703016-699.40.672642204010046,627*
693017-598.60.132140268010055,286*
682917-696.50.0115363113030063,971*
672918-593.1No092934191610072,014*
662818-686.9No0522342231020079,098*
652819-577.8No0315302281651085,430*
642719-666.2No19241815201030090,439*
632720-552.3No051710202217710093,252*
622620-638.6No0211521182314510094,594*
612621-526.0No0161181224231231093,067*
602521-616.1No00301261827211020089,931*
592522-59.0No0010721123281971085,512*
582422-64.6No0010414152727164078,354*
572423-52.2No00202821312510172,067*
562323-60.9No00100313273219463,703*
552324-50.4No0000016203429955,422*
542224-60.1No000031230371747,010*
532225-50.0No00001723422739,294*
522125-60.0No000316423831,864*
512126-50.0No000110394925,553*
502026-6OutNo016336120,203*
492027-5OutNo03267015,268*
481927-6OutNo02207811,413*
471928-5OutNo0114858,374*
461828-6OutNo0010895,983*
451829-5OutNo07934,151*
441729-6OutNo05952,915*
431730-5OutNo3971,911*
421630-6OutNo3971,250*
411631-5OutNo298801*
401531-6OutNo199520*
391532-5OutNo199295*
37-38OutNo100281*
361434-4OutNo19975*
4-35OutNo100178*
Total:45.3%2.5%55111266677777771,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupFloridaTampa BayNew JerseyPhiladelphiaMontrealTorontoWashingtonCarolinaNY IslandersOttawaPittsburghBostonNY RangersColumbusBuffalo
108520-08.6%42565396961351458
95456-1YesYes
92426-4NoYes
91427-3No5050
90406-6No25382513
89407-5No1111111111221111
88408-410.037177337137371077
87409-31.9261196226949114137
86399-42.95784695844581596
85389-54.55388759685107673
843810-47.4568766978387577
833710-55.5557976689586884
823711-46.56667767776951065
813611-57.4558855898685974
803511-66.3657877787686775
793512-56.1677966787586775
783513-46.6676777787676765
773413-56.5777778777676666
763313-65.9786688666767666
753314-56.8985689666768556
743214-66.09955910565858556
733215-56.11010441010454849447
723115-66.411114411114449410337
713116-56.1111133121233310310338
703016-66.1121233131233310310328
693017-56.3121233131333310210227
682917-66.4121233131332210210227
2816-86.3121233131332310210227
672918-56.012123312123231029227
3019-35.712123312123231029227
662818-65.61111331212323928216
2717-85.41111331111323928226
652819-54.81010331010323827215
2920-34.8910331010323827215
642719-64.3883388323626214
2618-84.0883388323625214
632720-53.3663366322424113
622620-62.4442244222313112
612621-51.6332233212212111
602521-61.0121121111111111
592522-50.6111111111000000
582422-60.3000000000000000
572423-50.2000000000000000
562323-60.1000000000000000
552324-50.0000000000000000
542224-60.0000000000000000
532225-5No0000000
522125-60.00000
512227-3No0
4-50No
Total:2.9%5.25.22.02.05.45.31.91.71.84.11.54.01.31.22.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-1.0
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.0*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
89-108100
88408-4973
87409-3100
86399-49721
85389-59900
843810-498111
833710-596211
823711-496211
813611-592422
803511-687643
793512-58196500
783513-473128070
773413-5621611011000
763313-65019150140010
753314-53722191191020
743214-6242323223113000
733215-51422243263250000
723115-661824627640900100
713116-5212209249801300200
703016-617141117121201811400100
693017-50381291416121330800100
682917-601411411184197601300300
672918-501816157131011017116100
662818-6005039106111611843010300
652819-5003014102816415880156100
642719-60101704128810141171241000
632720-50000401610281731618103100
622620-600020290414791918104100
612621-500101501810312202013520000
602521-600000300391411192116831000
592522-500001017014101822191152000
582422-6001004001381622211472100
572423-50002000271421231793100
562323-60001000261321241911410
552324-500000015122125201030
542224-600000151323272092
532225-50000016152629185
522125-600002819312811
512126-50001312283620
502026-60016213932
492027-5003143944
481927-60183457
471928-500142768
461828-6022177
451829-511584
441729-601090
431730-50793
421630-60694
411631-50397
401531-6298
391532-5199
381533-4100
371433-5199
361434-4199
351334-5397
4-34100
Total:2232323242424242444444443333333