Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Beat Columbus 3-2 (ot), playoff odds up 5.3 to 34.3%
4 points   2 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+3.5
+0.2
+0.2
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.4
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.2
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.2
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)*+0.1
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.6-0.6-0.3*+0.3+0.3+1.0
-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.7*+0.2*+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
88-108InYes100456*
87398-5In96.1%97377*
86399-4In98.69911144*
85389-5In98.8100252*
843810-4In96.29811478*
833710-5In95.09712822*
823610-6In91.796221,465*
813611-5In86.894332,335*
803511-6In82.290553,761*
793512-5In73.3857706,003*
783412-6In63.579101109,320*
773413-5In52.57114141013,565*
763313-6In40.06117202019,835*
753314-5In27.35021263028,022*
743214-6100.0%16.138253250038,669*
733215-599.98.3262737910051,941*
723115-699.83.517264114200067,876*
713116-599.61.19234320400087,210*
703016-698.80.2419422670100108,688*
693017-597.20.02143732130300133,095*
682917-694.00.00930351815100158,874*
672918-588.6No0523352329200185,314*
662818-680.5No03153225615410211,258*
652819-569.3No019262211218200235,116*
642719-656.1No1519151724154100256,384*
632720-542.3No02128202322102000272,313*
622620-629.5No0173181726197100283,998*
612621-518.8No004114102426155100290,603*
602521-611.0No00209517282412300287,522*
592522-55.8No0010529233021810280,911*
582422-62.8No0003041427291750268,067*
572423-51.3No0001017203127111250,559*
562323-60.5No001003122733204228,952*
552324-50.2No0000162035309203,644*
542224-60.1No00000312313816177,904*
532225-50.0No00017244226152,106*
522125-60.0No000003174336128,092*
512126-50.0No0001113948104,193*
502026-60.0No0017345982,979*
492027-5OutNo0004286965,509*
481927-6OutNo002217650,322*
471928-5OutNo01168337,729*
461828-6OutNo00128827,524*
451829-5OutNo089219,756*
441729-6OutNo059513,702*
431730-5OutNo04969,401*
421630-6OutNo2986,387*
411631-5OutNo1994,067*
401531-6OutNo1992,632*
391532-5OutNo00991,629*
381432-6OutNo01001,004*
371433-5OutNo0100605*
4-36OutNo1001,110*
Total:34.3%1.1%2381066788889994,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealTampa BayFloridaCarolinaPhiladelphiaWashingtonNew JerseyTorontoNY IslandersOttawaNY RangersBostonPittsburghBuffaloColumbus
108520-07.2%5641087788767772
93447-1No5050
91427-3No25252525
90417-4No3317171717
89407-57.1777721211477
88408-47.5108515135833851533
87398-59.146589810412186936
86399-46.96628899796106834
85389-54.86451211311496123844
843810-45.445610981359494643
833710-55.75559898686105844
823610-66.5565989868695744
813611-56.26751098868675745
803511-65.8666987868585845
793512-55.6676978778585745
783412-65.3787988778675744
773413-55.4887877787675654
763313-65.6998766696766654
753314-55.4101096555105757554
743214-65.21211105555115857463
733215-55.01313124444124847363
723115-65.21414124333133938362
713116-54.91515133333133928262
703016-64.71615132333142928261
693017-54.51515132333132928161
682917-64.31514132333132827151
2816-84.21514132333132827151
672918-54.01413123344123826151
3019-33.81413123434123726151
662818-63.61312103444113725141
2717-83.41212103444103625141
652819-53.011109344493514131
2920-33.011109344392514131
642719-62.5987333372413120
2618-82.4887333362413121
632720-51.8765233352312110
622620-61.3443222231111110
612621-50.8322222221111000
602521-60.5211111111000000
592522-50.2110111100000000
582422-60.1000000000000000
572423-50.1000000000000000
562323-60.0000000000000000
552324-50.00000000000000
542325-40.000000000000000
532225-5No0000000000
522226-4No00000000
512126-50.0000
502026-6No0
4-49No
Total:1.6%5.14.74.21.51.71.71.74.21.32.60.92.10.71.60.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.8
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
88-108100
87398-59613
86399-49911
85389-5991
843810-496211
833710-595212
823610-692422
813611-587733
803511-682855
793512-5731270700
783412-663151001000
773413-55219130140010
763313-64021170200020
753314-52723201241130
743214-61622232282150000
733215-581822430430900100
723115-63131962876014002000
713116-5181492210100191140000
703016-60491014131512322700100
693017-50259712172234401200300
682917-60027281641979018115100
672918-5015041271210140212209200
662818-600301685917221460154100
652819-5001002715154157110209200
642719-601014021077816121166100
632720-5000201472617317221341000
622620-600010015031351022221241000
612621-50000003017741323221351000
602521-600000200361514222215720000
592522-5000101401513212318931000
582422-600000020014112023201151000
572423-500000100014101823211362000
562323-60001000139172422157200
552324-500000013817242315610
542224-60000001391826241551
532225-500001310202824122
522125-60000014132530216
512126-500001618313013
502026-60000311273722
492027-500016204033
481927-60003133846
471928-50183457
461828-60052768
451829-50022276
441729-6011683
431730-5011089
421630-60792
411631-50595
401531-60397
391532-50298
381432-6199
371433-5199
361333-6199
4-35100
Total:1121212232324242555544444444444