Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.8 to 44.6%
3 points   1 1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.5
*-0.1
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.3
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.3
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.8*+0.0*+0.3*-0.4-0.8-0.7
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.8-0.6*-0.4*+0.2*+0.4+0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-109InYes100283*
86399-5In99.3%991139*
853910-4In99.2100246*
843810-5In99.21000399*
833811-4In96.49801721*
823711-5In94.598121,167*
813611-6In91.1961301,770*
803612-5In85.3932502,689*
793512-6In79.5903704,097*
783513-5In70.38551005,893*
773413-6In60.57871418,278*
763414-5In47.26911181011,299*
753314-6100.0%34.660142330015,405*
743315-5In21.64817304020,213*
733215-6100.011.536213571025,671*
723216-599.95.1252340111032,876*
713116-699.71.614234218300039,786*
703117-599.30.48204323601048,158*
693017-698.10.1316393010020055,867*
683018-595.80.01113434160400064,674*
672918-691.7No072636211710072,189*
662919-584.8No0419342441230079,733*
652819-675.1No0212292391861085,554*
642820-562.5No17221716221230090,207*
632720-648.8No041592122198200092,526*
622721-535.0No029420172416610092,447*
612621-623.1No01511710222415510091,793*
602622-514.1No00201141526231241089,172*
592522-67.9No0010728202822102083,840*
582523-53.9No000303122529196177,745*
572423-61.7No00201617292814370,303*
562424-50.7No00100210243324762,897*
552324-60.3No000151632331354,577*
542325-50.1No00002927392246,625*
532225-60.0No0001520413438,561*
522226-50.0No0000213394631,375*
512126-6OutNo017345825,245*
502127-5OutNo004276819,589*
492027-6OutNo002217715,082*
482028-5OutNo01158311,473*
471928-6OutNo011898,462*
461929-5OutNo07936,114*
451829-6OutNo05954,272*
441830-5OutNo3972,939*
431730-6OutNo2981,966*
421731-5OutNo1991,292*
411631-6OutNo199867*
401632-5OutNo0100528*
391633-4OutNo199341*
37-38OutNo100323*
361434-5OutNo29861*
3-35OutNo100207*
Total:44.6%2.5%54111266667777781,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupFloridaTampa BayNew JerseyPhiladelphiaMontrealTorontoWashingtonCarolinaNY IslandersOttawaDetroitPittsburghNY RangersColumbusBuffalo
109530-07.8%21141529918128713
94435-5No3367
93436-4NoYes
92437-3No5050
91427-4NoYes
90417-512.513251319625
89407-6No1014551455555245
88408-56.5111791197779132
87409-49.265862611612312815
86399-511.52499438111242146121
853910-45.72311104299935119111
843810-56.8331010348121133111093
833811-46.464984312812339891
823711-56.84399339139421010102
813611-65.34491034101194489101
803612-55.75499458994498112
793512-66.45591055988448992
783513-56.2668855888558893
773413-66.1767766898658783
763414-56.7777787777676773
753314-66.3986688666776664
743315-56.41010551010565885554
733215-66.31111441111454994445
723216-56.21212431212343993335
713116-66.3131333131333310102236
703117-56.3131433131332210102226
693017-66.1131333131332210102226
683018-56.1131333131332210102225
3119-35.7131333131332210102226
672918-65.71312331212323992225
2817-85.81212331212322992225
662919-55.31111331111323882215
3020-35.31111331111323882225
652819-64.5910331010323772224
2718-84.6993399323772214
642820-54.0883388322662213
2921-34.0883388323662213
632720-63.1663365222442112
622721-52.2442244222231111
612621-61.4222222211111111
602622-50.9111111111111010
592522-60.5111111111000000
582523-50.2000000000000000
572423-60.1000000000000000
562424-50.0000000000000000
552324-60.0000000000000000
542325-50.0000000000000
532225-60.0000000
522327-3No00
3-51No
Total:2.8%5.45.42.01.95.35.31.91.71.74.04.01.41.31.32.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)+0.1
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
87-109100
86399-5991
853910-4991
843810-59910
833811-496201
823711-595312
813611-6915130
803612-5857250
793512-679103070
783513-5701450100
773413-660187013001
763414-54722110180010
753314-6352613122103000
743315-522261612721400
733215-611241833041070010
723216-552017529830110010
713116-6213148241260171030000
703117-50710101615111202160010
693017-603510816142225201000200
683018-501293121542096015104000
672918-601617128121211019217100
662919-5004036105121521954012300
652819-60021291815514990167100
642820-5010160310961115118145100
632720-60000301410281641419124100
622721-5000201804128718201351000
612621-60010050161029182115831000
602622-500020290391722181141000
592522-6000101600271522211472000
582523-5000003000261321221794100
572423-600020001511202420124100
562424-50001000141019242213510
552324-60000013101926231341
542325-50000001411212823102
532225-6000014132530206
522226-50001617313113
512126-6000210263823
502127-50015194035
492027-6002133847
482028-500173260
471928-60042671
461929-5021979
451829-6011485
441830-50991
431730-60793
421731-5496
411631-6298
401632-5298
391633-4397
381533-50100
371433-6100
361434-5298
3-35100
Total:2222333242324242444444444444444