"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Eastern Conference Playoff Chances

Philadelphia +12.2, Buffalo -13.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TuesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthWednesday
Vegas6130-0676.7%+0.37.3%-0.09.8%-0.41812201565544332211.587ArizonaVegas Golden Knights
ColoradoWLos Angeles 3-24121-0667.7+8.56.1+1.35.9+1.8129181576655443327.586Colorado Avalanche
PhiladelphiaWBuffalo 3-0631-0465.7+12.25.1+1.85.0+2.210101715766655443211.577Philadelphia Flyers
WashingtonLPittsburgh 4-5 (ot)620-2165.2-3.44.2-0.94.9-1.510101715766655443217.568Washington Capitals
New JerseyWNY Rangers 4-35120-1165.1+8.44.5+0.85.1+1.610101715766655443219.572New Jersey Devils
Minnesota4121-0158.8+0.23.6-0.03.6-0.2871515777665554324.567at AnaheimMinnesota Wild
NY Islanders4121-0055.0+0.73.1+0.02.9-0.0671414777666655414.561New York Islanders
Arizona3111-1-146.8+0.32.5-0.01.9-0.1451213777777776623.561at VegasArizona Coyotes
St. Louis4121-0-444.7+0.31.8-0.01.7-0.144111277777777772.545San JoseSt. Louis Blues
NY RangersLNew Jersey 3-42112-0040.7-10.52.2-1.01.3-1.3341011667777888813.561New York Rangers
Boston3111-1-140.6+0.81.7+0.01.3-0.0341011667777888810.547Boston Bruins
Anaheim3111-1-337.8+0.21.4-0.01.1-0.13391166777888993.544MinnesotaAnaheim Ducks
San Jose2112-0-235.9+0.21.5-0.00.9-0.1238106667788991022.549at St. LouisSan Jose Sharks
PittsburghWWashington 5-4 (ot)422-0-434.5+5.61.2+0.20.8+0.2238105667788910119.540Pittsburgh Penguins
BuffaloLPhiladelphia 0-3213-0-133.2-13.91.6-1.50.7-1.2237956677889101120.555Buffalo Sabres
Los AngelesLColorado 2-32101-2-331.6-10.01.3-0.70.7-0.8237956677889101228.548Los Angeles Kings

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is division-based. The top four teams in each division will make up the 16 teams in the playoffs, based on regular-season record.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia+0.2
Washington+0.1
New Jersey+6.0
+0.4
+1.1
NY Islanders+0.2
NY Rangers-6.9
-0.5
-0.9
Boston+0.1
Pittsburgh+0.1
Buffalo+0.2
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas+0.1
-0.1
Colorado+5.6
+0.5
+1.2
Minnesota+0.2
Arizona+0.1
St. Louis+0.2
Anaheim+0.1
San Jose+0.1
Los Angeles-6.5
-0.3
-0.6
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia+4.7
+0.3
+0.7
Washington+0.1
New Jersey+0.1
NY Islanders+0.1
NY Rangers+0.1
Boston+0.1
Pittsburgh+0.1
Buffalo-5.6
-0.4
-0.6
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia-0.6
Washington-0.9
-0.3
New Jersey-0.4
NY Islanders-0.4
NY Rangers-0.4
Boston-0.4
Pittsburgh+3.6
+0.1
+0.2
Buffalo-0.4
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas-0.1
Washington*-0.1
Minnesota-0.1
Nashville vs CarolinaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey5.1*5.1*5.0*5.0*5.05.0
Wednesday
St. Louis vs San JoseIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas*76.876.276.4*76.576.476.9
Colorado67.967.267.467.267.467.9
Minnesota58.958.358.458.458.559.0
Arizona*46.946.246.446.246.247.0
St. Louis49.348.747.642.542.137.9
2.01.91.91.61.61.5
2.12.01.91.51.41.0
Anaheim37.937.337.5*37.637.338.0
San Jose30.735.035.140.240.941.6
1.31.5*1.51.81.81.8
0.60.80.81.21.31.3
Los Angeles*31.631.231.2*31.431.131.7
Anaheim vs MinnesotaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas*76.876.3*76.576.476.276.9
Colorado67.967.267.367.467.367.9
New Jersey5.1*5.0*5.1*5.0*5.05.0
Minnesota53.257.858.063.163.864.5
3.2*3.6*3.54.03.94.0
2.53.43.54.54.74.7
NY Islanders2.9*2.9*3.02.8*2.92.9
Arizona47.046.346.346.346.346.9
St. Louis44.844.144.144.244.1*44.8
Anaheim42.541.740.935.935.831.4
1.61.61.6*1.41.41.2
1.41.41.30.90.90.6
San Jose36.135.535.535.435.3*36.0
Los Angeles31.731.1*31.3*31.331.131.7
Vegas vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas80.179.679.075.174.971.0
7.67.67.5*7.27.26.7
11.611.411.18.78.86.9
Colorado68.067.467.467.467.167.6
5.8*5.8*5.8*5.9*5.96.0
Philadelphia5.0*5.0*5.0*5.1*5.05.1
Washington4.84.8*4.8*4.9*4.95.0
New Jersey5.04.9*5.0*5.1*5.15.2
Minnesota59.158.558.458.258.0*58.7
3.6*3.6*3.6*3.6*3.63.7
NY Islanders2.9*2.8*2.9*3.0*2.93.0
Arizona41.746.346.451.452.353.0
2.2*2.5*2.52.82.82.9
1.21.81.82.52.62.6
St. Louis44.944.2*44.544.244.2*44.6
Anaheim38.237.437.437.237.337.7
San Jose36.135.535.535.335.2*35.9
Los Angeles31.831.2*31.4*31.231.0*31.5
Vancouver vs MontrealHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas10.0*9.9*9.8*9.89.69.7
Colorado6.0*5.9*5.9*5.85.75.7
Philadelphia5.2*5.1*5.1*5.04.94.9
Washington5.0*4.95.0*4.84.84.8
New Jersey5.2*5.0*5.1*4.9*5.04.9
Minnesota3.7*3.6*3.7*3.6*3.63.6
NY Islanders3.0*3.0*2.9*2.8*2.82.8
Arizona1.9*1.9*1.8*1.81.81.8
Toronto vs EdmontonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas9.7*9.8*9.7*9.9*9.910.0
Colorado5.8*5.8*5.8*5.9*5.96.0
Philadelphia5.0*5.04.9*5.0*5.15.1
Washington4.8*4.8*4.9*5.0*5.05.0
NY Islanders2.9*2.9*2.9*3.03.02.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

VegasColoradoPhiladelphiaWashingtonNew JerseyMinnesotaNY IslandersArizonaSt. LouisNY RangersBostonAnaheimSan JosePittsburghBuffaloLos Angeles
Vegas11.62.82.82.810.52.58.68.22.02.07.06.61.81.85.8
Colorado11.62.42.42.49.62.17.67.31.61.66.05.61.41.35.0
Philadelphia2.82.410.09.92.18.51.71.76.16.11.51.45.25.01.2
Washington2.82.410.09.92.18.41.71.76.16.11.41.45.25.01.2
New Jersey2.82.49.99.92.18.41.71.76.16.11.41.45.14.91.2
Minnesota10.59.62.12.12.11.76.35.91.31.35.04.61.11.14.1
NY Islanders2.52.18.58.48.41.71.41.35.04.91.11.14.03.80.9
Arizona8.67.61.71.71.76.31.44.41.01.03.63.50.80.82.9
St. Louis8.27.31.71.71.75.91.34.40.90.93.43.20.80.72.7
NY Rangers2.01.66.16.16.11.35.01.00.93.30.70.72.72.60.6
Boston2.01.66.16.16.11.34.91.00.93.30.80.72.72.60.6
Anaheim7.06.01.51.41.45.01.13.63.40.70.82.60.60.62.2
San Jose6.65.61.41.41.44.61.13.53.20.70.72.60.60.62.1
Pittsburgh1.81.45.25.25.11.14.00.80.82.72.70.60.62.10.5
Buffalo1.81.35.05.04.91.13.80.80.72.62.60.60.62.10.5
Los Angeles5.85.01.21.21.24.10.92.92.70.60.62.22.10.50.5