How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 10/2 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Copa Libertadores 100.0* Average seed Dorados vs Veracruz -3.0-1.5+4.4 -7.4-3.1+10.3 -1.3-0.2+1.5 Monterrey vs León +1.3+0.3-1.5 +1.6+0.3-1.9 Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara -1.0+0.3+0.8 -2.0+0.6+1.4 Santos Laguna vs Toluca +0.5+0.2-0.7 +1.6+0.5-2.0 +0.1+0.0-0.1 Puebla vs Morelia -0.4+0.1+0.3 -1.2+0.4+0.9 -0.1+0.0+0.0 América vs Chiapas -0.2+0.1+0.1 -0.7+0.4+0.3 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Atlas vs Tigres UANL *+0.0+0.1-0.1 +0.0+0.1-0.1 Pachuca vs Cruz Azul -0.1+0.0+0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 10/10 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* Copa Libertadores 100.0* Average seed Veracruz vs Santos Laguna +4.4-1.5-3.0 +10.3-3.1-7.4 +1.5-0.2-1.3 Monterrey vs Puebla +0.3+0.1-0.4 +0.9+0.4-1.2 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Tijuana vs América +0.2+0.1-0.3 +0.6+0.3-0.9 +0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Veracruz finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Copa Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Count 37 6 - 0 - 0 93.1 % 99.9 % 93 7 0 9,254 35 5 - 1 - 0 77.1 98.9 77 22 1 0 47,762 34 5 - 0 - 1 59.2 94.8 59 36 5 0 50,613 33 4 - 2 - 0 44.4 88.9 44 44 10 1 0 111,860 32 4 - 1 - 1 24.9 71.8 25 47 24 4 0 0 238,215 31 3 - 3 - 0 12.9 53.9 13 41 34 10 1 0 140,624 4 - 0 - 2 10.1 46.5 10 36 37 14 2 0 0 126,740 30 3 - 2 - 1 3.6 26.9 4 23 40 26 7 1 0 448,670 29 3 - 1 - 2 0.6 8.4 1 8 28 38 21 5 0 0 0 475,371 2 - 4 - 0 0.9 11.8 1 11 32 36 16 3 0 0 99,150 28 2 - 3 - 1 0.1 2.0 0 2 13 33 34 14 3 0 0 420,300 3 - 0 - 3 0.0 1.2 0 1 10 30 36 18 4 0 0 168,798 27 2 - 2 - 2 0.0 0.1 0 0 2 14 33 32 15 3 0 0 0 671,326 1 - 5 - 0 No 0.2 0 3 18 36 29 11 2 0 0 37,456 26 2 - 1 - 3 No 0.0 0 0 2 13 30 32 17 5 1 0 0 476,341 1 - 4 - 1 No 0.0 0 0 3 17 33 30 13 3 0 0 198,578 25 1 - 3 - 2 No No 0 0 2 12 29 32 18 5 1 0 0 420,284 2 - 0 - 4 No No 0 0 2 9 25 33 22 7 1 0 0 0 126,687 0 - 6 - 0 No No 0 0 4 17 31 29 15 3 0 0 5,805 24 1 - 2 - 3 No No 0 0 1 8 23 32 24 9 2 0 0 447,225 0 - 5 - 1 No No 0 0 2 12 27 32 19 6 1 0 37,580 23 1 - 1 - 4 No No 0 1 4 16 30 29 15 4 1 0 0 239,060 0 - 4 - 2 No No 0 1 6 20 32 27 12 3 0 0 98,991 22 0 - 3 - 3 No No 0 0 3 12 27 31 19 6 1 0 0 140,845 1 - 0 - 5 No No 0 0 2 9 23 32 24 9 2 0 0 50,497 21 0 - 2 - 4 No No 0 0 1 7 20 31 26 11 2 0 0 112,177 20 0 - 1 - 5 No No 0 0 3 14 29 32 17 4 0 47,866 19 0 - 0 - 6 No No 0 2 10 27 35 21 5 9,069 Total: 4.3 % 12.7 % 4 8 11 13 13 12 10 8 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 5,457,144
Points
Chance Will Win Championship