How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara+13.3-3.3-10.2
+18.5-3.4-15.2
+1.0-0.1-0.9
Monterrey vs León+4.2+1.4-5.5
+3.2+0.9-4.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Santos Laguna vs Toluca+2.6+0.9-3.5
+3.8+1.0-4.8
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Puebla vs Morelia-1.5+0.5+1.1
-2.5+0.8+1.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Dorados vs Veracruz+0.7+0.4-1.1
+1.6+0.7-2.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
América vs Chiapas-0.6+0.3+0.3
-1.3+0.8+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atlas vs Tigres UANL*+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.6
Pachuca vs Cruz Azul-0.2+0.1*+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Monterrey vs Puebla+1.0+0.5-1.5
+1.7+0.8-2.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Veracruz vs Santos Laguna-1.1+0.4+0.7
-2.4+0.7+1.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Tijuana vs América+0.4+0.3-0.7
+1.2+0.6-1.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pumas UNAM finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceCopaChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores123456789101112131415161718Count
406-0-0100.0%Yes10009,059
385-1-099.0100.0%991047,403
375-0-196.2100.0964050,752
364-2-093.299.99370112,288
354-1-183.999.3841510238,159
343-3-075.198.2752320140,749
4-0-267.396.86730300126,518
333-2-155.793.15637700447,350
323-1-233.880.2344618200476,483
2-4-042.286.14244131099,184
312-3-120.665.7214528600421,444
3-0-315.057.31542339100168,871
302-2-26.838.17314018300672,010
1-5-010.547.5103738132037,257
292-1-31.314.0113343415300475,715
1-4-12.320.1218393010100198,127
281-3-20.24.20421362710200421,096
2-0-40.12.40215333215300126,526
0-6-00.57.0062737226105,811
271-2-30.00.4005193328123000447,846
0-5-10.00.8018253523710037,221
261-1-4No0.0003142931175100238,591
0-4-2No0.00162033271120099,013
250-3-3NoNo003132831185100140,623
1-0-5NoNo0018233224920050,041
240-2-4NoNo001720322611200112,014
230-1-5NoNo00312273219610047,938
220-0-6NoNo01619312912209,055
Total:22.5%43.6%222118139643211000005,457,144
Points
Chance Will Win Championship