How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Puebla vs Morelia+6.0-1.9-4.2
+11.7-3.2-8.7
+1.5-0.2-1.3
Monterrey vs León+1.5+0.5-1.9
+2.0+0.5-2.4
Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara-1.5+0.4+1.1
-2.3+0.6+1.7
Santos Laguna vs Toluca+1.0+0.3-1.3
+2.1+0.5-2.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Dorados vs Veracruz+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.9+0.3-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
América vs Chiapas-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.9+0.5+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Atlas vs Tigres UANL+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Pachuca vs Cruz Azul-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Monterrey vs Puebla-4.2-1.9+6.0
-8.7-3.2+11.7
-1.3-0.2+1.5
Veracruz vs Santos Laguna-0.4+0.2+0.3
-1.2+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Tijuana vs América+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.7+0.3-1.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Puebla finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceCopaChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores123456789101112131415161718Count
397-0-099.6%Yes10003,648
376-1-096.2100.0%964018,951
366-0-188.899.789110020,298
355-2-082.799.283161053,436
345-1-165.295.96531400113,407
334-3-051.590.8523991084,117
5-0-244.287.24443121060,533
324-2-129.975.7304621300266,000
314-1-212.450.912383612100283,025
3-4-016.458.416423291078,401
303-3-15.231.65264023500333,761
4-0-33.525.44223928710100,044
293-2-20.910.61103137173000532,832
2-5-01.415.011435351320044,259
283-1-30.11.702123334163000378,482
2-4-10.12.80317363111200235,198
272-3-20.00.2003183430122000502,080
3-0-40.00.100213313317510100,477
1-6-00.00.400624372471013,982
262-2-3No0.0003153131164000533,410
1-5-1No0.00052134271020088,558
252-1-4NoNo002102532228100283,102
1-4-2NoNo004153031164100235,464
0-7-0NoNo172135269201,861
241-3-3NoNo002923322392000335,277
2-0-5NoNo00151730281440060,305
0-6-1NoNo0031529311751013,910
231-2-4NoNo0014152930175100266,257
0-5-2NoNo0172131261120044,347
221-1-5NoNo001721332510200113,562
0-4-3NoNo0031226322061078,800
210-3-4NoNo00162033281120083,480
1-0-6NoNo003153032153020,059
200-2-5NoNo003143233153053,336
190-1-6NoNo0212333614218,901
180-0-7NoNo0216433273,584
Total:7.0%17.1%710121312109764332110005,457,144
Points
Chance Will Win Championship