Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsQualifiedChance will finish regular season at seed
6/16PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920+Avg.ChangeRPIThursday
Jordan311-0-0243.8%+0.643.8%+0.644444444333333332233616.1+0.1921KyrgyzstanJordan
AustraliaWKyrgyzstan 2-1311-0-0143.6+14.043.6+14.044444444333333332223616.1+4.491BangladeshAustralia
KyrgyzstanLAustralia 1-231-0-1128.9-14.328.9-14.312223333233333333335019.8-3.6021at JordanKyrgyzstan
BangladeshTTajikistan 1-110-1-1-214.4-3.314.4-3.301111122112222222227225.5-0.9432at AustraliaBangladesh
TajikistanTBangladesh 1-110-1-1-214.3-3.514.3-3.500111122112222222227125.4-0.9032Tajikistan

Second Round of Three Rounds

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/11
Bangladesh 1 Kyrgyzstan 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Jordan-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Australia-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Kyrgyzstan+14.3
+14.3
+4.5
Bangladesh-12.7
-12.7
-4.1
Tajikistan-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
Tajikistan 1 Jordan 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Jordan+14.3
+14.3
+4.5
Australia-0.2
-0.2
-0.0
Kyrgyzstan-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Bangladesh-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
Tajikistan-12.7
-12.7
-4.1
Malaysia 1 Timor-Leste 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Tajikistan+0.2
+0.2
Yemen 0 North Korea 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Bangladesh*-0.1
*-0.1
Philippines 2 Bahrain 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Kyrgyzstan*-0.1
*-0.1
Guam 1 Turkmenistan 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Kyrgyzstan*-0.1
*-0.1
Lebanon 0 Kuwait 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Jordan*-0.1
*-0.1
Saudi Arabia 3 Palestine 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Jordan*-0.1
*-0.1
Maldives 0 Qatar 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Jordan*-0.1
*-0.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.